Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock Prognoza

Premiership Premiership · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
Pittodrie Stadium, Aberdeen
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Aberdeen
55%
25%
20%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Aberdeen na 55%, Kilmarnock na 20%, a remisu na 25%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 5 Sep 2026, 15:52.

Timeline

Christopher Cadden Yellow Card
36' ▮
▮ 38'
Aaron Tshibola Yellow Card
▮ 43'
Tom Lowery Yellow Card
Kevin Nisbet ⇄ Toyosi Olusanya
45' ⇄
Mitchy Ntelo ⇄ Ayoub Mouloua
45' ⇄
Tony Yogane ⇄ Mats Knoester
45' ⇄
HT 0–0
▮ 52'
Yellow Card
Ayoub Mouloua Yellow Card
52' ▮
Mats Knoester Yellow Card
62' ▮
⇄ 62'
D. Daniels ⇄ Rory McKenzie
Lewis Smith ⇄ Findlay Marshall
62' ⇄
Nesta Guinness-Walker ⇄ Gavin Molloy
74' ⇄
Lewis Mayo Yellow Card
75' ▮
⇄ 76'
Erik Ring ⇄ Tyreece John-Jules
⇄ 84'
Greg Kiltie ⇄ M. O'Hara
Stuart Armstrong Yellow Card
88' ▮
FT 0–0
Aberdeen

Match Stats

Kilmarnock
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 4
5 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 2
6 Shots insidebox 8
4 Shots outsidebox 3
6 Corner Kicks 7
12 Fouls 13
5 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
454 Total passes 381
381 Passes accurate 297
13 Free Kicks 12
Aberdeen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
27 Marius Müller G 7.7 90' – – – 29 (21%) –
17 Stuart Armstrong M 7.2 90' – – 2 82 (76%) 1
26 Daniel Happe D 7.0 90' – – – 60 (53%) –
40 Findlay Marshall M 6.9 28' – – – 8 (7%) –
24 Nesta Guinness-Walker D 6.8 74' – – 1 32 (27%) 2
9 Ayoub Mouloua F 6.7 44' – – 1 5 (2%) 1
5 Mats Knoester D 6.7 44' – – – 29 (28%) 1
7 Tony Yogane M 6.6 46' – – 1 8 (5%) 2
31 Mitchy Ntelo F 6.6 46' – – – 10 (7%) –
32 Afeez Aremu M 6.5 90' – – – 52 (45%) 4
15 Kevin Nisbet F 6.5 46' – – – 6 (4%) –
11 Lewis Smith M 6.4 62' – – 2 19 (16%) 1
21 Gavin Molloy D 6.3 16' – – – 11 (10%) –
20 Toyosi Olusanya F 6.3 44' – – 1 7 (6%) –
23 Lewis Mayo D 6.2 90' – – 1 52 (43%) 1
28 Christopher Cadden D 6.1 90' – – 1 36 (28%) 1
Kilmarnock
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Erik Ring M 7.2 76' – – 2 13 (11%) –
7 Rory McKenzie M 7.0 28' – – – 17 (15%) –
4 C. McCarthy D 6.9 90' – – 2 37 (30%) 1
1 Max Stryjek G 6.8 90' – – – 31 (18%) –
10 Tyreece John-Jules F 6.7 14' – – – 3 (1%) 2
2 Jamie Brandon D 6.6 90' – – 1 32 (27%) 1
14 George Stanger D 6.6 90' – – – 30 (22%) 1
18 Tom Lowery M 6.6 90' – – 2 57 (50%) 2
21 Michael Schjønning-Larsen D 6.5 90' – – – 27 (19%) 3
36 Aaron Tshibola M 6.4 82' – – 1 56 (52%) 2
29 D. Daniels F 6.4 62' – – – 18 (12%) 4
11 Greg Kiltie M 6.3 84' – – 3 42 (29%) 2
9 Joe Hugill F 6.3 90' – – – 15 (11%) –
5 M. O'Hara M 6.1 6' – – – – –
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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Aberdeen
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Aberdeen
DWDDL
Kilmarnock
DWDDL
Last 3 meetings Aberdeen · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premiership clash, Aberdeen will face Kilmarnock at their home ground. Historically, Aberdeen has a strong record against Kilmarnock, having won 60% of their last 10 encounters. Kilmarnock will need to improve their away form, as they have only secured 1 win in their last 5 matches on the road. Both teams have shown inconsistency in their offensive output, with Aberdeen averaging 1.5 goals per game and Kilmarnock slightly lower at 1.2. The match could hinge on which team manages to capitalize on defensive mistakes, making it a critical fixture for both sides.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
55%
45%
Draw
25%
45%
Away
20%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Aberdeen
K. Nisbet 3 gls
Kilmarnock

