NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior Prognoza

Eredivisie Eredivisie · Regular Season - 3
FT
Post on X
Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis NEC Nijmegen
53%
24%
23%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej NEC Nijmegen na 53%, Excelsior na 23%, a remisu na 24%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 8 Sep 2026, 18:40.

Typy Premium

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  • 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
  • Gość strzela 73%
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Timeline

Jamiro Monteiro Yellow Card
4' ▮
Adam Tahaui assist: Willum Thor Willumsson
10' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 43'
David Garden assist: Irakli Yegoian
Jamiro Monteiro ⇄ P. Schuurs
45' ⇄
Bram Nuytinck ⇄ Philippe Sandler
45' ⇄
⇄ 45'
Simon Janssen ⇄ K. Bos
HT 1–1
▮ 52'
Lennard Hartjes Yellow Card
D. Geiger ⇄ Noe Lebreton
63' ⇄
Isak Hansen Aarøen ⇄ Kevin Kers
63' ⇄
⇄ 67'
David Garden ⇄ Nesto Groen
⇄ 67'
Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson ⇄ Aymen Sliti
▮ 70'
Rick Meissen Yellow Card
⇄ 71'
Eric da Silva Moreira ⇄ Valentin Sulzbacher
⚽ 1–2 73'
Valentin Sulzbacher assist: Aymen Sliti
⇄ 81'
Ilano Silva Timas ⇄ Alireza Jahanbakhsh
Gabriel Brás ⇄ Clement Bischoff
87' ⇄
Noe Lebreton assist: P. Schuurs
90+2' ⚽ 2–2
▮ 90+5'
Valentin Sulzbacher Yellow Card
FT 2–2
NEC Nijmegen

Match Stats

Excelsior
69% Ball Possession 31%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Goal 5
5 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 4
8 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 7
2 Corner Kicks 4
3 Offsides 0
5 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
675 Total passes 297
579 Passes accurate 212
15 Free Kicks 5
NEC Nijmegen
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
20 Noe Lebreton M 7.8 27' 1 – 1 17 (15%) 1
19 Adam Tahaui M 7.6 90' 1 – 1 39 (31%) –
99 Clement Bischoff F 6.9 3' – – – 9 (6%) –
34 Kevin Kers F 6.9 27' – – – 9 (9%) –
21 Tobias Storm D 6.7 90' – – – 77 (71%) 3
35 Jamiro Monteiro M 6.6 46' – – – 32 (30%) 2
3 Philippe Sandler D 6.5 44' – – – 57 (52%) 1
4 P. Schuurs D 6.5 44' – 1 2 46 (40%) 2
11 Willum Thor Willumsson M 6.4 90' – 1 2 49 (41%) 1
17 Bram Nuytinck D 6.4 46' – – – 35 (32%) 1
73 Gabriel Brás D 6.3 87' – – 1 101 (88%) 1
18 D. Geiger M 6.3 63' – – – 43 (37%) 2
12 Nikolas Polster G 6.2 90' – – – 65 (47%) –
8 Isak Hansen Aarøen M 6.1 63' – – – 30 (23%) 2
77 A. Thomas M 6.0 90' – – 3 39 (33%) 2
10 Dušan Tadić F 5.9 90' – – 1 26 (23%) –
Excelsior
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 David Garden F 7.8 67' 1 – 2 11 (7%) –
18 Valentin Sulzbacher M 7.2 19' 1 – 1 2 –
7 Aymen Sliti F 6.9 23' – 1 1 3 (2%) 1
8 Irakli Yegoian M 6.8 90' – 1 5 28 (20%) 2
14 Jan Plug D 6.7 90' – – – 29 (26%) 5
12 K. Bos F 6.7 44' – – – 6 (5%) 2
11 Alireza Jahanbakhsh F 6.6 9' – – – 1 (1%) 1
21 Ilano Silva Timas F 6.6 81' – – – 16 (13%) 3
28 Nesto Groen F 6.6 23' – – 1 3 (3%) 1
30 Ágúst Orri Thorsteinsson F 6.3 67' – – 2 11 (9%) –
1 Stijn van Gassel G 6.3 90' – – – 59 (35%) –
2 Eric da Silva Moreira M 6.3 71' – – – 19 (12%) 4
4 Casper Widell D 6.1 90' – – – 48 (38%) 1
15 Simon Janssen M 6.0 46' – – – 7 (6%) 1
20 Lennard Hartjes M 5.8 90' – – – 22 (14%) –
3 Rick Meissen D 5.7 90' – – 2 32 (21%) 3
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Confidence Medium (53%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis NEC Nijmegen
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NEC Nijmegen
DLLDL
Excelsior
DLDWW
Last 3 meetings NEC Nijmegen · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

