Nice vs Lille Prognoza
Prognoza Nice vs Lille: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Nice na 28%, Lille na 45%, a remisu na 28%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 20 Sep 2026, 17:12.
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Premium- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
- Gospodarz strzeli gola 70%
Match Report
Nice claimed a 2-1 victory over Lille in Ligue 1's fifth matchday, with the hosts dominant throughout in terms of possession and attacking intent. The only goal of the first half came via an unfortunate own goal from Nathan Ngoy in the 22nd minute, giving Nice a deserved lead at the break after controlling large portions of play.
The second half brought more drama. Mohamed Amoura pulled Lille level in the 67th minute, briefly threatening a turnaround for the visitors, but Nice responded swiftly. Ayase Ueda restored the home side's advantage just twelve minutes later, and Nice held firm to secure all three points. Nice finished with 20 total shots to Lille's 10, and 8 shots on target to 4, reflecting their overall superiority across the ninety minutes.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lille win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that did not materialise. The result leaves Nice with a positive return from this early-season fixture, while Lille will reflect on a second half that ultimately offered too little too late.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Nice
Match Stats
Nice
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Mohamed Amoura M | 8.2 | 77' | 1 | – | 2 | 25 (21%) | 4 |
| 23 Yehvann Diouf G | 7.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (23%) | – |
| 7 Gauthier Hein M | 7.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 2 | 49 (40%) | 2 |
| 55 Youssouf Ndayishimiye D | 6.9 | 58' | – | – | – | 36 (32%) | – |
| 5 Mohamed Abdelmonem D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (42%) | 1 |
| 35 Xavier Mandza D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (35%) | 2 |
| 28 Axel Witsel M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 42 (40%) | – |
| 29 Nathan N'Goumou F | 6.6 | 13' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 1 |
| 36 Alidu Seidu D | 6.5 | 32' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 87 Everton Pereira M | 6.5 | 17' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 27 Niels Nkounkou M | 6.4 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 23 (17%) | 3 |
| 39 Djibril Coulibaly M | 6.4 | 73' | – | – | 2 | 17 (16%) | 1 |
| 10 Sofiane Diop M | 6.3 | 16' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | – |
| 2 Ali Abdi D | 6.2 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 92 Jonathan Clauss M | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (28%) | – |
| 11 Elye Wahi F | 6.0 | 74' | – | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | – |
Lille
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Ayase Ueda F | 7.8 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 12 (9%) | 1 |
| 22 Tiago Santos D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 40 (32%) | 3 |
| 4 Alexsandro Ribeiro D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 93 (87%) | 2 |
| 15 Romain Perraud D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 54 (50%) | 2 |
| 6 Nabil Bentaleb M | 6.7 | 77' | – | – | 1 | 61 (53%) | 1 |
| 1 Berke Özer G | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (25%) | – |
| 11 Osame Sahraoui F | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | – |
| 7 Dilane Bakwa F | 6.5 | 35' | – | – | – | 13 (11%) | – |
| 9 Olivier Giroud F | 6.4 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 5 (1%) | – |
| 19 Başar Önal M | 6.4 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 13 (13%) | – |
| 10 Hakon Arnar Haraldsson M | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | 3 | 24 (18%) | – |
| 8 Ethan Mbappé M | 6.2 | 55' | – | – | 1 | 20 (15%) | – |
| 14 Maurits Kjaergaard M | 6.2 | 26' | – | 1 | 1 | 24 (20%) | 1 |
| 17 Ngal'ayel Mukau M | 6.0 | 13' | – | – | – | 15 (13%) | – |
| 21 Benjamin André M | 5.8 | 64' | – | – | – | 33 (26%) | 2 |
| 3 Nathan Ngoy D | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 76 (71%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Min 83: Nice leads 2-1. Win probability: 89.4%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 10.6%.
Late goal makes it 2-1! Nice win probability: 86.9%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 24.5%.
Min 76: Nice leads 2-0. Win probability: 97.8%. Comeback chance: 2.2%.
Nice now leads 2-0 with 95.1% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 50.7%.
Half-time: 1-0. Nice leads. Win probability: 64.6%. Over 0.5 more goals: 74.2%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
Tiago Santos
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Nice vs Lille
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr 2026 | Lille | 0 - 0 | Nice |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Nice | 2 - 0 | Lille |
| 17 Jan 2025 | Lille | 2 - 1 | Nice |
Nice — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Lille | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Auxerre | L | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Le Mans | D | 1 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | A Paris FC | L | 3 - 0 |
| 22 Aug | H Lorient | D | 0 - 0 |
Lille — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Nice | L | 2 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Estac Troyes | W | 2 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | H Real Betis | L | 2 - 3 |
| 03 Sep | A Toulouse | W | 0 - 1 |
| 28 Aug | H Paris Saint Germain | D | 2 - 2 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Lille
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Horacio Melgarejo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Özer | G |
| 22 | Tiago Santos | D |
| 3 | N. Ngoy | D |
| 4 | Alexsandro Ribeiro | D |
| 15 | R. Perraud | D |
| 21 | B. André | M |
| 6 | N. Bentaleb | M |
| 8 | E. Mbappé | M |
| 10 | H. Haraldsson | M |
| 19 | B. Önal | M |
| 18 | A. Ueda | F |
Substitutes
| 26 | I. Cossier | D |
| 12 | O. Gill | G |
| 9 | O. Giroud | F |
| 14 | M. Kjærgaard | M |
| 17 | N. Mukau | M |
| 28 | G. Perrin | F |
| 11 | O. Sahraoui | F |
| 24 | C. Verdonk | D |
| 7 | D. Bakwa | F |
Nice
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: O. Pantaloni
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 23 | Y. Diouf | G |
| 5 | Mohamed Abdelmonem | D |
| 55 | Y. Ndayishimiye | D |
| 35 | X. Mandza Tsiendi | D |
| 92 | J. Clauss | M |
| 39 | D. Coulibaly | M |
| 28 | A. Witsel | M |
| 27 | N. Nkounkou | M |
| 7 | G. Hein | M |
| 9 | M. Amoura | M |
| 11 | E. Wahi | F |
Substitutes
| 87 | E. Pereira | M |
| 36 | A. Seidu | D |
| 2 | A. Abdi | D |
| 6 | H. Boudaoui | M |
| 77 | T. Boulhendi | G |
| 10 | S. Diop | M |
| 21 | I. Jansson | F |
| 84 | H. Koutoune | D |
| 29 | N. Ngoumou | F |