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Aberdeen vs Kilmarnock

1 Aberdeen Wins
1 Draws
1 Kilmarnock Wins
Date Home Score Away
12 Sep 2026 Kilmarnock 1 - 1 Aberdeen
31 Jan 2026 Kilmarnock 3 - 0 Aberdeen
14 Dec 2025 Aberdeen 2 - 1 Kilmarnock
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Aberdeen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Hibernian D 1 - 1
15 Sep A Motherwell W 0 - 4
12 Sep A Kilmarnock D 1 - 1
05 Sep H Kilmarnock D 0 - 0
02 Sep A Celtic L 3 - 0

Kilmarnock — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Heart Of Midlothian D 1 - 1
15 Sep A Hibernian W 0 - 1
12 Sep H Aberdeen D 1 - 1
05 Sep A Aberdeen D 0 - 0
02 Sep H ST Mirren L 0 - 1

Premiership Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Celtic
7 6 0 1 +10 18
2
Rangers
7 5 1 1 +4 16
3
Heart Of Midlothian
7 4 1 2 +6 13
4
Dundee
7 3 1 3 +2 10
5
ST Mirren
7 3 1 3 -1 10
6
ST Johnstone
7 2 2 3 -1 8
7
Aberdeen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
8
Dundee Utd
7 2 2 3 -2 8
9
Motherwell
7 2 2 3 -2 8
10
Hibernian
7 2 1 4 -3 7
11
Falkirk
7 1 3 3 -3 6
12
Kilmarnock
7 1 2 4 -9 5

Kilmarnock

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: N. McCann
1 Stryjek
21 Schjønning-Larsen
14 Stanger
4 McCarthy
2 Brandon
36 Tshibola
8 Ring
18 Lowery
11 Kiltie
9 Hugill
29 Daniels

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 M. Stryjek G
2 J. Brandon D
4 C. McCarthy D
14 G. Stanger D
21 M. Schjønning-Larsen D
36 A. Tshibola M
11 G. Kiltie M
18 T. Lowery M
8 E. Ring M
29 D. Daniels F
9 J. Hugill F

Substitutes

20 N. Cleșcenco F
3 Michael-John Kamson-Kamara D
7 R. McKenzie M
19 J. Meier D
5 M. O'Hara M
49 B. Rice M
12 C. Ferrie G
10 T. John-Jules F
27 I. Owen F

Aberdeen

Formation: 4-1-3-2 Coach: S. Robinson
27 Müller
24 Guinness-Walker
26 Happe
23 Mayo
28 Cadden
32 Aremu
7 Yogane
17 Armstrong
11 Smith
15 Nisbet
31 Ntelo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
27 M. Müller G
28 C. Cadden D
23 L. Mayo D
26 D. Happe D
24 N. Guinness-Walker D
32 A. Aremu M
11 L. Smith M
17 S. Armstrong M
7 Tony Yogane M
31 M. Ntelo F
15 K. Nisbet F

Substitutes

10 A. Briedl M
30 D. Klein G
5 M. Knoester D
40 F. Marshall M
22 J. Milne D
21 G. Molloy D
9 A. Mouloua F
20 T. Olusanya F
18 A. Palaversa M

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