Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV Prognoza

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 1
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Typowanie AI Borussia Dortmund – wygrana lub remis
68%
20%
13%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Borussia Dortmund na 68%, Hamburger SV na 13%, a remisu na 20%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 29 Aug 2026, 18:25.

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Match Report

Borussia Dortmund made a commanding start at Signal Iduna Park, taking the lead through Serhou Guirassy in the ninth minute. Konstantelias doubled the advantage just before the break, and his goal proved decisive as Dortmund headed into half-time with a comfortable 2–0 cushion. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Dortmund win as the most likely outcome at 68%, a call that proved correct.

The second half offered little in the way of a Hamburg comeback. Dortmund controlled possession at 56% and registered 20 total shots to Hamburg's seven, reflecting the home side's dominance throughout. Konstantelias was withdrawn early in the second period, while a flurry of substitutions from both benches disrupted the game's rhythm without altering the scoreline.

The match's defining disciplinary moment came in the 77th minute when Hamburg's Samuele Inacio received a red card, effectively ending any slim hope of a revival. Despite late changes including the introduction of Maximilian Beier, Dortmund saw the game out without difficulty, securing a convincing opening-day victory.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Serhou Guirassy assist: Konstantinos Karetsas
9' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 21'
Albert Sambi Lokonga Yellow Card
Giannis Konstantelias
45+1' ⚽ 2–0
HT 2–0
Giannis Konstantelias ⇄ Marcel Sabitzer
54' ⇄
Julian Ryerson Yellow Card
58' ▮
⇄ 67'
Patson Daka ⇄ Terem Moffi
⇄ 67'
Martin Adeline ⇄ Otto Stange
Julian Ryerson ⇄ Filippo Mané
74' ⇄
Felix Nmecha ⇄ Joey Veerman
74' ⇄
Konstantinos Karetsas ⇄ Samuele Inacio
74' ⇄
Samuele Inacio Red Card
77' ▮
⇄ 82'
Jordan Torunarigha ⇄ Bilal Nadir
⇄ 82'
Bakery Jatta ⇄ Yussuf Poulsen
Maximilian Beier ⇄ Kauã Prates
84' ⇄
Daniel Svensson Yellow Card
85' ▮
⇄ 89'
Louis Lemke ⇄ Rayan Philippe
FT 2–0
Borussia Dortmund

Match Stats

Hamburger SV
56% Ball Possession 44%
20 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Goal 3
10 Shots off Goal 4
4 Blocked Shots 0
12 Shots insidebox 3
8 Shots outsidebox 4
3 Corner Kicks 1
1 Offsides 1
13 Fouls 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
1 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 5
537 Total passes 414
471 Passes accurate 337
19 Free Kicks 12
Borussia Dortmund
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Serhou Guirassy F 8.1 90' 1 – 2 28 (19%) –
19 Konstantinos Karetsas F 7.7 74' – 1 6 47 (39%) 1
3 Waldemar Anton D 7.5 90' – – – 89 (83%) –
22 Joane Gadou D 7.4 90' – – – 69 (67%) 1
1 Gregor Kobel G 7.3 90' – – – 25 (17%) –
24 Daniel Svensson D 7.2 90' – – – 72 (69%) 2
7 Jobe Bellingham M 7.2 90' – – 1 55 (49%) 4
36 Kauã Prates D 7.1 6' – – 1 – 2
8 Felix Nmecha M 7.0 74' – – 2 48 (42%) 1
39 Filippo Mané D 7.0 16' – – – 1 (1%) –
25 Joey Veerman M 6.9 16' – – 1 6 (6%) –
45 Giannis Konstantelias F 6.9 54' – – 2 26 (21%) 1
26 Julian Ryerson M 6.8 74' – – – 29 (27%) 1
20 Marcel Sabitzer M 6.8 36' – – – 14 (10%) –
14 Maximilian Beier M 6.7 84' – – 5 27 (20%) 2
40 Samuele Inacio F 5.7 3' – – – 1 (1%) –
Hamburger SV
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G 7.2 90' – – – 68 (55%) –
6 Albert Sambi Lokonga M 6.7 90' – – 1 64 (56%) 2
15 Yussuf Poulsen F 6.6 8' – – – 3 (1%) –
14 Rayan Philippe F 6.5 1' – – 1 3 (2%) –
11 Albert Grønbæk M 6.4 90' – – 2 24 (18%) –
21 Nicolai Remberg M 6.4 90' – – – 43 (42%) –
9 Terem Moffi F 6.3 23' – – – 4 (3%) –
18 Bakery Jatta M 6.3 82' – – – 36 (31%) 2
23 Jordan Torunarigha D 6.1 82' – – – 36 (29%) 1
19 Otto Stange F 6.1 23' – – – 6 (5%) –
5 Martin Adeline M 6.1 67' – – – 20 (16%) 1
4 Bilal Nadir M 6.0 8' – – – 4 (4%) –
27 Patson Daka F 6.0 67' – – 3 12 (8%) 1
24 Nicolás Capaldo D 5.9 90' – – – 40 (27%) 3
37 Louis Lemke M 5.9 89' – – – 13 (7%) 2
33 Sebastiaan Bornauw D 5.4 90' – – – 38 (33%) 1
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Confidence Medium (68%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Borussia Dortmund – wygrana lub remis
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Borussia Dortmund
WWWWW
Hamburger SV
WLLLW
Last 3 meetings Borussia Dortmund · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Borussia Dortmund will face Hamburger SV. Dortmund has demonstrated a strong attacking prowess, averaging 2.5 goals per match last season, while their defense maintained a solid 1.2 goals conceded per game. Conversely, Hamburger SV struggled defensively, allowing 1.8 goals per match, which could be a critical factor in this matchup. With Dortmund's high pressing and quick transitions, they will likely look to exploit Hamburger's defensive vulnerabilities. A key matchup to watch will be Dortmund's attacking midfielders against HSV's central defenders.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

