Lyon vs Sparta Praha Prognoza

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · 3rd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
3 : 0
HT 1 - 0
Mecz pierwszej rundy 1-2 · Łącznie 4-2
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Lyon
64%
21%
15%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Lyon vs Sparta Praha: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Lyon na 64%, Sparta Praha na 15%, a remisu na 21%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 11 Aug 2026, 20:52.

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Match Report

Lyon eased into the next round of UEFA Champions League qualifying with a commanding 3–0 victory over Sparta Praha, a result that our pre-match AI model had rated most likely at 64%. Ernest Nuamah broke the deadlock in the 20th minute, and Sparta's task grew considerably harder when Adam Ševinský was shown a red card on 34 minutes, leaving the visitors to defend with ten men for the remainder of the match.

Lyon capitalised on their numerical advantage after the break, with Ainsley Maitland-Niles doubling the lead on 66 minutes despite having picked up a yellow card earlier in the half. Tyler Morton added a third on 73 minutes to put the result beyond any doubt and cap a thoroughly dominant display from the French side.

The statistics underlined Lyon's control throughout: they held 56% possession, registered 19 total shots to Sparta's six, and earned seven corner kicks compared to just one for the visitors. Sparta managed only a single shot on target across the entire ninety minutes, reflecting how effectively Lyon neutralised the Czech side's attacking threat.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ernest Nuamah
20' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 34'
Adam Ševinský Red Card
⇄ 37'
Andy Irving ⇄ Jaroslav Zelený
HT 1–0
Ainsley Maitland-Niles Yellow Card
54' ▮
⇄ 64'
Jonatan Braut Brunes ⇄ Ebrima Singhateh
⇄ 64'
Roman Macek ⇄ Santiago Eneme
Ainsley Maitland-Niles assist: Corentin Tolisso
66' ⚽ 2–0
Tyler Morton
73' ⚽ 3–0
⇄ 73'
John Mercado
⇄ 73'
Adam Karabec ⇄ Hugo Sochurek
Ernest Nuamah ⇄ Kaïl Boudache
76' ⇄
Ainsley Maitland-Niles ⇄ Clinton Mata
76' ⇄
Abner Vinícius ⇄ Mohamed Ouédraogo
85' ⇄
Malick Fofana ⇄ Julien Duranville
85' ⇄
Corentin Tolisso ⇄ Noah Nartey
88' ⇄
▮ 89'
Matěj Ryneš Yellow Card
FT 3–0
Lyon

Match Stats

Sparta Praha
56% Ball Possession 44%
Expected Goals (xG)
19 Total Shots 6
11 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 3
3 Blocked Shots 2
11 Shots insidebox 3
8 Shots outsidebox 3
7 Corner Kicks 1
2 Offsides 1
20 Fouls 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 1
1 Goalkeeper Saves 8
506 Total passes 395
435 Passes accurate 326
86% Passes % 83%
goals_prevented
Lyon
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
23 Tyler Morton M 8.7 93' 1 – 3 61 (55%) 1
8 Corentin Tolisso M 8.2 88' – 1 3 41 (35%) 3
7 Ernest Nuamah M 7.5 76' 1 – 2 22 (16%) 3
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles D 7.3 76' 1 – 1 42 (33%) 2
16 Abner Vinícius D 7.3 85' – – – 64 (55%) 1
19 Moussa Niakhaté D 7.2 93' – – – 92 (84%) 2
21 Ruben Kluivert D 7.2 93' – – – 63 (56%) 3
6 Tanner Tessmann M 6.9 93' – – – 29 (24%) 1
24 Julien Duranville F 6.7 8' – – – 1 (1%) 1
1 Dominik Greif G 6.7 93' – – – 23 (19%) –
22 Clinton Mata D 6.7 17' – – – 13 (13%) 1
11 Malick Fofana M 6.7 85' – – 4 32 (26%) 1
76 Mohamed Ouédraogo D 6.7 8' – – – 7 (6%) –
26 Kaïl Boudache F 6.6 17' – – 1 5 (4%) –
17 Loïs Openda F 6.2 93' – – 2 10 (8%) –
99 Noah Nartey M — 5' – – – 1 1
Sparta Praha
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
44 Jakub Surovčík G 7.3 93' – – – 39 (24%) –
17 John Mercado M 6.9 74' – – 1 18 (11%) 1
28 Roman Macek M 6.9 63' – – – 40 (35%) 2
38 Hugo Sochurek M 6.7 20' – – – 11 (10%) 1
7 Josimar Alcócer M 6.7 93' – – – 23 (21%) 1
5 Santiago Eneme M 6.7 30' – – 1 18 (17%) 2
25 Asger Sørensen D 6.6 93' – – – 58 (54%) 2
18 Andy Irving M 6.5 37' – – – 19 (15%) –
14 Jonatan Braut Brunes F 6.5 63' – – 1 5 (5%) –
27 Ebrima Singhateh M 6.5 30' – – – 6 (5%) –
11 Matěj Ryneš D 6.3 93' – – – 60 (47%) 3
15 Viktor Vitályos D 6.3 19' – – – 9 (8%) –
30 Jaroslav Zelený D 6.2 56' – – – 15 (14%) –
10 Adam Karabec M 6.0 73' – – 1 17 (14%) –
2 Martin Suchomel D 5.7 93' – – – 28 (21%) –
19 Adam Ševinský D 5.3 34' – – – 29 (25%) –
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Confidence Medium (64%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis Lyon
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Lyon
WWDWD
Sparta Praha
WWWWL
Last 3 meetings Lyon · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

