Real Sociedad vs Espanyol Prognoza

La Liga La Liga · Regular Season - 3
FT
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Typowanie AI Real Sociedad lub remis
46%
29%
25%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Real Sociedad vs Espanyol: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Real Sociedad na 46%, Espanyol na 25%, a remisu na 29%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 29 Aug 2026, 18:59.

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Match Report

Real Sociedad claimed a hard-fought 2–1 victory over Espanyol in La Liga's third matchday, despite being outplayed for long stretches. Ander Barrenetxea gave the hosts an early lead in the fourth minute, only for Roberto Fernández to level matters on the stroke of half-time, sending the teams in level at 1–1.

The decisive moment came early in the second half, when Orri Steinn Óskarsson netted on 61 minutes to restore Real Sociedad's advantage. The Icelandic forward's goal proved to be the winner, as Imanol Alguacil's side held firm despite Espanyol's statistical dominance — the visitors controlled 61% of possession, registered 10 shots on target to Sociedad's three, and earned seven corners compared to three. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Real Sociedad win as the most likely outcome at 46%, a call that proved correct.

The closing stages were feisty, with a flurry of yellow cards distributed to both sides and a late red card rounding off a tense finish. Real Sociedad's resilience and clinical finishing ultimately proved the difference, securing three points despite riding their luck against a persistent Espanyol side.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Ander Barrenetxea assist: Mikel Oyarzabal
4' ⚽ 1–0
Beñat Turrientes Yellow Card
17' ▮
▮ 22'
Urko González Yellow Card
⚽ 1–1 45'
Roberto Fernández assist: Javier Hernández
⇄ 45'
Urko González ⇄ Gabriel Moscardo
HT 1–1
Orri Steinn Óskarsson assist: Mikel Oyarzabal
61' ⚽ 2–1
Beñat Turrientes ⇄ Yangel Herrera
62' ⇄
Ander Barrenetxea ⇄ Alex Marchal
63' ⇄
⇄ 70'
Javier Hernández ⇄ Marcos Fernández
⇄ 70'
Edu Expósito ⇄ Rafael Bauzà
▮ 75'
Marcos Fernández Yellow Card
Orri Steinn Óskarsson ⇄ Gonçalo Guedes
78' ⇄
Luka Sučić ⇄ Takefusa Kubo
78' ⇄
▮ 82'
Roger Hinojo Yellow Card
⇄ 83'
Tyrhys Dolan ⇄ Jofre Carreras
⇄ 83'
Roberto Fernández ⇄ Pere Milla
▮ 88'
Rafael Bauzà Yellow Card
Mikel Oyarzabal ⇄ Jon Gorrotxategi
90' ⇄
Igor Zubeldia Yellow Card
90+3' ▮
Red Card
90+4' ▮
FT 2–1
Real Sociedad

Match Stats

Espanyol
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 11
10 Shots on Goal 3
3 Shots off Goal 6
4 Blocked Shots 2
13 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 5
7 Corner Kicks 3
19 Fouls 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 7
410 Total passes 402
336 Passes accurate 316
14 Free Kicks 18
Real Sociedad
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F 7.6 90' – 2 4 25 (16%) –
9 Orri Steinn Óskarsson F 7.6 78' 1 – 3 15 (11%) 1
7 Ander Barrenetxea M 7.4 63' 1 – 2 17 (15%) –
31 Jon Martin D 7.2 90' – – 1 53 (47%) 3
18 Carlos Soler M 7.1 90' – – 1 46 (41%) 1
11 Gonçalo Guedes F 7.0 12' – – 3 5 (4%) 1
29 Alex Marchal F 7.0 27' – – 1 5 (5%) 1
17 Sergio Gómez D 6.8 90' – – – 46 (39%) –
24 Luka Sučić M 6.7 78' – – 1 28 (24%) 2
14 Takefusa Kubo F 6.5 12' – – – 1 1
2 Jon Aramburu D 6.5 90' – – – 34 (28%) 3
8 Beñat Turrientes M 6.3 62' – – 1 38 (34%) 3
21 Yangel Herrera M 6.3 28' – – – 10 (8%) 2
1 Álex Remiro G 6.1 90' – – – 36 (22%) –
5 Igor Zubeldia D 6.0 90' – – – 49 (40%) –
Espanyol
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Marko Dmitrović G 7.9 90' – – – 23 (16%) –
9 Roberto Fernández F 7.7 83' 1 – 2 19 (14%) –
28 Javier Hernández M 6.7 70' – 1 1 12 (8%) 1
18 Marcos Fernández F 6.6 20' – – 1 4 (4%) 1
14 Unai Núñez D 6.5 90' – – – 54 (42%) 1
23 Omar El Hilali D 6.4 90' – – – 40 (33%) 1
20 Gabriel Moscardo M 6.3 44' – – 1 19 (17%) 3
4 Urko González M 6.3 46' – – – 21 (19%) 1
17 Jofre Carreras F 6.3 7' – – 1 3 (2%) –
16 Vanja Drkušić D 6.2 90' – – – 56 (45%) 1
11 Pere Milla M 6.1 7' – – – 1 (1%) –
21 Roger Hinojo D 6.1 90' – – – 51 (38%) 2
22 Álex Calatrava M 6.1 90' – – 2 31 (23%) 4
26 Rafael Bauzà M 5.9 20' – – – 10 (7%) –
8 Edu Expósito M 5.8 70' – – 3 38 (32%) 2
24 Tyrhys Dolan M 5.7 83' – – – 17 (15%) –
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Confidence Low (46%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Real Sociedad lub remis
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Real Sociedad
WLLWD
Espanyol
LLWDL
Last 3 meetings Real Sociedad · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

