Newcastle vs Arsenal Prognoza

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

21 Nov 2026, 15:00

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Arsenal

Away

Typowanie AI Arsenal wygrywa

17%

80%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Newcastle vs Arsenal: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Newcastle na 3%, Arsenal na 80%, a remisu na 17%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

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Most likely score

0:2 · 20.4%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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Newcastle

WLWDW

Arsenal

LWWWW

Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash between Newcastle and Arsenal, both teams will be looking to assert their position in the top half of the table. Newcastle has displayed a strong defensive record, conceding only 8 goals in their last 10 matches, while Arsenal boasts a potent attack that has netted 24 goals in the same span. Key players to watch include Newcastle's defensive stalwart and Arsenal's prolific striker. The match will likely hinge on Newcastle's ability to contain Arsenal's attacking threats while capitalizing on set pieces, where they have shown effectiveness. Expect a tactical battle between two teams with contrasting styles.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

10%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

80%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Arsenal goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	18	20	15	8	4
1	2	6	6	4	2	1
2		1	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Newcastle goals · most likely 0–2 (20.4%)

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Players in form

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

Arsenal

B. Saka 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

80%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

80%

Draw

17%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

96% Away (No Draw) 4% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Away Win by 2+ 1% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

80% Away Scores More 17% Equal Goals 3% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

29%

1.5

71%

56%

2.5

44%

78%

3.5

22%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

20%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

51% Even Total Goals 49% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	18.0%	20.4%	14.8%	8.1%
1	1.8%	6.3%	6.1%	4.4%	2.4%
2	0.4%	0.8%	0.9%	0.7%	0.4%
3	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
4	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

35%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

34%

24%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newcastle	Draw	Arsenal
Newcastle	1.8%	1.5%	1.3%
Draw	1.6%	12.4%	24.5%
Arsenal	0.1%	1.4%	55.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

74%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

85%

0.5

15%

99%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

64%

2.5

36%

84%

3.5

16%

Away Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs Arsenal

0 Newcastle Wins

0 Draws

3 Arsenal Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	Arsenal	1 - 0	Newcastle
28 Sep 2025	Newcastle	1 - 2	Arsenal
18 May 2025	Arsenal	1 - 0	Newcastle

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Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Brighton	L	3 - 0
15 Sep	A Ipswich	W	2 - 4
12 Sep	A Sunderland	W	0 - 2
09 Sep	A Napoli	W	0 - 1
06 Sep	H Chelsea	W	2 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.