Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia Prognoza

I Liga · Regular Season - 9

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Pogoń Siedlce

Home

2 : 1

HT 1 - 1

Arka Gdynia

Away

Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce

Typowanie AI Arka Gdynia lub remis

28%

29%

42%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Pogoń Siedlce na 28%, Arka Gdynia na 42%, a remisu na 29%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 20 Sep 2026, 14:25.

Typy Premium

Premium

Ponad 1,5 gola 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%
1st Half Home or Draw 74%

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Timeline

39' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

42' ▮

⚽ 1–1 44'

⇄ 45+1'

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

▮ 51'

Yellow Card

71' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 72'

77' ⇄

⇄ 83'

87' ⇄

▮ 90+1'

Yellow Card

FT 2–1

Premium

Odblokuj pełną analizę AI dla meczu Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia

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Value Edge — model vs rynek
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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Arka Gdynia lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Pogoń Siedlce

WDWWL

Arka Gdynia

LLDWD

Live insights

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Pogoń Siedlce leads 2-1. Win probability: 82.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 17.7%.

73' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Pogoń Siedlce win: 80.6%. BTTS: 100%.

59' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Pogoń Siedlce win: 72.1%. BTTS: 100%.

53' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Pogoń Siedlce win: 69.6%. BTTS: 100%.

45' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 42.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

28%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

42%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arka Gdynia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	9	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Pogoń Siedlce goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Dlaczego ten typ? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

42%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

60% Away (No Draw) 40% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 12% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	9.2%	7.9%	3.8%	1.4%
1	7.0%	14.1%	9.0%	4.4%	1.6%
2	4.9%	7.2%	5.2%	2.5%	0.9%
3	1.9%	2.7%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Pogoń Siedlce	Draw	Arka Gdynia
Pogoń Siedlce	19.6%	6.0%	3.3%
Draw	8.8%	18.1%	17.9%
Arka Gdynia	1.0%	3.1%	22.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

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Head to Head: Pogoń Siedlce vs Arka Gdynia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Pogoń Siedlce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Arka Gdynia	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Chrobry Głogów	D	0 - 0
01 Sep	A Kluczevia Stargard	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H Stal Mielec	W	2 - 0
21 Aug	A Lechia Gdansk	L	1 - 0

Arka Gdynia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Pogoń Siedlce	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Warta Poznań	L	3 - 0
06 Sep	H ŁKS Łódź	D	1 - 1
02 Sep	A Resovia Rzeszów	W	0 - 4
30 Aug	H Polonia Bytom	D	1 - 1

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.