Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia Prediction

UEFA Europa League UEFA Europa League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
Typowanie AI Maccabi Tel Aviv lub remis
37%
28%
35%
Wygrana gospodarzy · 2.01 Remis · 3.45 Wygrana gości · 4.35

Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia prediction: Sportiko gives Maccabi Tel Aviv a 37% chance of winning, CSKA Sofia 35% and the draw 28%. Last updated 6 Aug 2026, 17:55.

Match Report

CSKA Sofia produced a commanding away performance to eliminate Maccabi Tel Aviv from the UEFA Europa League third qualifying round, winning 3–0 in a result that was never seriously in doubt.

The Bulgarian side took control early, scoring in the ninth minute before doubling their advantage in the 29th, leaving the hosts with a mountain to climb at the break. Maccabi struggled to create meaningful chances throughout, managing just two shots on goal compared to CSKA's seven, and a series of yellow cards — six in total across both sides — reflected an increasingly frustrated home team unable to find a way back into the contest.

Both managers turned to their benches heavily in the second half, with multiple substitutions on either side, but it was CSKA who had the final say, adding a third goal deep in stoppage time to seal a thoroughly deserved victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Maccabi win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as Sofia advance to the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

0–1 9'
18'
Yellow Card
0–2 29'
Yellow Card
31'
Yellow Card
43'
HT 0–2
46'
46'
54'
Yellow Card
66'
66'
66'
66'
Hélio Varela
77'
78'
85'
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
86'
0–3 90'
90+4'
Yellow Card
FT 0–3
Maccabi Tel Aviv

Match Stats

CSKA Sofia
49% Ball Possession 51%
Expected Goals (xG)
Total Shots
2 Shots on Goal 7
4 Shots off Goal 2
0 Blocked Shots 6
Shots insidebox
Shots outsidebox
2 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
21 Fouls 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
Goalkeeper Saves
Total passes
Passes accurate
Passes %
goals_prevented
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Confidence Low (37%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Maccabi Tel Aviv lub remis
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Maccabi Tel Aviv
LWWWL
CSKA Sofia
WWDWD

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa League clash, Maccabi Tel Aviv faces CSKA Sofia. Maccabi Tel Aviv has shown a strong home record in recent seasons, leveraging their attacking prowess, averaging 2.1 goals per match at home. Conversely, CSKA Sofia's away form has been more inconsistent, with a 1.4 goals per match average in their last five away fixtures. The match will likely hinge on Maccabi's ability to control the game and exploit defensive gaps in CSKA's lineup. Defensive solidity from CSKA will be critical to mitigate Maccabi's offensive threats.

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

CSKA Sofia now leads 0-3 with 100% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

77' time check 80% sure

Min 77: CSKA Sofia leads 0-2. Win probability: 99.2%. Comeback chance: 0.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-2. CSKA Sofia leads. Win probability: 95.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 72.7%.

31' Goal 85% sure

CSKA Sofia now leads 0-2 with 93.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 81.4%.

10' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. CSKA Sofia win: 78.4%. BTTS: 60%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
37%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
35%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA Sofia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Maccabi Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug H CSKA Sofia L 0 - 3
30 Jul H Sheriff Tiraspol W 1 - 0
23 Jul A Sheriff Tiraspol W 0 - 5
16 Jul A Hapoel Beer Sheva W 1 - 3
03 Jul A IMT Novi Beograd L 1 - 0

CSKA Sofia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Aug A Maccabi Tel Aviv W 0 - 3
02 Aug H Dunav Ruse W 2 - 1
30 Jul H Qarabag D 0 - 0
27 Jul H Botev Plovdiv W 3 - 2
23 Jul A Qarabag D 0 - 0

UEFA Europa League Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Kenny Miller
22 Melika
25 Rosen
13 Shlomo
5 Camara
41 Hamo
36 Shahar
30 Noy
29 Varela
42 Peretz
28 Sissokho
34 Farchi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
22 Ofek Melika G
41 Itai Ben Hamo D
5 Mohamed Camara D
13 Raz Shlomo D
25 Shahar Rosen D
30 Itamar Noy M
36 Ido Shahar M
28 Issouf Sissokho M
42 Dor Peretz M
29 Hélio Varela M
34 Saied Abu Farchi F

Substitutes

6 Tyrese Asante D
21 Noam Ben Harosh D
77 Osher Davida M
9 Ester Sokler F
90 Roi Mishpati G
24 Noam Schwartz D
10 Kervin Andrade M
18 Dan Glazer M
59 Lotem Asres M
60 Ilay Ben Simon M
19 Elad Madmon F
23 Ori Azo F

CSKA Sofia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Hristo Yanev
21 Lapoukhov
17 Martino
32 Rodríguez
14 Ivanov
2 Pastor
8 Sensi
6 Jordão
7 Ebong
28 Pittas
9 Godoy
5 Gbamin

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 Fedor Lapoukhov G
2 Pastor D
14 Teodor Ivanov D
32 Facundo Rodríguez D
17 Ángelo Martino D
7 Max Ebong M
6 Bruno Jordão M
8 Stefano Sensi M
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin D
9 Leandro Godoy F
28 Ioannis Pittas F

Substitutes

99 James Eto'o M
10 Joël Zwarts F
25 Dimitar Evtimov G
19 Andrey Yordanov D
91 Aleks Tunchev D
11 Mohamed Amine Brahimi M
30 Petko Panayotov M
34 Vasil Kaymakanov M
38 Léo Pereira M
77 Alejandro Piedrahita M
80 Georgi Chorbadzhiyski M
94 Isaac Solet M

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