Paris FC vs Rennes Prognoza

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 7

Post on X

Rennes

Away

Stade Jean Bouin, Paris

Typowanie AI Paris FC lub remis

43%

27%

30%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Paris FC vs Rennes: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Paris FC na 43%, Rennes na 30%, a remisu na 27%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 18 Oct 2026, 17:22.

Typy Premium

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Gość strzela 74%
1st Half Home or Draw 75%

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Match Report

Paris FC claimed a dramatic 4–3 victory over Rennes in Ligue 1's seventh matchday, with Esteban Lepaul the central figure in a chaotic, card-filled contest. Maxime López opened the scoring in the 14th minute before Lepaul converted a penalty on 29 minutes to double the home side's advantage. López added a second just before half-time to send Paris FC into the break 2–1 up, with Rennes having pulled one back in between amid a flurry of five yellow cards before the interval.

The second half proved equally eventful. A VAR cancellation denied Rennes an equaliser on 51 minutes, and Lepaul struck from the spot again on 74 minutes to restore Paris FC's two-goal cushion. Lassine Sinayoko reduced the deficit almost immediately, before Lepaul completed his hat-trick from the penalty spot on 88 minutes. Sinayoko then converted a stoppage-time penalty — confirmed by VAR — to set a tense finish, but it proved too late for Rennes.

Despite Rennes enjoying 53% possession and generating 19 total shots to Paris FC's 12, the home side held on. The pre-match AI model had rated a Paris FC win as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that proved correct.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Maxime López assist: Lassine Sinayoko

14' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 23'

Przemysław Frankowski Yellow Card

⚽ 1–1 29'

Esteban Lepaul Penalty

▮ 32'

Djaoui Cissé Yellow Card

▮ 36'

Adrien Thomasson Yellow Card

▮ 36'

Anthony Rouault Yellow Card

Samir Sophian Chergui Yellow Card

42' ▮

⇄ 45'

Adrien Thomasson ⇄ Valentin Rongier

⇄ 45'

Ludovic Blas ⇄ Mousa Tamari

⇄ 45'

Przemysław Frankowski ⇄ Mahamadou Nagida

Maxime López assist: Lassine Sinayoko

45+4' ⚽ 2–1

HT 2–1

🖵 51'

Sebastian Szymański Goal cancelled

⇄ 62'

Djaoui Cissé ⇄ Mahdi Camara

Ilan Kebbal Yellow Card

67' ▮

Pablo Pagis ⇄ Rudy Matondo

70' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 74'

Esteban Lepaul Penalty

Lassine Sinayoko

76' ⚽ 3–2

Hamari Traoré ⇄ Otávio

79' ⇄

⇄ 79'

Issa Soumaré ⇄ Boulaye Dia

Ilan Kebbal ⇄ Moses Simon

79' ⇄

Luca Koleosho ⇄ Moustapha Mbow

86' ⇄

Samir Sophian Chergui ⇄ E. Mbemba

86' ⇄

⚽ 3–3 88'

Esteban Lepaul Penalty

Lassine Sinayoko Penalty confirmed

90+3' 🖵

Hamari Traoré Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

Lassine Sinayoko Penalty

90+7' ⚽ 4–3

FT 4–3

Paris FC

Match Stats

Rennes

53% Ball Possession 47%

3.71 Expected Goals (xG) 3.14

19 Total Shots 12

9 Shots on Goal 7

3 Shots off Goal 1

7 Blocked Shots 4

14 Shots insidebox 7

5 Shots outsidebox 5

3 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 0

13 Fouls 16

3 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

4 Goalkeeper Saves 4

522 Total passes 457

447 Passes accurate 381

14 Free Kicks 11

Paris FC

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Lassine Sinayoko F	9.5	90'	2	2	6	25 (19%)	1
20 Maxime López M	8.7	90'	2	–	2	61 (53%)	3
1 Kevin Trapp G	6.7	90'	–	–	–	38 (29%)	–
17 Adama Camara D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	42 (34%)	2
33 Pierre Lees Melou M	6.5	90'	–	–	1	55 (50%)	1
27 Moses Simon F	6.5	11'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
10 Ilan Kebbal M	6.4	79'	–	–	1	50 (42%)	1
42 Diego Coppola D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	69 (65%)	–
31 Samir Sophian Chergui D	6.2	86'	–	–	1	48 (44%)	–
7 Pablo Pagis M	6.2	70'	–	–	3	30 (25%)	–
14 Hamari Traoré D	6.1	79'	–	–	1	46 (41%)	1
15 Luca Koleosho M	6.1	86'	–	–	3	28 (21%)	2
5 Moustapha Mbow D	6.0	4'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
6 Otávio D	5.9	11'	–	–	–	8 (5%)	1
3 E. Mbemba D	5.9	4'	–	–	–	5 (5%)	–
23 Rudy Matondo M	5.8	20'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–