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Players in form

Borussia Dortmund
S. Guirassy 2 gls
F. Nmecha 2 gls
Hamburger SV

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

2 Borussia Dortmund Wins
1 Draws
0 Hamburger SV Wins
Date Home Score Away
21 Mar 2026 Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2 Hamburger SV
08 Nov 2025 Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Borussia Dortmund
10 Feb 2018 Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0 Hamburger SV
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Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A VfB Stuttgart W 0 - 1
12 Sep H SC Paderborn 07 W 3 - 0
08 Sep H Villarreal W 3 - 2
05 Sep A 1899 Hoffenheim W 2 - 3
01 Sep A HEBC W 0 - 5

Hamburger SV — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H 1. FC Köln W 2 - 1
13 Sep A RB Leipzig L 5 - 0
06 Sep H FSV Mainz 05 L 0 - 5
29 Aug A Borussia Dortmund L 2 - 0
24 Aug A Verl W 0 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Borussia Dortmund
4 4 0 0 +7 12
2
Bayern München
4 3 1 0 +12 10
3
SC Freiburg
4 3 1 0 +9 10
4
FC Augsburg
4 2 1 1 +5 7
5
Bayer Leverkusen
4 2 1 1 +5 7
6
FSV Mainz 05
4 2 1 1 +4 7
7
SV Elversberg
4 2 1 1 +1 7
8
Werder Bremen
4 2 1 1 0 7
9
RB Leipzig
4 2 0 2 +4 6
10
Eintracht Frankfurt
4 1 2 1 -1 5
11
FC Schalke 04
4 1 2 1 -1 5
12
SC Paderborn 07
4 1 1 2 -2 4
13
1. FC Köln
4 1 1 2 -3 4
14
1899 Hoffenheim
4 1 0 3 -3 3
15
VfB Stuttgart
4 1 0 3 -3 3
16
Hamburger SV
4 1 0 3 -11 3
17
Union Berlin
4 0 1 3 -13 1
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 0 0 4 -10 0

Borussia Dortmund

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Atang Bob Mafoso
1 Kobel
24 Svensson
3 Anton
22 Gadou
14 Beier
8 Nmecha
7 Bellingham
26 Ryerson
45 Konstantelias
9 Guirassy
19 Karetsas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 G. Kobel G
22 Kouakou Joane Gadou D
3 W. Anton D
24 D. Svensson D
26 J. Ryerson M
7 J. Bellingham M
8 F. Nmecha M
14 M. Beier M
19 K. Karetsas F
9 S. Guirassy F
45 G. Konstantelias F

Substitutes

41 M. Albert F
40 S. Inacio F
39 F. Mané D
33 A. Meyer G
36 Kauã Prates D
20 M. Sabitzer M
21 Fábio Silva F
25 J. Veerman M

Hamburger SV

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Atang Bob Mafoso
1 Fernandes
23 Torunarigha
33 Bornauw
24 Capaldo
37 Lemke
21 Remberg
6 Lokonga
18 Jatta
11 Grønbæk
5 Adeline
27 Daka

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
24 N. Capaldo D
33 S. Bornauw D
23 J. Torunarigha D
18 B. Jatta M
6 A. Sambi Lokonga M
21 N. Remberg M
37 L. Lemke M
5 M. Adeline M
11 A. Grønbæk M
27 P. Daka F

Substitutes

14 R. Philippe F
15 Y. Poulsen F
19 Otto Emerson Stange F
12 S. Tangvik G
9 T. Moffi F
4 B. Nadir M
8 Daniel Elfadli M
22 Kofi Jeremy Amoako M

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