Lyon faces Sparta Praha in a crucial UEFA Champions League encounter. Lyon's attack has shown strength, averaging 2.1 goals per match in their last five fixtures, while their defense has conceded 1.2 goals per match. Sparta Praha will need to tighten their defense, having allowed an average of 1.5 goals per match in recent outings. Both teams will be keen to secure points early in the group stage, making this a vital clash for their ambitions. Tactical discipline and scoring efficiency could ultimately determine the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
64%
10%
Draw
21%
45%
Away
15%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Lyon vs Sparta Praha

2 Lyon Wins
0 Draws
1 Sparta Praha Wins
Date Home Score Away
04 Aug 2026 Sparta Praha 2 - 1 Lyon
04 Nov 2021 Lyon 3 - 0 Sparta Praha
21 Oct 2021 Sparta Praha 3 - 4 Lyon

Lyon — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Rennes W 4 - 0
16 Sep A Anderlecht W 1 - 2
12 Sep A Paris FC D 0 - 0
04 Sep H Auxerre W 3 - 1
29 Aug H Le Havre D 1 - 1

Sparta Praha — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Sigma Olomouc W 0 - 3
16 Sep A Ararat-Armenia W 1 - 4
12 Sep H FK Jablonec W 2 - 0
09 Sep A Viktoria Žižkov W 0 - 5
06 Sep A Hradec Králové L 2 - 1

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Lyon

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Paulo Fonseca
1 Greif
16 Vinícius
19 Niakhaté
21 Kluivert
98 Maitland-Niles
23 Morton
6 Tessmann
11 Fofana
8 Tolisso
7 Nuamah
17 Openda

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Dominik Greif G
98 Ainsley Maitland-Niles D
21 Ruben Kluivert D
19 Moussa Niakhaté D
16 Abner Vinícius D
6 Tanner Tessmann M
23 Tyler Morton M
7 Ernest Nuamah M
8 Corentin Tolisso M
11 Malick Fofana M
17 Loïs Openda F

Substitutes

40 Rémy Descamps G
25 Justin Bengui G
22 Clinton Mata D
37 Steeve Kango D
85 Noham Kamara D
39 Mathys de Carvalho M
76 Mohamed Ouédraogo D
99 Noah Nartey M
24 Julien Duranville F
26 Kaïl Boudache F
45 Rémi Himbert F

Sparta Praha

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Brian Priske
44 Surovčík
11 Ryneš
25 Sørensen
19 Ševinský
2 Suchomel
18 Irving
28 Macek
7 Alcócer
10 Karabec
17 Mercado
14 Brunes

Starting XI

# Player Pos
44 Jakub Surovčík G
2 Martin Suchomel D
19 Adam Ševinský D
25 Asger Sørensen D
11 Matěj Ryneš D
28 Roman Macek M
18 Andy Irving M
17 John Mercado M
10 Adam Karabec M
7 Josimar Alcócer M
14 Jonatan Braut Brunes F

Substitutes

30 Jaroslav Zelený D
5 Santiago Eneme M
27 Ebrima Singhateh M
38 Hugo Sochurek M
15 Viktor Vitályos D
47 Krisztián Hegyi G
54 Lukas Franc G
3 Pavel Kadeřábek D
21 Joao Grimaldo F
24 Dominik Hollý M
29 Matyáš Vojta F
36 Garang Kuol M

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