Real Sociedad will face Espanyol in a La Liga clash on August 29, 2026. Real Sociedad has demonstrated strong form at home, leveraging their tactical discipline and possession-based play. In contrast, Espanyol has struggled defensively, with a high xG conceded per match this season. Key players for Sociedad, particularly in midfield and attack, will look to exploit Espanyol's weaknesses. Expect a tightly contested match where Sociedad's home performance will be crucial in determining the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
46%
10%
Draw
29%
45%
Away
25%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Real Sociedad
L. Sučić 3 gls
Espanyol
Roberto Fernández 6 gls

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Head to Head: Real Sociedad vs Espanyol

1 Real Sociedad Wins
2 Draws
0 Espanyol Wins
Date Home Score Away
23 May 2026 Espanyol 1 - 1 Real Sociedad
24 Aug 2025 Real Sociedad 2 - 2 Espanyol
09 Feb 2025 Real Sociedad 2 - 1 Espanyol
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Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Valencia W 2 - 3
17 Sep H Bournemouth L 1 - 2
13 Sep H Atletico Madrid L 0 - 3
07 Sep A Elche W 2 - 3
03 Sep H Celta Vigo D 0 - 0

Espanyol — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
18 Sep H Elche L 1 - 3
15 Sep A Rayo Vallecano L 2 - 1
12 Sep A Osasuna W 0 - 2
06 Sep H Sevilla D 1 - 1
29 Aug A Real Sociedad L 2 - 1

La Liga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Barcelona
7 7 0 0 +24 21
2
Atletico Madrid
7 5 1 1 +9 16
3
Real Betis
7 5 1 1 +2 16
4
Real Madrid
7 5 0 2 +10 15
5
Sevilla
7 4 1 2 +1 13
6
Alaves
7 3 2 2 +5 11
7
Deportivo La Coruna
7 2 4 1 +2 10
8
Real Sociedad
7 3 1 3 -4 10
9
Villarreal
7 2 2 3 +1 8
10
Athletic Club
6 2 2 2 +1 8
11
Getafe
7 2 2 3 -3 8
12
Rayo Vallecano
7 2 2 3 -5 8
13
Osasuna
7 2 2 3 -7 8
14
Celta Vigo
7 1 4 2 +2 7
15
Espanyol
7 2 1 4 0 7
16
Racing Santander
7 2 1 4 -10 7
17
Levante
6 1 2 3 -4 5
18
Elche
7 1 2 4 -6 5
19
Valencia
7 1 1 5 -9 4
20
Malaga
7 0 3 4 -9 3

Espanyol

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: David Pagou
13 Dmitrović
21 Hinojo
14 Núñez
16 Drkušić
23 Hilali
8 Expósito
4 González
24 Dolan
28 Hernandez
22 Calatrava
9 Fernández

Starting XI

# Player Pos
13 M. Dmitrović G
23 O. El Hilali D
16 V. Drkušić D
14 Unai Núñez D
21 Roger Hinojo D
4 Urko González M
8 Edu Expósito M
22 Álex Calatrava M
28 Javier Hernandez M
24 T. Dolan M
9 Roberto Fernández F

Substitutes

1 Ángel Fortuño G
31 Llorenç Serred G
27 Adama Timera F
32 José Ángel D
3 Q. Hartman D
5 C. Riedel D
26 Rafel Bauzà M
20 Gabriel Moscardo M
17 Jofre Carreras F
10 Pol Lozano M
11 Pere Milla M
18 Marcos Fernández F

Real Sociedad

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: David Pagou
1 Remiro
17 Gómez
31 Martín
5 Zubeldia
2 Aramburu
7 Barrenetxea
18 Soler
8 Turrientes
24 Sučić
10 Oyarzabal
9 Óskarsson

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Álex Remiro G
2 J. Aramburu D
5 Zubeldia D
31 Jon Martín D
17 Sergio Gómez D
24 L. Sučić M
8 Beñat Turrientes M
18 Carlos Soler M
7 Barrenetxea M
9 O. Óskarsson F
10 Mikel Oyarzabal F

Substitutes

27 Gorka Carrera F
11 Gonçalo Guedes F
4 Jon Gorrotxategi M
21 Y. Herrera M
14 T. Kubo F
29 Alex Garcia F
13 Unai Marrero G
3 Aihen Muñoz D
12 J. Ochieng F
19 M. Sarr D
23 A. Zakharyan M
34 Luken Beitia D

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