Nacional vs Vitória SC Prognoza

Primeira Liga · Regular Season - 20

31 Jan 2027, 16:00

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Vitória SC

Away

Typowanie AI Vitória SC – wygrana lub remis

21%

73%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Nacional vs Vitória SC: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Nacional na 7%, Vitória SC na 73%, a remisu na 21%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 17.4%

Both teams to score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Nacional

LLLLL

Vitória SC

DLDLW

Last 3 meetings Nacional · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Primeira Liga clash, Nacional will face Guimaraes at their home ground. Nacional's recent form shows a mixed bag of results, highlighting their inconsistency, while Guimaraes has shown a stronger performance in away matches, with key players contributing significantly to their goal tally. The match could pivot on Nacional's ability to control the midfield and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Guimaraes, who have occasionally struggled against high-pressing teams. Both teams will be eager for points, making this a potentially competitive encounter.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

21%

45%

Away

73%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vitória SC goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	10	16	17	12	6	2
1	3	9	8	5	3	1
2	1	2	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Nacional goals · most likely 0–2 (17.4%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

73%

Draw

21%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

73%

Draw

21%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

92% Away (No Draw) 8% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

47% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Away Scores More 21% Equal Goals 7% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

67% BTTS No 33% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

19%

27%

22%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.7%	16.3%	17.4%	11.6%	5.8%
1	3.0%	9.0%	8.0%	5.3%	2.7%
2	0.9%	1.8%	1.8%	1.2%	0.6%
3	0.1%	0.3%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Nacional	Draw	Vitória SC
Nacional	3.5%	2.3%	1.8%
Draw	3.1%	14.6%	23.5%
Vitória SC	0.3%	2.2%	48.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

63%

29%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Away Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

77%

1.5

23%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Nacional vs Vitória SC

1 Nacional Wins

0 Draws

2 Vitória SC Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Aug 2026	Vitória SC	1 - 0	Nacional
16 May 2026	Nacional	2 - 0	Vitória SC
02 Jan 2026	Vitória SC	2 - 1	Nacional

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Nacional — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Famalicao	L	0 - 4
12 Sep	H Alverca	L	1 - 3
05 Sep	A Sporting CP	L	2 - 0
30 Aug	H Estrela	L	2 - 3
23 Aug	A Vitória SC	L	1 - 0

Vitória SC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Moreirense	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A Academico Viseu	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Casa Pia	D	0 - 0
31 Aug	A SC Braga	L	1 - 0
23 Aug	H Nacional	W	1 - 0

Primeira Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Porto	7	7	0	0	18	3	+15	21
2	Benfica	7	5	1	1	22	7	+15	16
3	Sporting CP	7	4	3	0	17	8	+9	15
4	Santa Clara	7	4	3	0	11	4	+7	15
5	Arouca	7	3	2	2	10	7	+3	11
6	SC Braga	6	3	2	1	7	5	+2	11
7	Academico Viseu	7	3	2	2	9	9	0	11
8	Estrela	7	2	4	1	14	14	0	10
9	GIL Vicente	6	2	2	2	5	5	0	8
10	Alverca	7	2	2	3	9	11	-2	8
11	Maritimo	7	2	2	3	8	12	-4	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	8	14	-6	8
13	Famalicao	7	1	4	2	9	7	+2	7
14	Vitória SC	7	1	2	4	5	8	-3	5
15	Nacional	7	1	1	5	7	15	-8	4
16	Rio Ave	7	1	1	5	5	15	-10	4
17	Casa Pia	7	1	1	5	3	16	-13	4
18	Estoril	7	0	2	5	3	10	-7	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.