AC Milan vs Inter Prognoza

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

Post on X

Inter

Away

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza, Milano

Typowanie AI Inter lub remis

26%

27%

46%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza AC Milan vs Inter: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej AC Milan na 26%, Inter na 46%, a remisu na 27%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 31 Oct 2026, 21:44.

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1st Half Draw or Away 76%
Gospodarz strzeli gola 70%

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Match Report

AC Milan claimed a stunning derby victory over Inter, with the match effectively decided inside the first half. Christian Pulisic broke the deadlock after just four minutes, and despite Adrien Rabiot levelling for Inter six minutes later, Milan quickly reasserted control. Alessandro Bastoni's own goal or strike at 22 minutes restored the home side's advantage, before Diego Moreira added a third on 43 minutes to give Milan a commanding 3-1 lead at the interval.

The second half offered little in the way of further scoring, though it was not without incident. A VAR review resulted in a penalty being cancelled for Inter's Henrikh Mkhitaryan at 75 minutes, extinguishing what might have been a route back into the contest. Both sides made wholesale substitutions as the game wound down, with Moreira picking up a yellow card shortly after the restart to add to his booking tally.

The statistics told a curious story — Inter dominated possession at 56%, registered 18 total shots and generated an expected goals figure of 1.79 compared to Milan's 0.69. Our pre-match AI model had rated an Inter win as most likely at 46%, a call the scoreline firmly contradicted. Milan's clinical efficiency ultimately proved decisive.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Christian Pulišić assist: Diego Moreira

4' ⚽ 1–0

Adrien Rabiot assist: Diego Moreira

10' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 22'

Alessandro Bastoni

Diego Moreira

43' ⚽ 3–1

HT 3–1

Koni De Winter Yellow Card

49' ▮

Diego Moreira Yellow Card

52' ▮

⇄ 72'

Hakan Çalhanoğlu ⇄ Piotr Zieliński

⇄ 72'

Andy Diouf ⇄ Henrikh Mkhitaryan

🖵 75'

Henrikh Mkhitaryan Penalty cancelled

⇄ 81'

Alessandro Bastoni ⇄ Federico Dimarco

⇄ 82'

Nicolò Barella ⇄ Francesco Pio Esposito

⇄ 82'

Yann Bisseck ⇄ Ange-Yoan Bonny

Yunus Musah ⇄ Ardon Jashari

82' ⇄

Christian Pulišić ⇄ Alphadjo Cissè

82' ⇄

Sankhoun Diawara ⇄ Davide Bartesaghi

83' ⇄

Gonçalo Ramos ⇄ Filippo Terracciano

89' ⇄

Diego Moreira ⇄ Omari Hutchinson

89' ⇄

▮ 90'

Carlos Augusto Yellow Card

FT 3–1

AC Milan

Match Stats

Inter

44% Ball Possession 56%

0.69 Expected Goals (xG) 1.79

7 Total Shots 18

4 Shots on Goal 8

2 Shots off Goal 7

1 Blocked Shots 3

4 Shots insidebox 12

3 Shots outsidebox 6

3 Corner Kicks 11

1 Offsides 4

8 Fouls 14

2 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 0

7 Goalkeeper Saves 1

406 Total passes 518

357 Passes accurate 454

13 Free Kicks 7

AC Milan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
22 Diego Moreira M	9.0	89'	1	2	1	26 (22%)	1
16 Mike Maignan G	8.7	90'	–	–	–	30 (19%)	–
12 Adrien Rabiot M	8.0	90'	1	–	2	32 (29%)	–
11 Christian Pulišić M	7.8	82'	1	–	1	32 (26%)	1
14 Luka Modrić M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	74 (67%)	2
80 Yunus Musah M	7.0	82'	–	–	–	43 (41%)	2
20 Omari Hutchinson F	6.8	1'	–	–	–	1	–
9 Gonçalo Ramos F	6.7	89'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	2
31 Strahinja Pavlović D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	41 (36%)	2
13 Sankhoun Diawara M	6.6	83'	–	–	–	15 (15%)	2
5 Koni De Winter D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	46 (43%)	1
42 Filippo Terracciano D	6.4	1'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	1
34 Mario Gila Fuentes D	6.4	90'	–	–	–	53 (47%)	–
30 Ardon Jashari M	6.3	8'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
33 Davide Bartesaghi D	6.2	7'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	–
70 Alphadjo Cissè M	6.1	8'	–	–	1	–	–

