Cruz Azul vs Atlas Prognoza

Liga MX · Apertura - 5

Post on X

Atlas

Away

Estadio Banorte, Mexico City

Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Cruz Azul

57%

26%

17%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Cruz Azul vs Atlas: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Cruz Azul na 57%, Atlas na 17%, a remisu na 26%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 23 Aug 2026, 05:03.

Typy Premium

Premium

2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
Poniżej 3.5 gola 75%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 30'

Edgar Zaldívar assist: Duk

⚽ 0–2 45'

Florián Monzón

HT 0–2

Osinachi Ebere ⇄ Luka Romero

46' ⇄

Andres Montaño ⇄ Amaury Garcia

46' ⇄

⇄ 68'

Arturo González ⇄ Gustavo Ferrareis

⇄ 68'

Duk ⇄ Victor Rios

Jeremy Márquez ⇄ Rogelio González

69' ⇄

Carlos Rodríguez ⇄ Gabriel Fernández

75' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Edgar Zaldívar ⇄ Sergio Hernandez

Omar Campos

85' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Milton Valenzuela ⇄ Jorge Rodríguez

⇄ 89'

Luís Esteves ⇄ Jesús Serrato

FT 0–2

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Trudna wygrana lub remis Cruz Azul

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Cruz Azul

LLWWW

Atlas

DLDLW

Last 3 meetings Cruz Azul · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Cruz Azul faces Atlas in a Liga MX matchup that promises to be competitive. Cruz Azul has shown a solid home record, scoring an average of 1.8 goals per game while maintaining a defensive solidity with only 1.2 goals conceded. Atlas, on the other hand, has struggled on the road, with a goal-scoring average of just 1.0 per match. Both teams will need to capitalize on set pieces and create clear chances, given their recent form. Expect a tactical battle that could hinge on defensive errors or standout individual performances.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

57%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

17%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Atlas goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2
1	10	14	7	2	1
2	8	9	5	2
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ Cruz Azul goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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Players in form

Cruz Azul

J. Márquez 3 gls

N. Ibáñez 3 gls

Atlas

Luís Esteves 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

26%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

26%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	6.9%	4.6%	1.7%	0.5%
1	9.8%	14.1%	6.8%	2.5%	0.7%
2	8.4%	9.2%	5.0%	1.8%	0.5%
3	4.1%	4.5%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.7%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Cruz Azul	Draw	Atlas
Cruz Azul	27.3%	4.9%	2.0%
Draw	16.1%	18.7%	12.0%
Atlas	1.9%	3.7%	13.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

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Head to Head: Cruz Azul vs Atlas

3 Cruz Azul Wins

0 Draws

0 Atlas Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Cruz Azul	1 - 0	Atlas
03 May 2026	Atlas	2 - 3	Cruz Azul
14 Jan 2026	Cruz Azul	2 - 0	Atlas

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Cruz Azul — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Monterrey	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	A Inter Miami	L	2 - 0
13 Sep	H Club America	W	4 - 3
06 Sep	H Santos Laguna	W	1 - 0
29 Aug	A Necaxa	W	1 - 3

Atlas — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H U.N.A.M. - Pumas	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Toluca	L	5 - 2
06 Sep	H Atlante FC	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Club Queretaro	L	1 - 3
23 Aug	A Cruz Azul	W	0 - 2

Liga MX Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Toluca	9	6	1	2	20	9	+11	19
2	Guadalajara Chivas	9	5	3	1	17	8	+9	18
3	Club America	8	5	2	1	17	8	+9	17
4	Cruz Azul	9	5	0	4	16	15	+1	15
5	Club Queretaro	8	4	2	2	11	8	+3	14
6	Club Tijuana	8	4	2	2	12	10	+2	14
7	Leon	9	4	2	3	12	10	+2	14
8	Puebla	9	4	2	3	11	11	0	14
9	Atlas	9	4	2	3	13	15	-2	14
10	Monterrey	8	4	1	3	14	10	+4	13
11	CF Pachuca	9	3	3	3	15	10	+5	12
12	U.N.A.M. - Pumas	9	3	3	3	12	13	-1	12
13	Atletico San Luis	9	2	3	4	11	16	-5	9
14	Atlante FC	9	1	5	3	8	13	-5	8
15	Necaxa	9	2	2	5	10	16	-6	8
16	Tigres UANL	9	1	4	4	9	13	-4	7
17	Santos Laguna	9	2	1	6	9	15	-6	7
18	FC Juarez	9	1	0	8	6	23	-17	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.