NEC Nijmegen will face Excelsior in a crucial Eredivisie matchup. NEC has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per game this season, while Excelsior has struggled, allowing 1.8 goals per match. Offensively, NEC has been more efficient, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game compared to Excelsior's 1.2. The key for NEC will be to leverage their defensive stability to stifle Excelsior's attack, while Excelsior must find a way to improve their goal-scoring to compete effectively. This match could be pivotal in shaping the early season standings for both teams.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
53%
10%
Draw
24%
45%
Away
23%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

NEC Nijmegen

No scorer data.

Excelsior
A. Sliti 3 gls

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Head to Head: NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior

3 NEC Nijmegen Wins
0 Draws
0 Excelsior Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Apr 2026 Excelsior 0 - 2 NEC Nijmegen
09 Aug 2025 NEC Nijmegen 5 - 0 Excelsior
06 May 2024 Excelsior 0 - 3 NEC Nijmegen
Zobacz wszystkie 10 spotkania — Premium

NEC Nijmegen — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H GO Ahead Eagles D 1 - 1
17 Sep A Juventus L 5 - 0
12 Sep A Cambuur L 3 - 0
08 Sep H Excelsior D 2 - 2
05 Sep H Feyenoord L 1 - 3

Excelsior — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Ajax D 2 - 2
13 Sep H Utrecht L 1 - 2
08 Sep A NEC Nijmegen D 2 - 2
05 Sep A Willem II W 0 - 3
29 Aug H Sparta Rotterdam W 2 - 1

Eredivisie Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
AZ Alkmaar
7 6 1 0 +12 19
2
Feyenoord
7 5 2 0 +18 17
3
PSV Eindhoven
7 5 1 1 +14 16
4
Twente
7 5 1 1 +8 16
5
Ajax
7 4 2 1 +12 14
6
Fortuna Sittard
7 4 1 2 -1 13
7
Excelsior
7 3 2 2 +6 11
8
Groningen
7 3 2 2 +2 11
9
GO Ahead Eagles
7 2 4 1 +2 10
10
Heerenveen
7 2 3 2 +2 9
11
NEC Nijmegen
7 2 2 3 -1 8
12
Sparta Rotterdam
7 1 2 4 -7 5
13
Telstar
7 1 2 4 -7 5
14
Cambuur
7 1 2 4 -9 5
15
Utrecht
7 1 2 4 -13 5
16
PEC Zwolle
7 1 1 5 -14 4
17
ADO Den Haag
7 0 2 5 -10 2
18
Willem II
7 0 2 5 -14 2

Excelsior

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: R. den Uil
1 Gassel
14 Plug
4 Widell
3 Meissen
15 Janssen
20 Hartjes
8 Yegoian
2 Moreira
30 Þorsteinsson
19 Garden
21 Timas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 S. van Gassel G
3 R. Meissen D
4 C. Widell D
14 J. Plug D
2 Eric Emanuel da Silva Moreira M
8 I. Yegoian M
20 L. Hartjes M
15 S. Janssen M
21 I. Silva Timas F
19 D. Garden F
30 Á. Þorsteinsson F

Substitutes

12 K. Bos F
24 Giulliano Cairo M
9 Mario Domínguez F
28 N. Groen F
11 A. Jahanbakhsh F
23 Y. Finey M
7 A. Sliti F
18 V. Sulzbacher M
22 O. Turay D
6 D. van Vianen M
16 Celton Biai G

NEC Nijmegen

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: David Pagou
12 Polster
21 Storm
17 Nuytinck
73 Brás
77 Thomas
18 Geiger
35 Monteiro
19 Tahaui
8 Hansen-Aarøen
11 Willumsson
10 Tadić

Starting XI

# Player Pos
12 N. Polster G
73 Gabriel Brás D
17 B. Nuytinck D
21 T. Storm D
19 Adam Tahaui M
35 Jamiro Monteiro M
18 D. Geiger M
77 A. Thomas M
11 W. Willumsson M
8 I. Hansen-Aarøen M
10 D. Tadić F

Substitutes

14 K. Sierhuis F
38 Joep Geneste G
1 G. Crettaz G
9 T. Chery M
66 Almugera Raouf Mohammed Kabar D
34 Kevin Kers F
20 N. Lebreton M
99 Clement Bischoff F
3 P. Sandler D
4 P. Schuurs D

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