Lokomotiv vs Fakel Prognoza

Premier League · Regular Season - 21

20 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Fakel

Away

Typowanie AI Zbyt wyrównane, by wskazać faworyta

53%

30%

17%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Lokomotiv vs Fakel: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Lokomotiv na 53%, Fakel na 17%, a remisu na 30%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 31 Aug 2026, 15:58.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:0 · 15%

Both teams to score

41%

Over 2.5 goals

37%

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Lokomotiv

DLWDL

Fakel

LDLDL

Last 3 meetings Lokomotiv · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Lokomotiv will face Fakel on March 20, 2027. Lokomotiv has shown a strong home record, with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match this season and a solid defensive record conceding only 1 goal per game. Fakel, while competitive, struggles against teams in the top half, averaging 1.2 goals per match and yielding 1.5. This match will be crucial for both teams as they aim to improve their standings and capitalize on each other's weaknesses. Expect a tactical battle, with Lokomotiv likely to dominate possession and seek to exploit Fakel's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

53%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fakel goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	13	7	3	1
1	15	13	4	1
2	12	9	3	1
3	6	4	2
4	2	2	1
5	1

↑ Lokomotiv goals · most likely 1–0 (15.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

30%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

53%

Draw

30%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

76% Home (No Draw) 24% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

53% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

59% BTTS No 41% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

22%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.9%	6.6%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
1	15.0%	13.5%	4.3%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.1%	8.7%	3.1%	0.8%	0.1%
3	5.9%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%	0.1%
4	2.2%	1.6%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lokomotiv	Draw	Fakel
Lokomotiv	33.0%	3.6%	0.8%
Draw	19.7%	20.7%	7.6%
Fakel	1.8%	3.5%	9.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

57%

1.5

43%

82%

2.5

18%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lokomotiv vs Fakel

3 Lokomotiv Wins

0 Draws

0 Fakel Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 May 2025	Fakel	0 - 1	Lokomotiv
09 Nov 2024	Lokomotiv	2 - 1	Fakel
18 May 2024	Lokomotiv	2 - 0	Fakel

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Lokomotiv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	H Krylia Sovetov	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Zenit	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Baltika	W	0 - 1
01 Sep	A Akron	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	H Dynamo	L	0 - 1

Fakel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
16 Sep	A Spartak Moscow	L	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Baltika	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	A FC Rostov	L	3 - 1
01 Sep	H FC Krasnodar	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Zenit	L	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Krasnodar	9	6	3	0	14	7	+7	21
2	Dynamo	9	6	1	2	14	8	+6	19
3	CSKA Moscow	9	5	4	0	15	9	+6	19
4	Spartak Moscow	9	6	1	2	16	7	+9	19
5	Zenit	9	6	0	3	19	9	+10	18
6	Rubin	9	2	6	1	12	11	+1	12
7	Dinamo Makhachkala	9	4	0	5	15	16	-1	12
8	Baltika	9	3	2	4	14	12	+2	11
9	Krylia Sovetov	9	2	5	2	13	14	-1	11
10	Akhmat	9	2	4	3	13	13	0	10
11	FC Orenburg	9	1	6	2	7	10	-3	9
12	FC Rostov	9	2	2	5	10	17	-7	8
13	Akron	9	1	5	3	11	18	-7	8
14	Lokomotiv	9	1	4	4	8	11	-3	7
15	Rodina Moskva	9	1	2	6	10	22	-12	5
16	Fakel	9	0	3	6	6	13	-7	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.