Paide vs Rapid Vienna Prognoza

UEFA Europa Conference League · 3rd Qualifying Round

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Rapid Vienna

Away

Typowanie AI Rapid Vienna – wygrana lub remis

11%

18%

71%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Paide vs Rapid Vienna: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Paide na 11%, Rapid Vienna na 71%, a remisu na 18%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 6 Aug 2026, 17:55.

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Match Report

Rapid Vienna secured a comfortable 4–1 victory over Paide in the UEFA Europa Conference League third qualifying round, though the Estonian side made them work for it in the opening half. Bendegúz Bolla converted a penalty inside five minutes to give Rapid the lead, but Paide hit back through Daniel Luts just before half-time to level at 1–1. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rapid Vienna win as most likely at 71%, a call that proved correct.

The second half told a very different story. Despite Paide dominating possession at 75% and registering 20 total shots to Rapid's eight, the Austrian side were far more clinical when it mattered. A flurry of substitutions from both benches reshaped the contest, and Rapid began to assert themselves in the final quarter of the match.

Moulaye Haïdara broke the deadlock in the 83rd minute before Petter Nosakhare Dahl added a fourth two minutes later. Haïdara then completed the scoring deep into stoppage time to seal a convincing 4–1 win, sending Rapid Vienna through to the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 5'

Bendegúz Bolla Penalty

Daniel Luts

41' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

Oskar Hoim Yellow Card

55' ▮

▮ 57'

Bendegúz Bolla Yellow Card

Daniel Cabral ⇄ Hindrek Ojamaa

58' ⇄

⇄ 59'

Marco Tilio ⇄ Petter Nosakhare Dahl

Abdourahman Badamosi ⇄ Henri Anier

66' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Louis Schaub ⇄ Nicolas Bajlicz

⇄ 69'

Nikolaus Wurmbrand ⇄ Moulaye Haïdara

⇄ 69'

Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen ⇄ Yusuf Demir

Nikita Baranov ⇄ Pedro Andrade Drozina

80' ⇄

Daniel Luts ⇄ Momodou Jobarteh

80' ⇄

⚽ 1–2 83'

Moulaye Haïdara

⚽ 1–3 85'

Petter Nosakhare Dahl assist: Bendegúz Bolla

⇄ 87'

Bendegúz Bolla ⇄ Eaden Roka

⚽ 1–4 90+4'

Moulaye Haïdara

FT 1–4

Paide

Match Stats

Rapid Vienna

25% Ball Possession 75%

Expected Goals (xG)

8 Total Shots 20

2 Shots on Goal 7

3 Shots off Goal 8

3 Blocked Shots 5

6 Shots insidebox 14

2 Shots outsidebox 6

4 Corner Kicks 5

0 Offsides 1

13 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

4 Goalkeeper Saves 1

254 Total passes 743

199 Passes accurate 687

78% Passes % 92%

goals_prevented

Paide

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
27 Nikita Baranov D	7.9	80'	–	–	–	31 (28%)	1
77 Daniel Luts M	7.5	80'	1	–	1	9 (5%)	1
11 Pa Modou Sohna M	7.3	94'	–	–	1	15 (10%)	2
10 Martin Miller M	6.9	94'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	1
6 Daniel Cabral M	6.7	58'	–	–	1	15 (13%)	–
30 Abdourahman Badamosi F	6.5	66'	–	–	1	5 (2%)	–
14 Momodou Jobarteh M	6.5	14'	–	–	–	1	1
3 Victor Hugo D	6.3	94'	–	–	–	40 (35%)	4
4 Pedro Andrade Drozina D	6.3	14'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
9 Henri Anier F	6.3	28'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	–
2 Michael Lilander D	6.2	94'	–	–	–	22 (17%)	2
28 Oskar Hoim M	6.2	94'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	3
8 Henrik Ojamaa M	6.2	36'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
7 Edgar Tur D	5.9	94'	–	–	–	19 (14%)	–
99 Ebrima Jarju G	5.6	94'	–	–	–	40 (31%)	–

Rapid Vienna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao D	8.0	94'	–	–	1	116 (109%)	1
77 Bendegúz Bolla D	7.6	87'	1	1	1	62 (53%)	3
43 Moulaye Haïdara F	7.6	25'	1	–	1	7 (7%)	–
1 Niklas Hedl G	7.2	94'	–	–	–	32 (27%)	–
55 Nenad Cvetković D	7.2	94'	–	–	1	93 (87%)	1
18 Matthias Seidl M	7.2	94'	–	–	–	113 (108%)	2
10 Petter Nosakhare Dahl F	7.2	35'	1	–	1	10 (9%)	1
23 Jonas Auer D	6.9	94'	–	–	–	80 (77%)	–
22 Yusuf Demir F	6.9	25'	–	–	3	12 (11%)	1
21 Louis Schaub M	6.9	69'	–	–	–	75 (71%)	2
15 Nikolaus Wurmbrand M	6.7	69'	–	–	1	20 (18%)	2
30 Nicolas Bajlicz M	6.3	25'	–	–	–	27 (27%)	1
17 Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen F	6.2	69'	–	–	2	26 (22%)	–
7 Marco Tilio M	6.2	59'	–	–	1	27 (24%)	1
8 Tonni Adamsen F	5.6	94'	–	–	3	37 (31%)	–
2 Eaden Roka D	—	7'	–	–	–	6 (6%)	–

