Cagliari vs Bologna Prognoza

Serie A Serie A · Regular Season - 8
FT
Post on X
Unipol Domus, Cagliari
Typowanie AI Bologna lub remis
32%
32%
36%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Cagliari vs Bologna: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Cagliari na 32%, Bologna na 36%, a remisu na 32%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 24 Oct 2026, 14:52.

Typy Premium

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 72%
  • Gość strzela 70%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 71%
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Match Report

Cagliari dominated possession at the Unipodda Arena but created precious little, finishing with just one shot on target and an expected goals figure of 0.32 compared to Bologna's 1.61. A feisty first half saw yellow cards for Federico Bernardeschi and Zé Pedro, with the latter forced off at the interval through his booking, and the scoreline remained goalless despite Bologna's superior threat.

The visitors took control after the break when Nicolò Casale broke the deadlock on 57 minutes, capitalising on Bologna's sharper attacking intent. Cagliari struggled to respond, and Federico Bernardeschi — despite his earlier booking — added a second from the penalty spot on 80 minutes to seal a comfortable victory before being substituted shortly afterwards.

Bologna's six corner kicks and ten total shots underlined their dominance in the second half, while Cagliari's attack offered almost nothing of substance throughout. Our pre-match AI model had identified a Bologna win as the most likely outcome at 36%, a call that proved correct as the away side claimed a deserved three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 32'
Federico Bernardeschi Yellow Card
Zé Pedro Yellow Card
38' ▮
Zé Pedro ⇄ Yukinari Sugawara
45' ⇄
Harry Winks ⇄ Roberto Gagliardini
45' ⇄
HT 0–0
Roberto Gagliardini Yellow Card
55' ▮
⚽ 0–1 57'
Nicolò Casale assist: Juan Miranda
Daniel Maldini ⇄ Kevin Carlos Omoruyi
67' ⇄
⇄ 75'
Nadir Zortea ⇄ Marco Libra
⇄ 75'
Jens Odgaard ⇄ Mikel Amondarain
⇄ 75'
Juan Miranda ⇄ Abdel Rahim
Alessandro Romano ⇄ Alieu Fadera
75' ⇄
Alessandro Deiola Yellow Card
77' ▮
⚽ 0–2 80'
Federico Bernardeschi Penalty
⇄ 85'
Matteo Darmian ⇄ Martin Vitík
Y. Massolin ⇄ Giuseppe Aurelio
86' ⇄
⇄ 88'
Federico Bernardeschi ⇄ Samuel Mbangula
FT 0–2
Cagliari

Match Stats

Bologna
58% Ball Possession 42%
0.32 Expected Goals (xG) 1.61
3 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Goal 5
2 Shots off Goal 2
0 Blocked Shots 3
3 Shots insidebox 5
0 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 1
25 Fouls 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 1
510 Total passes 378
435 Passes accurate 317
11 Free Kicks 24
Cagliari
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
28 Yukinari Sugawara D 7.0 44' – – – 25 (22%) 2
15 Juan Rodríguez D 6.9 90' – – – 90 (80%) 1
1 Elia Caprile G 6.7 90' – – – 25 (20%) –
33 Adam Obert D 6.6 90' – – – 55 (48%) –
6 Harry Winks M 6.6 46' – – – 29 (27%) –
8 Michel Adopo M 6.5 90' – – – 36 (32%) 2
31 Paul Mendy F 6.5 90' – – 3 18 (11%) 1
9 Kevin Carlos Omoruyi F 6.4 23' – – – 7 (3%) –
39 Alieu Fadera F 6.3 15' – – – 6 (4%) 1
24 Giuseppe Aurelio D 6.3 4' – – – – –
14 Alessandro Deiola D 6.2 90' – – – 74 (70%) –
79 Y. Massolin M 6.2 86' – – – 35 (31%) –
70 Daniel Maldini M 6.0 67' – – – 17 (14%) –
4 Alessandro Romano M 6.0 75' – – – 38 (29%) –
2 Zé Pedro D 5.8 46' – – – 27 (22%) 1
21 Roberto Gagliardini M 5.7 44' – – – 24 (19%) –
Bologna
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
16 Nicolò Casale D 8.4 90' 1 – 1 36 (33%) 2
10 Federico Bernardeschi F 7.7 88' 1 – 4 21 (18%) 1
3 Arthur Theate D 7.4 90' – – – 61 (56%) 1
19 Lewis Ferguson M 7.2 90' – – – 64 (54%) 4
36 Matteo Darmian D 7.2 85' – – 1 31 (26%) 2
33 Juan Miranda M 7.1 75' – 1 – 27 (19%) –
23 Abdel Rahim D 7.0 15' – – – 7 (7%) –
18 Marco Libra M 7.0 15' – – 1 6 (6%) 1
1 Łukasz Skorupski G 6.9 90' – – – 23 (14%) –
8 Mikel Amondarain M 6.8 15' – – – 4 (3%) –
20 Nadir Zortea M 6.8 75' – – 1 21 (18%) 3
41 Martin Vitík D 6.7 5' – – – 1 (1%) –
11 Samuel Mbangula F 6.6 2' – – – 1 (1%) 1
4 Tommaso Pobega M 6.4 90' – – 1 33 (27%) 1
28 Nicolò Cambiaghi F 6.3 90' – – – 21 (18%) 3
21 Jens Odgaard F 6.3 75' – – 1 10 (7%) –
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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

