Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prognoza

First League · Regular Season - 9

Post on X

Cherno More Varna

Home

2 : 2

HT 2 - 0

Lokomotiv Sofia

Away

Typowanie AI Cherno More Varna lub remis

45%

29%

27%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Cherno More Varna na 45%, Lokomotiv Sofia na 27%, a remisu na 29%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 11 Sep 2026, 19:56.

Typy Premium

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Ponad 1,5 gola 76%

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Timeline

6' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 15'

Yellow Card

▮ 34'

Yellow Card

37' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 45+3'

Red Card

HT 2–0

⇄ 46'

Yellow Card

57' ▮

58' ⇄

⇄ 61'

Yellow Card

62' ▮

⚽ 2–1 64'

Yellow Card

69' ▮

⚽ 2–2 77'

⇄ 78'

79' ⇄

86' ⇄

▮ 87'

Yellow Card

FT 2–2

Cherno More Varna

Match Stats

Lokomotiv Sofia

58% Ball Possession 42%

12 Total Shots 8

4 Shots on Goal 3

8 Shots off Goal 5

0 Blocked Shots 0

9 Corner Kicks 5

4 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 1

0 Free Kicks 0

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Cherno More Varna lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

55%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Cherno More Varna

DDLLW

Lokomotiv Sofia

WLDLD

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

27%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Lokomotiv Sofia goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	6	4	2
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5		1

↑ Cherno More Varna goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Dlaczego ten typ? · Premium AI Deep-Dive · Premium

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

29%

Away Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

29%

Away Win

27%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

63% Home (No Draw) 37% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 27% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS Yes 45% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	6.4%	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.2%	13.8%	6.9%	2.6%	0.7%
2	8.2%	9.3%	5.3%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.2%	4.8%	2.7%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.6%	1.8%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

50%

1.5

50%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

21%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cherno More Varna	Draw	Lokomotiv Sofia
Cherno More Varna	26.3%	4.6%	2.0%
Draw	17.4%	18.1%	12.0%
Lokomotiv Sofia	2.3%	3.9%	13.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Cherno More Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Cherno More Varna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Arda Kardzhali	D	1 - 1
11 Sep	H Lokomotiv Sofia	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Lokomotiv Plovdiv	L	1 - 0
30 Aug	A CSKA Sofia	L	3 - 1
21 Aug	H Dunav Ruse	W	3 - 1

Lokomotiv Sofia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Spartak Varna	W	0 - 1
16 Sep	H CSKA Sofia	L	0 - 2
11 Sep	A Cherno More Varna	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	H Ludogorets	L	1 - 2
31 Aug	A Dunav Ruse	D	2 - 2

First League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Levski Sofia	9	8	1	0	21	4	+17	25
2	CSKA Sofia	10	7	3	0	24	7	+17	24
3	Ludogorets	9	7	2	0	16	7	+9	23
4	CSKA 1948	10	7	1	2	19	10	+9	22
5	Arda Kardzhali	10	5	2	3	15	12	+3	17
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16	14	+2	16
7	Slavia Sofia	10	2	5	3	9	8	+1	11
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10	15	-5	10
9	Botev Vratsa	10	2	3	5	9	19	-10	9
10	Septemvri Sofia	10	2	2	6	8	18	-10	8
11	Lokomotiv Sofia	10	1	4	5	11	18	-7	7
12	Lokomotiv Plovdiv	10	2	1	7	5	13	-8	7
13	Cherno More Varna	10	1	3	6	11	20	-9	6
14	Dunav Ruse	10	1	2	7	10	19	-9	5