Inter

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Hakan Çalhanoğlu M	7.2	72'	–	–	1	37 (33%)	2
95 Alessandro Bastoni D	7.0	81'	1	–	1	73 (66%)	1
25 Manuel Akanji D	6.9	90'	–	–	3	103 (92%)	3
94 Francesco Pio Esposito F	6.6	8'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
17 Andy Diouf M	6.5	72'	–	–	2	27 (24%)	1
14 Ange-Yoan Bonny F	6.4	8'	–	–	1	5 (5%)	–
9 Marcus Thuram F	6.3	90'	–	–	1	13 (13%)	–
8 Petar Sučić M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	28 (25%)	2
31 Yann Bisseck D	6.2	82'	–	–	1	44 (39%)	–
23 Nicolò Barella M	6.0	82'	–	–	1	47 (42%)	–
32 Federico Dimarco D	6.0	9'	–	–	–	12 (8%)	–
99 Djed Spence M	5.9	90'	–	–	1	38 (34%)	1
7 Piotr Zieliński M	5.9	18'	–	–	1	10 (10%)	–
1 Josep Martínez G	5.8	90'	–	–	–	21 (18%)	–
30 Carlos Augusto M	5.7	90'	–	–	3	36 (28%)	5
22 Henrikh Mkhitaryan M	5.6	18'	–	–	1	28 (21%)	–

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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Inter lub remis

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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AC Milan

LWLWL

Inter

WLWWW

Last 3 meetings AC Milan · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between AC Milan and Inter, both teams are expected to showcase their tactical prowess and attacking talents. AC Milan has demonstrated a strong home record, but Inter's recent form has been impressive, boasting a potent attack led by key forwards. Historically, matches between these two rivals are tightly contested, often decided by individual brilliance or set-piece scenarios. With both sides aiming for crucial points in the title race, expect a high-intensity battle that could go either way. Key players from both teams will need to step up to secure victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

AC Milan

A. Rabiot 5 gls

Diego Moreira 4 gls

A. Cissè 4 gls

Inter

M. Thuram 5 gls

Lautaro Martínez 4 gls

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Head to Head: AC Milan vs Inter

2 AC Milan Wins

1 Draws

0 Inter Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	AC Milan	1 - 0	Inter
23 Nov 2025	Inter	0 - 1	AC Milan
02 Feb 2025	AC Milan	1 - 1	Inter

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AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Nov	H Ferencvarosi TC	L	0 - 2
31 Oct	H Inter	W	3 - 1
28 Oct	H Bologna	L	2 - 4
25 Oct	A Udinese	W	0 - 2
22 Oct	A Bournemouth	L	3 - 0

Inter — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Nov	A Feyenoord	W	0 - 3
31 Oct	A AC Milan	L	3 - 1
28 Oct	A Venezia	W	0 - 2
25 Oct	H Fiorentina	W	2 - 1
21 Oct	H Shakhtar Donetsk	W	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	24	8	+16	28
2	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	31	10	+21	27
3	Inter	10	8	1	1	26	13	+13	25
4	Como	10	7	2	1	18	8	+10	23
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21	12	+9	21
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	24	15	+9	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	13	10	+3	17
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	16	14	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	10	15	-5	16
10	Napoli	10	4	2	4	17	13	+4	14
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	15	17	-2	14
12	Genoa	10	4	1	5	10	14	-4	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	16	20	-4	11
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	12	22	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	15	23	-8	8
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	9	17	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	16	29	-13	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	17	24	-7	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	8	21	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	12	25	-13	5

AC Milan

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Ruben Amorim

16 Maignan

31 Pavlović

5 Winter

34 Gila

13 Bocoum

80 Musah

14 Modrić

22 Moreira

11 Pulišić

12 Rabiot

9 Ramos

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	M. Maignan	G
34	Mario Gila	D
5	K. De Winter	D
31	S. Pavlović	D
22	Diego Moreira	M
14	L. Modrić	M
80	Y. Musah	M
13	S. Bocoum	M
12	A. Rabiot	M
11	C. Pulišić	M
9	Gonçalo Ramos	F

Substitutes

30	A. Jashari	M
49	Luka Menon	F
40	L. Ossola	M
47	N. Perera	D
42	F. Terracciano	D
55	Silvano Vos	M
96	L. Torriani	G
20	O. Hutchinson	F
41	L. P. Bouyer	G
33	D. Bartesaghi	D
35	V. Vladimirov	D
73	F. Camarda	F
70	A. Cissè	M
28	C. Comotto	M
2	P. Estupiñán	D

Inter

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: C. Chivu

1 Martínez

95 Bastoni

25 Akanji

31 Bisseck

30 Augusto

20 Çalhanoğlu

23 Barella

99 Spence

8 Sučić

17 Diouf

9 Thuram

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Josep Martínez	G
31	Y. Bisseck	D
25	M. Akanji	D
95	A. Bastoni	D
99	D. Spence	M
23	N. Barella	M
20	H. Çalhanoğlu	M
30	Carlos Augusto	M
17	A. Diouf	M
8	P. Sučić	M
9	M. Thuram	F

Substitutes

7	P. Zieliński	M
40	A. Taho	G
94	F. Esposito	F
5	A. Stanković	M
48	M. Mosconi	F
22	H. Mkhitaryan	M
53	M. Lavelli	F
51	L. Jakirović	D
32	F. Dimarco	D
12	R. Di Gennaro	G
46	L. Bovio	D
14	A. Bonny	F