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Bologna lub remis
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Cagliari
WLLLL
Bologna
WWWWL
Last 3 meetings Cagliari · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Cagliari faces Bologna in a Serie A clash on October 25, 2026. Cagliari has shown a solid form at home this season, while Bologna has struggled with consistency on the road. Both teams have similar defensive records, but Cagliari's attacking efficiency has been slightly better, averaging 1.5 goals per match compared to Bologna's 1.3. The outcome may hinge on Cagliari's ability to exploit Bologna's vulnerabilities in transition and set pieces. A tightly contested match is expected, with potential for Cagliari to capitalize on home advantage.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
32%
10%
Draw
32%
45%
Away
36%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Cagliari
D. Maldini 5 gls
Bologna

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Cagliari vs Bologna

0 Cagliari Wins
1 Draws
2 Bologna Wins
Date Home Score Away
03 May 2026 Bologna 0 - 0 Cagliari
19 Oct 2025 Cagliari 0 - 2 Bologna
02 Mar 2025 Bologna 2 - 1 Cagliari
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Cagliari — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H Frosinone W 1 - 0
01 Nov A Lazio L 2 - 1
27 Oct A AS Roma L 4 - 2
24 Oct H Bologna L 0 - 2
19 Oct A Monza L 4 - 0

Bologna — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Parma W 1 - 2
31 Oct H Monza W 2 - 1
28 Oct A AC Milan W 2 - 4
24 Oct A Cagliari W 0 - 2
17 Oct H Inter L 1 - 3

Serie A Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lazio
10 9 1 0 +16 28
2
AS Roma
11 8 3 0 +21 27
3
Inter
10 8 1 1 +13 25
4
Como
10 7 2 1 +10 23
5
AC Milan
10 6 3 1 +9 21
6
Frosinone
11 6 2 3 +9 20
7
Juventus
10 5 2 3 +3 17
8
Bologna
11 5 2 4 +2 17
9
Cagliari
11 5 1 5 -5 16
10
Napoli
10 4 2 4 +4 14
11
Torino
11 4 2 5 -2 14
12
Genoa
10 4 1 5 -4 13
13
Atalanta
10 3 2 5 -4 11
14
Lecce
11 3 1 7 -10 10
15
Fiorentina
10 2 2 6 -8 8
16
Parma
11 2 2 7 -8 8
17
Sassuolo
11 2 2 7 -13 8
18
Monza
10 2 1 7 -7 7
19
Venezia
11 2 0 9 -13 6
20
Udinese
11 1 2 8 -13 5

Cagliari

Formation: 4-3-2-1 Coach: F. Pisacane
1 Caprile
33 Obert
15 Rodríguez
14 Deiola
2 Pedro
8 Adopo
6 Winks
4 Romano
70 Maldini
79 Massolin
31 Mendy

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Caprile G
2 Zé Pedro D
14 A. Deiola D
15 J. Rodríguez D
33 A. Obert D
4 A. Romano M
6 H. Winks M
8 M. Adopo M
79 Y. Massolin M
70 D. Maldini M
31 P. Mendy F

Substitutes

32 Ivan Stoyanov Sulev M
39 A. Fadera F
24 G. Aurelio D
20 R. Ciervo F
10 J. Fazzini M
21 R. Gagliardini M
9 Kevin Carlos F
22 R. Kofler D
27 J. Liteta M
26 Y. Mina D
18 M'Bala Nzola F
23 B. Radunović G
12 A. Sherri G
28 Y. Sugawara D
35 A. Sugamele F

Bologna

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Skorupski
3 Theate
16 Casale
36 Darmian
33 Miranda
4 Pobega
19 Ferguson
20 Zortea
28 Cambiaghi
21 Odgaard
10 Bernardeschi

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Ł. Skorupski G
36 M. Darmian D
16 N. Casale D
3 A. Theate D
20 N. Zortea M
19 L. Ferguson M
4 T. Pobega M
33 Juan Miranda M
10 F. Bernardeschi F
21 J. Odgaard F
28 N. Cambiaghi F

Substitutes

6 N. Moro M
25 M. Pessina G
41 M. Vitík D
11 S. Mbangula F
18 M. Libra M
14 T. Heggem D
72 U. Happonen G
5 E. Helland D
22 J. Enem F
17 O. El Azzouzi M
9 A. Dovbyk F
29 L. De Silvestri D
23 R. Alhassane D
8 M. Amondarain M

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