SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt Prognoza
Prognoza SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej SC Paderborn 07 na 32%, Eintracht Frankfurt na 42%, a remisu na 26%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 7 Nov 2026, 16:24.
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Match Report
SC Paderborn 07 and Eintracht Frankfurt shared the points in a dramatic 2–2 draw at the Benteler-Arena, despite the visitors carrying a clear statistical advantage throughout. Jonathan Burkardt opened the scoring for Frankfurt in the 23rd minute, only for Raphael Obermair to level matters on the stroke of half-time, sending the teams in level at the break.
Paderborn took the lead for the first time through a Marvin Pieringer penalty on 73 minutes, but the match was further disrupted when Elias Baum, already booked in the 60th minute, received a second yellow card just two minutes later to leave the hosts with ten men. Frankfurt's numerical advantage told late on, as Burkardt struck again deep into stoppage time to earn his side a point. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Frankfurt win as the most likely outcome at 42%, and the visitors' late equaliser reflected their overall dominance.
Frankfurt's expected goals figure of 2.42 compared to Paderborn's 1.22 underlined the away side's superiority in chance creation, though both teams were forced into heavy use of their substitutes across a frantic second half.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
SC Paderborn 07
Match Stats
SC Paderborn 07
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Raphael Obermair M | 7.9 | 65' | 1 | – | 1 | 53 (42%) | 2 |
| 18 Marvin Pieringer F | 7.8 | 25' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | 1 |
| 21 Jano Ter-Horst D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 41 (36%) | 2 |
| 25 Tjark Lasse Scheller D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 48 (39%) | 3 |
| 30 Stefano Marino F | 6.9 | 74' | – | – | 1 | 25 (20%) | – |
| 40 Gabriel Vidović M | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | 2 | 21 (18%) | – |
| 22 Mattes Hansen D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 62 (58%) | 4 |
| 5 Santiago Castañeda M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 51 (43%) | – |
| 27 Steffen Tigges F | 6.6 | 2' | – | – | – | 1 | – |
| 17 Laurin Curda M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (27%) | 3 |
| 6 Tom Baack M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 56 (48%) | 2 |
| 9 Rayan Philippe F | 6.4 | 16' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | – |
| 29 Clemens Lippmann D | 6.4 | 25' | – | – | – | 1 (1%) | 2 |
| 2 Ruben Müller F | 6.4 | 65' | – | 1 | 3 | 27 (21%) | – |
| 38 Deniz Zeitler F | 6.2 | 42' | – | – | – | 13 (7%) | – |
| 15 Nahuel Noll G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (26%) | – |
Eintracht Frankfurt
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jonathan Burkardt F | 7.6 | 90' | 1 | – | 3 | 28 (16%) | 1 |
| 8 Farès Chaïbi M | 6.7 | 90' | – | 1 | 3 | 36 (25%) | – |
| 3 Lilian Brassier D | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 63 (49%) | – |
| 6 Oscar Højlund M | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 37 (33%) | 2 |
| 4 Robin Koch D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (46%) | 1 |
| 11 Younes Ebnoutalib F | 6.4 | 26' | – | – | 1 | 8 (8%) | – |
| 1 Noah Atubolu G | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (35%) | – |
| 25 R. Onyedika M | 6.2 | 85' | – | – | – | 40 (34%) | 2 |
| 34 N. Collins D | 6.2 | 44' | – | – | – | 32 (29%) | 2 |
| 42 Can Uzun M | 6.1 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 29 (22%) | – |
| 31 Love Arrhov M | 6.0 | 5' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 15 N. Aséko Nkili M | 6.0 | 46' | – | – | – | 11 (8%) | – |
| 20 Ritsu Doan M | 5.9 | 64' | – | – | 3 | 18 (13%) | 3 |
| 23 N. Ilicevic M | 5.9 | 26' | – | – | – | 8 (6%) | – |
| 7 Ansgar Knauff D | 5.8 | 46' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | 2 |
| 2 Elias Baum D | 5.0 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 35 (25%) | 5 |
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At a glance
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Live insights
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 2-2. Draw probability: 90.8%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Min 75: SC Paderborn 07 leads 2-1. Win probability: 79.8%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 20.2%.
