Celta Vigo vs Alaves Prognoza
Prognoza Celta Vigo vs Alaves: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Celta Vigo na 42%, Alaves na 27%, a remisu na 31%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 18 Oct 2026, 16:09.
Typy Premium
Premium- Gospodarz strzeli gola 73%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 72%
Match Report
Celta Vigo claimed a 2–1 victory over Alaves in a La Liga matchday nine encounter that remained goalless at half-time despite early tension, with Sebastián Cáceres and Toni Martínez both picking up yellow cards before the break. Alaves dominated possession at 52% and registered nine shots on target to Celta's three, yet it was the hosts who struck first when Ferran Jutglà broke the deadlock eight minutes into the second half.
Alaves levelled through Javi Rodríguez on 71 minutes, briefly threatening to turn their statistical dominance into a result, but Celta had the final say when Hugo Novoa netted three minutes from time to seal all three points. The winning goal came despite Alaves having generated more expected goals across the match at 1.05 to Celta's 0.91, underlining the clinical edge the home side showed on limited opportunities.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a Celta win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that proved correct. Both sides made multiple substitutions in the second half as the game opened up, but it was Celta who held their nerve to take the points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Celta Vigo
Match Stats
Celta Vigo
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Ionuț Radu G | 8.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 29 (17%) | – |
| 20 Javi Rodríguez D | 8.2 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 66 (55%) | – |
| 9 Ferran Jutglà F | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | – | 2 | 20 (12%) | – |
| 18 Yoel Lago D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 72 (67%) | – |
| 30 Hugo Burcio M | 6.9 | 70' | – | – | – | 22 (20%) | 4 |
| 3 Marcos Alonso D | 6.8 | 13' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | 2 |
| 10 Iago Aspas F | 6.8 | 20' | – | 1 | – | 16 (12%) | – |
| 19 Williot Swedberg F | 6.7 | 46' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 21 Sebastián Cáceres D | 6.6 | 77' | – | – | – | 52 (43%) | 5 |
| 23 Hugo Álvarez M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 38 (33%) | – |
| 14 Aleix Febas M | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 15 (12%) | – |
| 17 Javier Rueda D | 6.5 | 44' | – | – | – | 12 (10%) | – |
| 24 Couhaib Driouech F | 6.4 | 70' | – | – | 1 | 20 (14%) | 1 |
| 6 Ilaix Moriba M | 6.4 | 46' | – | – | – | 18 (17%) | 1 |
| 5 Sergio Carreira M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 48 (36%) | 1 |
| 28 Andrés Antañón M | 6.2 | 20' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
Alaves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Hugo Novoa F | 7.4 | 28' | 1 | – | 1 | 7 (3%) | 1 |
| 8 Antonio Blanco M | 7.2 | 88' | – | – | – | 66 (59%) | 2 |
| 21 Abderrahman Rebbach D | 6.9 | 88' | – | – | 1 | 32 (25%) | – |
| 16 Ville Koski D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (46%) | 2 |
| 19 Pablo Ibáñez M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 37 (32%) | – |
| 17 Jonny Otto D | 6.6 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 45 (39%) | – |
| 14 Nahuel Tenaglia D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 43 (36%) | 2 |
| 9 Mariano Diaz F | 6.6 | 28' | – | 1 | 2 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 2 Nicolás Valentini D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 58 (39%) | 2 |
| 11 Toni Martínez F | 6.4 | 62' | – | – | 3 | 14 (8%) | 1 |
| 15 Lucas Boyé F | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 32 (27%) | 2 |
| 20 Aitor Mañas F | 6.3 | 2' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 10 Carles Aleñá M | 6.2 | 62' | – | – | 1 | 33 (29%) | – |
| 4 Denis Suarez M | 6.1 | 28' | – | – | – | 17 (15%) | – |
| 6 Ander Guevara M | 6.1 | 2' | – | – | 1 | 6 (6%) | – |
| 1 Antonio Sivera G | 5.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 28 (18%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
L. Boyé
5 gls
M. Díaz
4 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Celta Vigo vs Alaves
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar 2026 | Celta Vigo | 3 - 4 | Alaves |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Alaves | 0 - 1 | Celta Vigo |
| 27 Jan 2025 | Alaves | 1 - 1 | Celta Vigo |
Celta Vigo — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov | H Union St. Gilloise | L | 1 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Rayo Vallecano | L | 3 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Real Betis | D | 0 - 0 |
| 22 Oct | A Celtic | W | 1 - 2 |
| 18 Oct | H Alaves | W | 2 - 1 |
Alaves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov | A Sevilla | D | 0 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | A Barcelona | L | 6 - 1 |
| 23 Oct | H Malaga | D | 1 - 1 |
| 18 Oct | A Celta Vigo | L | 2 - 1 |
| 10 Oct | H Atletico Madrid | L | 1 - 2 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 12 | +34 | 30 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 10 | +21 | 30 |
| 3 |
Atletico Madrid
|
11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 8 | +14 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Betis
|
11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 15 | +3 | 23 |
| 5 |
Real Sociedad
|
11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 19 |
| 6 |
Sevilla
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 18 |
| 7 |
Athletic Club
|
11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 11 | +4 | 16 |
| 8 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 15 |
| 9 |
Racing Santander
|
12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 30 | -13 | 14 |
| 10 |
Alaves
|
12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 |
Villarreal
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 |
Celta Vigo
|
11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Espanyol
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 |
Getafe
|
11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 |
Osasuna
|
12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
| 17 |
Elche
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 10 |
| 18 |
Levante
|
11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 21 | -5 | 10 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | -14 | 5 |
Celta Vigo
Formation: 3-4-3
Coach: Tamás Bódog
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 13 | I. Radu | G |
| 20 | Javi Rodríguez | D |
| 18 | Yoel Lago | D |
| 21 | S. Cáceres | D |
| 5 | Sergio Carreira | M |
| 30 | H. Burcio | M |
| 6 | I. Moriba | M |
| 23 | Hugo Álvarez | M |
| 24 | C. Driouech | F |
| 9 | Ferran Jutglà | F |
| 19 | W. Swedberg | F |
Substitutes
| 28 | Andrés Antañón | M |
| 3 | Marcos Alonso | D |
| 31 | Ángel Arcos | F |
| 10 | Iago Aspas | F |
| 1 | A. Bayındır | G |
| 4 | A. Faye | D |
| 14 | Aleix Febas | M |
| 22 | Javi Galán | D |
| 16 | Hugo González | F |
| 15 | Álvaro Núñez | D |
| 17 | Javi Rueda | D |
| 25 | Iván Villar | G |
Alaves
Formation: 5-3-2
Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sivera | G |
| 14 | N. Tenaglia | D |
| 17 | Jonny | D |
| 16 | V. Koski | D |
| 2 | N. Valentini | D |
| 21 | A. Rebbach | D |
| 19 | Pablo Ibáñez | M |
| 8 | Antonio Blanco | M |
| 10 | Carles Aleñá | M |
| 11 | Toni Martínez | F |
| 15 | L. Boyé | F |
Substitutes
| 24 | Selu Diallo | M |
| 9 | M. Díaz | F |
| 3 | Yusi | D |
| 6 | Guevara | M |
| 20 | Aitor Mañas | F |
| 12 | Hugo Novoa | F |
| 27 | X. Olaiz | D |
| 13 | A. Giménez | G |
| 22 | Miguel Rodríguez | F |
| 4 | Denis Suárez | M |
| 31 | G. Swiderski | G |
| 23 | C. Benavídez | M |