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Confidence High (71%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Rapid Vienna – wygrana lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 12%

Both teams to score

63%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Paide

WWLWL

Rapid Vienna

WWWLW

Last 1 meetings Paide · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Paide faces Rapid Vienna. Historically, Rapid Vienna has a stronger pedigree in European competitions, having participated more frequently and achieving better results than Paide. Paide will need to leverage their tactical discipline and home form, while Rapid Vienna brings a robust attacking lineup and experience in high-pressure matches. Key player matchups will likely determine the outcome, especially in midfield control and defensive solidity. Both teams will aim for a strong start to their campaign, making this an intriguing encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

11%

45%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

71%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Rapid Vienna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	6	6	7	4	2	1
1	5	12	9	6	2	1
2	4	7	6	4	2	1
3	2	3	3	2	1
4	1	1	1	1
5

↑ Paide goals · most likely 1–1 (12.0%)

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Players in form

Paide

No scorer data.

Rapid Vienna

E. Kara 4 gls

Moulaye Haïdara 3 gls

P. Dahl 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

18%

Home Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

71%

Draw

18%

Home Win

11%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Away Scores More 29% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

62%

3.5

38%

80%

4.5

20%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

63% BTTS Yes 37% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	6.4%	6.9%	4.1%	1.8%
1	4.6%	12.0%	9.4%	5.6%	2.5%
2	4.1%	7.3%	6.4%	3.8%	1.7%
3	1.9%	3.3%	2.9%	1.7%	0.8%
4	0.6%	1.1%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

48%

1.5

52%

76%

2.5

24%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Paide	Draw	Rapid Vienna
Paide	15.4%	3.8%	2.1%
Draw	11.3%	15.0%	13.5%
Rapid Vienna	2.6%	5.5%	30.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Paide vs Rapid Vienna

0 Paide Wins

0 Draws

1 Rapid Vienna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Aug 2026	Rapid Vienna	2 - 0	Paide

Paide — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Nõmme United	W	1 - 3
16 Sep	H Vaprus	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Laagri	L	1 - 2
09 Sep	A Tammeka	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	H FC Levadia Tallinn	L	0 - 2

Rapid Vienna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H WSG Wattens	W	3 - 0
12 Sep	A Wolfsberger AC	W	0 - 3
05 Sep	A Austria Klagenfurt	W	2 - 5
02 Sep	A Red Bull Salzburg	L	5 - 1
30 Aug	H Sturm Graz	W	3 - 1

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Rapid Vienna

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: Johannes Thorup

1 Hedl

23 Auer

6 Raux-Yao

55 Cvetković

77 Bolla

18 Seidl

7 Tilio

21 Schaub

15 Wurmbrand

17 Gulliksen

8 Adamsen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Niklas Hedl	G
77	Bendegúz Bolla	D
55	Nenad Cvetković	D
6	Serge-Philippe Raux-Yao	D
23	Jonas Auer	D
18	Matthias Seidl	M
15	Nikolaus Wurmbrand	M
21	Louis Schaub	M
7	Marco Tilio	M
8	Tonni Adamsen	F
17	Tobias Fjeld Gulliksen	F

Substitutes

10	Petter Nosakhare Dahl	F
30	Nicolas Bajlicz	M
43	Moulaye Haïdara	F
22	Yusuf Demir	F
25	Paul Gartler	G
51	Benjamin Göschl	G
2	Eaden Roka	D
4	Jakob Schöller	D
61	Furkan Demir	D
38	Jannes Horn	D
47	Amin Gröller	D
9	Ercan Kara	F

Paide

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Tarmo Kink

99 Jarju

2 Lilander

3 Hugo

27 Baranov

7 Tur

28 Hoim

10 Miller

6 Cabral

11 Sohna

77 Luts

30 Badamosi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Ebrima Jarju	G
7	Edgar Tur	D
27	Nikita Baranov	D
3	Victor Hugo	D
2	Michael Lilander	D
10	Martin Miller	M
28	Oskar Hoim	M
77	Daniel Luts	M
11	Pa Modou Sohna	M
6	Daniel Cabral	M
30	Abdourahman Badamosi	F

Substitutes

8	Henrik Ojamaa	M
9	Henri Anier	F
12	Marko Meerits	G
56	Mattias Sapp	G
4	Pedro Andrade Drozina	D
15	Hindrek Ojamaa	D
14	Momodou Jobarteh	M
16	Aleksandr Šurõgin	M
17	Pa Abdou Cham	M
21	Ramon Smirnov	M
44	Kristofer Kait	D
20	Kristofer Piht	F