Goal! Score now 2-1. SC Paderborn 07 win: 79%. BTTS: 100%.
Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 37.7%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.
Half-time: 1-1. Teams level going into the 2nd half. Home win 2H: 27.7%, Away win 2H: 34.7%.
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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No scorer data.
Y. Ebnoutalib
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun 2020 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 3 - 2 | SC Paderborn 07 |
| 22 Dec 2019 | SC Paderborn 07 | 2 - 1 | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 14 Mar 2015 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 - 0 | SC Paderborn 07 |
SC Paderborn 07 — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | H Eintracht Frankfurt | D | 2 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Borussia Mönchengladbach | D | 0 - 0 |
| 28 Oct | H VfB Stuttgart | L | 0 - 1 |
| 24 Oct | H Hamburger SV | W | 1 - 0 |
| 17 Oct | A Werder Bremen | D | 2 - 2 |
Eintracht Frankfurt — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov | A SC Paderborn 07 | D | 2 - 2 |
| 01 Nov | H Hamburger SV | W | 3 - 1 |
| 27 Oct | A Hamburger SV | W | 1 - 3 |
| 24 Oct | A Borussia Dortmund | L | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Oct | H 1. FC Köln | W | 1 - 0 |
Bundesliga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bayern München
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29 | 9 | +20 | 21 |
| 2 |
Borussia Dortmund
|
9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 21 |
| 3 |
RB Leipzig
|
9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 13 | +14 | 18 |
| 4 |
SC Freiburg
|
8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +8 | 16 |
| 5 |
Werder Bremen
|
9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17 | 15 | +2 | 15 |
| 6 |
Bayer Leverkusen
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 16 | +2 | 13 |
| 7 |
SV Elversberg
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 |
VfB Stuttgart
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 9 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 10 |
Hamburger SV
|
9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 20 | -10 | 12 |
| 11 |
FSV Mainz 05
|
9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |
SC Paderborn 07
|
9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |
FC Augsburg
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |
1899 Hoffenheim
|
8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |
1. FC Köln
|
8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 |
Union Berlin
|
8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 19 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |
FC Schalke 04
|
8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |
Borussia Mönchengladbach
|
9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 4 |
Eintracht Frankfurt
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: A. Hütter
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | N. Atubolu | G |
| 7 | A. Knauff | D |
| 4 | R. Koch | D |
| 3 | L. Brassier | D |
| 2 | Elias Baum | D |
| 25 | R. Onyedika | M |
| 15 | N. Aséko Nkili | M |
| 20 | R. Dōan | M |
| 42 | C. Uzun | M |
| 8 | F. Chaïbi | M |
| 9 | J. Burkardt | F |
Substitutes
| 40 | Kauã Santos | G |
| 37 | J. Maluze | D |
| 35 | M. Pimpong | F |
| 23 | N. Ilicevic | M |
| 6 | O. Højlund | M |
| 11 | Y. Ebnoutalib | F |
| 34 | N. Collins | D |
| 22 | T. Chandler | D |
| 31 | L. Arrhov | M |
SC Paderborn 07
Formation: 3-5-2
Coach: R. Kettemann
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | N. Noll | G |
| 21 | J. ter Horst | D |
| 25 | T. Scheller | D |
| 22 | M. Hansen | D |
| 17 | L. Curda | M |
| 6 | T. Baack | M |
| 5 | S. Castañeda | M |
| 40 | G. Vidović | M |
| 23 | R. Obermair | M |
| 2 | Ruben Müller | F |
| 30 | S. Marino | F |
Substitutes
| 20 | F. Götze | D |
| 29 | C. Lippmann | D |
| 9 | R. Philippe | F |
| 18 | M. Pieringer | F |
| 1 | M. Schubert | G |
| 3 | Jonah Benedict Sticker | D |
| 27 | S. Tigges | F |
| 28 | L. Ulrich | M |
| 38 | D. Zeitler | F |