Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna Prognoza

La Liga · Regular Season - 11

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Osasuna

Away

Estadio Abanca-Riazor, La Coruña

Typowanie AI Deportivo La Coruna lub remis

44%

30%

26%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Deportivo La Coruna na 44%, Osasuna na 26%, a remisu na 30%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 2 Nov 2026, 21:55.

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Gospodarz strzeli gola 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
Ponad 1,5 gola 71%

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Match Report

Osasuna dominated possession and created the clearer chances throughout, and Ante Budimir gave them a deserved lead on 32 minutes to send the sides into the break with the visitors ahead. The stats told a familiar story at half-time, with Osasuna controlling 62% of the ball and generating an expected goals figure of 2.4 compared to Deportivo's 0.99.

The home side showed greater urgency after the interval, and Mario Soriano drew them level on 64 minutes to shift the momentum. Deportivo grew into the contest despite being second best for much of the afternoon, and Bil Nsongo completed the turnaround with a late winner on 87 minutes, sparking jubilant scenes at the final whistle. The result was a reminder that scorelines do not always reflect the balance of play.

The victory moves Deportivo La Coruna to three points from this matchday fixture in La Liga's regular season. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Deportivo win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that ultimately proved correct despite the uphill battle the hosts faced.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 32'

Ante Budimir assist: Moi Gómez

▮ 35'

Moi Gómez Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Giacomo Quagliata ⇄ Adama Traoré

56' ⇄

▮ 63'

Alejandro Catena Yellow Card

Mario Soriano assist: Luismi Cruz

64' ⚽ 1–1

Luismi Cruz ⇄ Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang

69' ⇄

⇄ 69'

Jonathan Dubasin ⇄ Rubén García

⇄ 69'

Raúl Moro ⇄ Asier Osambela

⇄ 78'

Jon Moncayola ⇄ Iñigo Arguibide

⇄ 78'

Ante Budimir ⇄ Raúl García de Haro

▮ 81'

Abel Bretones Yellow Card

▮ 84'

Kike Barja Yellow Card

Bil Nsongo

87' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 89'

Valentin Rosier ⇄ Kike Barja

David Mella ⇄ Ximo Navarro

90' ⇄

Mario Soriano ⇄ Riki Rodríguez

90' ⇄

FT 2–1

Deportivo La Coruna

Match Stats

Osasuna

62% Ball Possession 38%

2.4 Expected Goals (xG) 0.99

18 Total Shots 11

7 Shots on Goal 2

8 Shots off Goal 5

3 Blocked Shots 4

14 Shots insidebox 7

4 Shots outsidebox 4

8 Corner Kicks 2

5 Fouls 13

0 Yellow Cards 4

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 5

551 Total passes 342

490 Passes accurate 274

12 Free Kicks 5

Deportivo La Coruna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Mario Soriano M	8.2	90'	1	–	2	96 (92%)	1
32 Bil Nsongo F	8.0	90'	1	–	4	13 (10%)	–
19 Luismi Cruz F	7.5	69'	–	1	2	29 (26%)	1
24 Adama Traoré F	7.2	34'	–	–	1	11 (10%)	3
15 Miguel Loureiro D	7.1	90'	–	–	–	69 (64%)	3
12 Giacomo Quagliata D	6.9	56'	–	–	1	29 (27%)	–
2 Adrià Altimira D	6.8	90'	–	–	–	45 (42%)	–
7 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F	6.7	21'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
16 Lorenzo Amatucci M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	66 (61%)	3
20 José María Giménez D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	74 (66%)	1
13 Leo Román G	6.4	90'	–	–	–	33 (22%)	–
11 David Mella M	6.2	90'	–	–	4	40 (32%)	3
10 Yeremay Hernández M	6.1	90'	–	–	3	37 (33%)	–

Osasuna

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
17 Ante Budimir F	8.2	78'	1	–	4	11 (7%)	3
16 Moi Gómez M	7.5	90'	–	1	1	56 (48%)	4
1 Sergio Herrera G	7.3	90'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	1
22 Flavien Boyomo D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	37 (33%)	–
27 Iñigo Arguibide D	6.7	12'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	1
18 Raúl Moro F	6.6	69'	–	–	2	22 (14%)	–
19 Valentin Rosier D	6.5	89'	–	–	–	18 (13%)	4
23 Abel Bretones D	6.5	90'	–	–	–	39 (34%)	3
8 Iker Muñoz M	6.4	90'	–	–	1	43 (35%)	1
29 Asier Osambela M	6.4	21'	–	–	1	6 (4%)	–
21 Jonathan Dubasin F	6.4	69'	–	–	–	16 (15%)	1
9 Raúl García de Haro F	6.3	12'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	–
24 Alejandro Catena D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	35 (27%)	2
11 Kike Barja F	6.2	1'	–	–	–	–	–
14 Rubén García M	6.1	21'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	1
7 Jon Moncayola M	6.0	78'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	2

