AS Roma vs Genoa Prognoza
Prognoza AS Roma vs Genoa: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej AS Roma na 62%, Genoa na 15%, a remisu na 23%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 17 Oct 2026, 20:38.
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Premium- 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
- 1st Half Over 0.5 72%
- Poniżej 3.5 gola 71%
Match Report
AS Roma claimed a 2–0 Serie A victory over Genoa at the Olimpico, with both goals arriving in a productive second half after a goalless opening 45 minutes. The match was tight early on, with Matías Soulé picking up a yellow card just before the break, but the game opened up quickly after the restart.
Santiago Castro broke the deadlock on 50 minutes, and Emanuele Lulli doubled Roma's advantage in the 68th minute before being substituted off just ten minutes later. The result was somewhat against the run of play — Genoa dominated possession with 66% and generated an expected goals figure of 1.33 compared to Roma's 0.49, while also leading on shots on target 5–1. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Roma win as the most likely outcome at 62%, a call that proved correct despite the underlying numbers favouring the visitors.
Discipline was a notable theme throughout, with five yellow cards distributed across both sides. Roma's win moves them further into the Serie A standings, while Genoa will feel their performance merited more despite leaving empty-handed.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
AS Roma
Match Stats
AS Roma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Santiago Castro F | 8.0 | 90' | 1 | – | 4 | 19 (18%) | 3 |
| 5 Evan Ndicka D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 61 (54%) | – |
| 26 Leonardo Balerdi D | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 66 (54%) | 5 |
| 77 Emanuele Lulli M | 7.5 | 78' | 1 | – | 1 | 27 (17%) | 1 |
| 22 Mario Hermoso D | 7.3 | 27' | – | – | 1 | 24 (21%) | – |
| 87 Daniele Ghilardi D | 7.1 | 2' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 3 Konstantinos Koulierakis D | 7.1 | 63' | – | – | 1 | 57 (44%) | – |
| 18 Matías Soulé M | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 56 (48%) | – |
| 7 Lorenzo Pellegrini M | 7.0 | 27' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | – |
| 95 Pierluigi Gollini G | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (25%) | – |
| 43 Wesley D | 6.8 | 12' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 61 Niccolò Pisilli M | 6.6 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 76 (61%) | 1 |
| 2 Devyne Rensch M | 6.6 | 88' | – | – | – | 44 (33%) | – |
| 86 Rodrigo Mora M | 6.5 | 63' | – | – | 3 | 32 (27%) | – |
| 15 M. de Roon M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 82 (60%) | 1 |
Genoa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Milutin Osmajić F | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 14 (8%) | – |
| 27 Alessandro Marcandalli D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | 2 |
| 92 Stephan El Shaarawy M | 6.5 | 65' | – | – | 2 | 20 (18%) | 2 |
| 10 Junior Messias M | 6.4 | 83' | – | – | 1 | 11 (7%) | – |
| 9 Vitinha F | 6.3 | 25' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 71 Samuel Wiafe M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | 1 |
| 22 Johan Vásquez D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 49 (37%) | 2 |
| 4 Alexsandro Amorim M | 6.1 | 7' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 21 Robinho Júnior F | 6.0 | 7' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 77 Mikael Ellertsson M | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 16 (14%) | 3 |
| 32 Morten Frendrup M | 5.9 | 83' | – | – | – | 27 (19%) | 3 |
| 1 Justin Bijlow G | 5.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 53 (28%) | – |
| 31 David Puczka M | 5.7 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 31 (16%) | 4 |
| 5 Leo Østigård D | 5.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (17%) | 1 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
D. Malen
8 gls
M. Soulé
3 gls
M. Osmajić
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: AS Roma vs Genoa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar 2026 | Genoa | 2 - 1 | AS Roma |
| 29 Dec 2025 | AS Roma | 3 - 1 | Genoa |
| 17 Jan 2025 | AS Roma | 3 - 1 | Genoa |
AS Roma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Sassuolo | W | 3 - 0 |
| 03 Nov | A Manchester United | L | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Udinese | W | 2 - 5 |
| 27 Oct | H Cagliari | W | 4 - 2 |
| 24 Oct | A Napoli | D | 3 - 3 |
Genoa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov | A Lecce | W | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Oct | H Juventus | W | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Venezia | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A AS Roma | L | 2 - 0 |
| 10 Oct | H Fiorentina | W | 2 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lazio
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 24 | 8 | +16 | 28 |
| 2 |
AS Roma
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |
Inter
|
10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 26 | 13 | +13 | 25 |
| 4 |
Como
|
10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 12 | +9 | 21 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | +9 | 20 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 10 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 |
Bologna
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 17 |
| 9 |
Cagliari
|
11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 16 |
| 10 |
Napoli
|
10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +4 | 14 |
| 11 |
Torino
|
11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 14 |
| 12 |
Genoa
|
10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 10 | 14 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 |
Atalanta
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 |
Lecce
|
11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 10 |
| 15 |
Fiorentina
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 8 |
| 16 |
Parma
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
| 17 |
Sassuolo
|
11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 29 | -13 | 8 |
| 18 |
Monza
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 |
Venezia
|
11 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 8 | 21 | -13 | 6 |
| 20 |
Udinese
|
11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 5 |
Genoa
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: D. De Rossi
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Bijlow | G |
| 27 | A. Marcandalli | D |
| 5 | L. Østigård | D |
| 22 | J. Vásquez | D |
| 77 | M. Ellertsson | M |
| 71 | S. Wiafe | M |
| 32 | M. Frendrup | M |
| 31 | D. Puczka | M |
| 10 | Junior Messias | M |
| 92 | S. El Shaarawy | M |
| 18 | M. Osmajić | F |
Substitutes
| 8 | T. Baldanzi | M |
| 16 | C. Drameh | D |
| 2 | M. Mitaj | D |
| 20 | S. Sabelli | D |
| 39 | D. Sommariva | G |
| 99 | F. Stolz | G |
| 25 | H. Traorè | M |
| 85 | M. Vaz | D |
| 9 | Vítinha | F |
| 4 | Alexsandro Amorim | M |
| 21 | Nikita Solodchenko | F |
| 14 | Lukas Klišys | D |
| 34 | S. Otoa | D |
AS Roma
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: G. Gasperini
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 95 | P. Gollini | G |
| 26 | L. Balerdi | D |
| 5 | E. Ndicka | D |
| 3 | K. Koulierakis | D |
| 77 | E. Lulli | M |
| 15 | M. de Roon | M |
| 61 | N. Pisilli | M |
| 2 | D. Rensch | M |
| 18 | M. Soulé | M |
| 86 | Rodrigo Mora | M |
| 9 | S. Castro | F |
Substitutes
| 78 | Mandjou Camara | F |
| 68 | A. Arena | F |
| 70 | G. De Marzi | G |
| 87 | D. Ghilardi | D |
| 22 | Hermoso | D |
| 23 | G. Mancini | D |
| 20 | N. Molina | D |
| 7 | L. Pellegrini | M |
| 32 | D. Vásquez | G |
| 43 | Wesley | D |
| 63 | Alessandro Di Nunzio | M |
| 72 | L. Paratici | F |