Rennes

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Esteban Lepaul F	8.3	90'	3	–	4	25 (20%)	–
21 Valentin Rongier M	6.9	44'	–	–	–	40 (39%)	2
10 Ludovic Blas F	6.7	46'	–	–	1	13 (8%)	–
45 Mahdi Camara M	6.5	28'	–	–	2	20 (18%)	–
30 Brice Samba G	6.4	90'	–	–	–	32 (27%)	–
11 Mousa Tamari F	6.4	44'	–	–	2	10 (9%)	–
22 Boulaye Dia F	6.3	11'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
90 Issa Soumaré F	6.2	79'	–	–	–	15 (11%)	1
17 Sebastian Szymański M	6.0	90'	–	–	–	47 (36%)	1
14 Bryan Reynolds D	6.0	90'	–	–	1	32 (30%)	2
95 Przemysław Frankowski D	5.9	46'	–	–	–	20 (17%)	2
24 Anthony Rouault D	5.8	90'	–	–	–	49 (44%)	3
4 Charlie Cresswell D	5.8	90'	–	–	–	75 (58%)	–
6 Djaoui Cissé M	5.7	62'	–	–	2	16 (13%)	1
28 Adrien Thomasson M	5.7	46'	–	–	–	28 (23%)	2
18 Mahamadou Nagida D	5.5	44'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	–

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Paris FC lub remis

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Paris FC

WWLWL

Rennes

DLWDL

Last 2 meetings Paris FC · 0W 0D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash, Paris FC faces Rennes, with both teams looking to solidify their positions in the league. Paris FC has shown resilience at home, boasting a solid defensive record, allowing only 10 goals in their last 8 matches. Rennes, however, comes into this match with a potent attack, averaging 1.8 goals per game this season, underpinned by their playmaker's creativity in midfield. The key battle will likely be between Paris FC's defense and Rennes' forward line, making this a pivotal encounter for both sides as they aim for crucial points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Paris FC

L. Sinayoko 8 gls

Rennes

E. Lepaul 7 gls

S. Szymański 4 gls

B. Dia 4 gls

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Head to Head: Paris FC vs Rennes

0 Paris FC Wins

0 Draws

2 Rennes Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
10 May 2026	Rennes	2 - 1	Paris FC
07 Nov 2025	Paris FC	0 - 1	Rennes

Paris FC — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Auxerre	W	0 - 1
01 Nov	H Monaco	W	3 - 1
24 Oct	A Lens	L	2 - 1
18 Oct	H Rennes	W	4 - 3
10 Oct	A Lorient	L	1 - 0

Rennes — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
04 Nov	H Olympiakos Piraeus	D	0 - 0
30 Oct	A Nice	L	5 - 2
25 Oct	H Strasbourg	W	3 - 0
22 Oct	A Juventus	D	2 - 2
18 Oct	A Paris FC	L	4 - 3

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Paris Saint Germain	10	7	2	1	22	10	+12	23
2	Paris FC	10	6	2	2	17	10	+7	20
3	Lille	9	5	3	1	12	6	+6	18
4	Lyon	9	5	2	2	15	7	+8	17
5	Rennes	9	5	1	3	20	19	+1	16
6	Marseille	9	5	0	4	20	13	+7	15
7	Monaco	9	4	3	2	12	10	+2	15
8	Nice	9	4	2	3	13	12	+1	14
9	Lens	9	4	1	4	16	13	+3	13
10	Toulouse	10	3	4	3	15	14	+1	13
11	Stade Brestois 29	9	3	3	3	16	12	+4	12
12	Lorient	9	3	3	3	7	8	-1	12
13	Strasbourg	10	3	1	6	18	22	-4	10
14	Auxerre	10	3	1	6	13	24	-11	10
15	Angers	9	2	2	5	9	17	-8	8
16	Estac Troyes	10	2	2	6	7	17	-10	8
17	Le Mans	9	1	4	4	11	18	-7	7
18	Le Havre	9	0	2	7	9	20	-11	2