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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Deportivo La Coruna lub remis

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Deportivo La Coruna

DWWLD

Osasuna

DLWLW

Last 3 meetings Deportivo La Coruna · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Deportivo La Coruna faces Osasuna in a key La Liga matchup. Deportivo has shown a mixed form this season, struggling with consistency, while Osasuna has been more reliable, particularly in defensive organization. Key players to watch include Deportivo's forward line, which needs to break through Osasuna's solid back four. Both teams will aim to capitalize on set pieces, as they have been effective scoring opportunities for both sides. The outcome will hinge on which team can impose its style more effectively and convert chances into goals.

Live insights

88' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Deportivo La Coruna win probability: 95.4%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Still level at 1-1. Draw looking likely at 70.4%. Late goal chance: 32.6%.

65' Goal 65% sure

Equalizer scored! Match now level at 1-1. Draw probability: 58.5%. Expect an open game as both teams push for the winner.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-1. Osasuna leads. Win probability: 66.2%. Over 0.5 more goals: 68.5%.

33' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Osasuna win: 62.6%. BTTS: 58.5%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

45%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Deportivo La Coruna

P. Aubameyang 5 gls

Osasuna

A. Budimir 8 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Deportivo La Coruna vs Osasuna

1 Deportivo La Coruna Wins

1 Draws

1 Osasuna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Apr 2017	Osasuna	2 - 2	Deportivo La Coruna
18 Dec 2016	Deportivo La Coruna	2 - 0	Osasuna
20 Jan 2013	Osasuna	2 - 1	Deportivo La Coruna

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Deportivo La Coruna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Espanyol	D	0 - 0
02 Nov	H Osasuna	W	2 - 1
29 Oct	A Auriense	W	0 - 3
24 Oct	A Atletico Madrid	L	1 - 0
16 Oct	H Levante	D	1 - 1

Osasuna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	H Athletic Club	D	1 - 1
02 Nov	A Deportivo La Coruna	L	2 - 1
29 Oct	A Atletico Calatayud	W	0 - 6
26 Oct	A Sevilla	L	2 - 0
18 Oct	H Racing Santander	W	2 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46	12	+34	30
2	Real Madrid	12	10	0	2	31	10	+21	30
3	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22	8	+14	28
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	18	15	+3	23
5	Real Sociedad	11	6	1	4	20	20	0	19
6	Sevilla	12	5	3	4	17	19	-2	18
7	Athletic Club	11	4	4	3	15	11	+4	16
8	Deportivo La Coruna	12	3	6	3	15	14	+1	15
9	Racing Santander	12	4	2	6	17	30	-13	14
10	Alaves	12	3	4	5	15	17	-2	13
11	Villarreal	11	3	3	5	15	15	0	12
12	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10	10	0	12
13	Espanyol	12	3	3	6	13	14	-1	12
14	Rayo Vallecano	10	3	3	4	15	20	-5	12
15	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8	16	-8	12
16	Osasuna	12	3	3	6	12	23	-11	12
17	Elche	11	2	4	5	14	18	-4	10
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	16	21	-5	10
19	Valencia	12	2	3	7	8	20	-12	9
20	Malaga	12	0	5	7	9	23	-14	5

Osasuna

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Arrasate

1 Herrera

23 Bretones

22 Boyomo

24 Catena

19 Rosier

16 Gómez

8 Muñoz

7 Moncayola

18 Moro

17 Budimir

21 Dubasin

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Sergio Herrera	G
19	V. Rosier	D
24	Catena	D
22	F. Boyomo	D
23	Abel Bretones	D
7	Moncayola	M
8	Iker Muñoz	M
16	Moi Gómez	M
21	Jonathan Dubasin	F
17	A. Budimir	F
18	Raul Moro	F

Substitutes

15	Diego Rico	D
29	Asier Osambela	M
9	Raúl García	F
14	Rubén García	M
31	Rafa Fernández	G
13	Aitor Fernández	G
26	Mauro Echegoyen	M
11	Kike Barja	F
27	Íñigo Arguibide	D
35	U. Santos	D
6	Lucas Torró	M
48	R. Yeboah	D