Toulouse vs Lyon Prognoza
Prognoza Toulouse vs Lyon: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Toulouse na 37%, Lyon na 35%, a remisu na 28%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 23 Aug 2026, 03:00.
Typy Premium
Premium- Gospodarz strzeli gola 75%
- Gość strzela 72%
- 1st Half Home or Draw 74%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
- Poniżej 3.5 gola 72%
Match Report
Lyon claimed a comfortable 2–0 victory at Toulouse in the opening round of Ligue 1, though the match remained goalless at half-time despite the visitors already showing clear attacking intent. Toulouse picked up an early yellow card in the 31st minute, with Noah Nartey also booked before the break, and the hosts struggled to create meaningful chances throughout, managing just one shot on target against Lyon's 17 total attempts.
The game opened up after a flurry of substitutions around the hour mark. Nartey broke the deadlock in the 68th minute with a normal goal, only to be substituted off just a minute later. Malick Fofana then wrapped up the win in the 85th minute, securing Lyon's dominant display. The expected goals figures told the story clearly — Lyon posted an impressive 2.63 xG compared to Toulouse's meagre 0.16.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Toulouse win as the most likely outcome at 37%, a call that proved well wide of the mark. Tanner Tessmann received a late yellow card in stoppage time, but by then Lyon had long since settled the contest.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Toulouse
Match Stats
Toulouse
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Niklas Schmidt M | 7.3 | 70' | – | – | – | 40 (38%) | 2 |
| 8 Thomas Jørgensen M | 7.2 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 23 (18%) | 3 |
| 2 Rasmus Nicolaisen D | 7.2 | 70' | – | – | 2 | 40 (39%) | 1 |
| 23 Cristian Cásseres Jr. M | 7.2 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 48 (42%) | 2 |
| 7 Julian Vignolo M | 6.9 | 70' | – | – | 3 | 7 (4%) | 1 |
| 3 Mark McKenzie D | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | – | 42 (39%) | – |
| 10 Yann Gboho M | 6.7 | 70' | – | – | 2 | 21 (18%) | – |
| 94 Ismail Diallo D | 6.5 | 70' | – | – | – | 23 (15%) | 2 |
| 16 Guillaume Restes G | 6.2 | 70' | – | – | – | 31 (29%) | – |
| 9 Santiago Hidalgo F | 6.2 | 70' | – | – | 3 | 7 (6%) | – |
| 12 Christ Tapé D | 6.2 | 70' | – | – | 2 | 24 (20%) | – |
Lyon
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Clinton Mata D | 7.3 | 70' | – | – | – | 69 (68%) | – |
| 99 Noah Nartey M | 7.3 | 69' | 1 | – | 1 | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 40 Rémy Descamps G | 7.3 | 70' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | – |
| 13 Zachary Athekame D | 6.9 | 70' | – | – | – | 33 (28%) | 2 |
| 20 Felix Bacher D | 6.9 | 70' | – | – | – | 57 (55%) | – |
| 26 Kaïl Boudache F | 6.9 | 70' | – | – | 3 | 15 (15%) | 1 |
| 24 Julien Duranville F | 6.7 | 63' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | – |
| 39 Mathys de Carvalho M | 6.6 | 69' | – | – | – | 28 (23%) | 2 |
| 76 Mohamed Ouédraogo D | 6.6 | 70' | – | – | – | 48 (38%) | – |
| 2 Mads Bidstrup M | 6.6 | 70' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 3 |
| 45 Rémi Himbert F | 6.0 | 63' | – | – | – | 10 (7%) | – |
| 10 Pavel Šulc M | — | 7' | – | 1 | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 23 Tyler Morton M | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 8 Corentin Tolisso M | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 11 Malick Fofana F | — | 7' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
C. Tengstedt
3 gls
T. Jørgensen
2 gls
E. Nuamah
3 gls
Z. Athekame
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Toulouse vs Lyon
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Toulouse | 2 - 1 | Lyon |
| 05 Oct 2025 | Lyon | 1 - 2 | Toulouse |
| 18 Jan 2025 | Lyon | 0 - 0 | Toulouse |
Toulouse — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Le Havre | W | 3 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Lorient | D | 2 - 2 |
| 03 Sep | H Lille | L | 0 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | A Stade Brestois 29 | D | 2 - 2 |
| 22 Aug | H Lyon | L | 0 - 2 |
Lyon — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Rennes | W | 4 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Anderlecht | W | 1 - 2 |
| 12 Sep | A Paris FC | D | 0 - 0 |
| 04 Sep | H Auxerre | W | 3 - 1 |
| 29 Aug | H Le Havre | D | 1 - 1 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Lyon
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Paulo Fonseca
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Rémy Descamps | G |
| 13 | Zachary Athekame | D |
| 20 | Felix Bacher | D |
| 22 | Clinton Mata | D |
| 76 | Mohamed Ouédraogo | D |
| 2 | Mads Bidstrup | M |
| 39 | Mathys de Carvalho | M |
| 99 | Noah Nartey | M |
| 26 | Kaïl Boudache | F |
| 45 | Rémi Himbert | F |
| 24 | Julien Duranville | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | Malick Fofana | F |
| 10 | Pavel Šulc | M |
| 23 | Tyler Morton | M |
| 8 | Corentin Tolisso | M |
| 1 | Dominik Greif | G |
| 3 | Nicolás Tagliafico | D |
| 6 | Tanner Tessmann | M |
| 7 | Ernest Nuamah | F |
| 17 | Loïs Openda | F |
Toulouse
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Jens Askou
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Guillaume Restes | G |
| 94 | Ismail Diallo | D |
| 3 | Mark McKenzie | D |
| 2 | Rasmus Nicolaisen | D |
| 12 | Christ Tapé | D |
| 23 | Cristian Cásseres Jr. | M |
| 31 | Niklas Schmidt | M |
| 7 | Julian Vignolo | M |
| 8 | Thomas Jørgensen | M |
| 10 | Yann Gboho | M |
| 9 | Santiago Hidalgo | F |
Substitutes
| 60 | Mathys Niflore | G |
| 19 | David Odogu | D |
| 5 | Seny Koumbassa | D |
| 77 | Mario Sauer | M |
| 28 | Mathis Saka | M |
| 22 | Rafik Messali | M |
| 11 | Sion Oppong | F |
| 13 | Jacen Russell Rowe | F |
| 37 | Ilyas Azizi | F |