PEC Zwolle vs Willem II Prognoza

Eredivisie · Regular Season - 25

07 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Willem II

Away

Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis PEC Zwolle

57%

26%

17%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza PEC Zwolle vs Willem II: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej PEC Zwolle na 57%, Willem II na 17%, a remisu na 26%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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PEC Zwolle

LLDLW

Willem II

LLDLD

Last 3 meetings PEC Zwolle · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

PEC Zwolle faces Willem II in a crucial Eredivisie clash. Zwolle has struggled defensively this season, conceding an average of 2 goals per match, while their offense has been inconsistent, averaging 1.1 goals per game. In contrast, Willem II has shown better form on the attack, scoring an average of 1.5 goals per match, but their defense has also been leaky, conceding 1.8 goals. The match could hinge on Zwolle's ability to tighten their backline and capitalize on any defensive lapses from Willem II. Both teams will be eager for points as the season progresses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

57%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Willem II goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	11	12	5	2
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ PEC Zwolle goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

26%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

26%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

71%

3.5

29%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.0%	4.5%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.5%	12.3%	5.0%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.9%	10.0%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.7%	6.1%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.1%	2.8%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	PEC Zwolle	Draw	Willem II
PEC Zwolle	37.0%	3.8%	1.1%
Draw	19.2%	16.0%	7.0%
Willem II	2.5%	3.8%	9.5%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

40%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: PEC Zwolle vs Willem II

2 PEC Zwolle Wins

0 Draws

1 Willem II Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 May 2025	Willem II	1 - 2	PEC Zwolle
13 Dec 2024	PEC Zwolle	0 - 1	Willem II
14 Jan 2022	PEC Zwolle	2 - 0	Willem II

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PEC Zwolle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Groningen	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Feyenoord	L	0 - 7
04 Sep	A Sparta Rotterdam	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	H NEC Nijmegen	L	1 - 3
22 Aug	A Heerenveen	W	0 - 2

Willem II — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Fortuna Sittard	L	0 - 1
15 Sep	A Ajax	L	5 - 1
11 Sep	A AZ Alkmaar	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Excelsior	L	0 - 3
30 Aug	H Heerenveen	D	2 - 2

Eredivisie Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AZ Alkmaar	7	6	1	0	18	6	+12	19
2	Feyenoord	7	5	2	0	25	7	+18	17
3	PSV Eindhoven	7	5	1	1	24	10	+14	16
4	Twente	7	5	1	1	15	7	+8	16
5	Ajax	7	4	2	1	21	9	+12	14
6	Fortuna Sittard	7	4	1	2	13	14	-1	13
7	Excelsior	7	3	2	2	15	9	+6	11
8	Groningen	7	3	2	2	15	13	+2	11
9	GO Ahead Eagles	7	2	4	1	16	14	+2	10
10	Heerenveen	7	2	3	2	11	9	+2	9
11	NEC Nijmegen	7	2	2	3	12	13	-1	8
12	Sparta Rotterdam	7	1	2	4	10	17	-7	5
13	Telstar	7	1	2	4	5	12	-7	5
14	Cambuur	7	1	2	4	10	19	-9	5
15	Utrecht	7	1	2	4	11	24	-13	5
16	PEC Zwolle	7	1	1	5	6	20	-14	4
17	ADO Den Haag	7	0	2	5	7	17	-10	2
18	Willem II	7	0	2	5	6	20	-14	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.