Hull City vs Everton Prognoza

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
The MKM Stadium, Hull
Typowanie AI Everton lub remis
26%
30%
45%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Hull City vs Everton: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Hull City na 26%, Everton na 45%, a remisu na 30%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 11 Oct 2026, 14:59.

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Match Report

Hull City and Everton played out a breathless 2–2 draw at the MKM Stadium, with all four goals coming in a second half that bore little resemblance to a goalless first 45 minutes. A VAR cancellation of Brennan Johnson's effort at 34 minutes had denied Everton a breakthrough before the interval, but Gelhardt broke the deadlock three minutes after the restart, before Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall doubled the visitors' advantage on 55 minutes.

Hull rallied strongly, with Thierno Barry pulling one back on 68 minutes and Mohamed Belloumi levelling four minutes later to spark a frantic finale. The home side had dominated possession at 64 percent and registered 15 total shots to Everton's nine, though the visitors' expected goals figure of 1.42 held firm against Hull's 1.73, reflecting a relatively even contest in quality chances despite the territorial imbalance.

Our pre-match AI model had rated an Everton win as the most likely outcome at 45 percent, though the Blues ultimately had to settle for a point. Both sides will feel they had opportunities to claim all three.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Matt Crooks Yellow Card
13' ▮
Oli McBurnie Yellow Card
21' ▮
🖵 34'
Brennan Johnson Goal cancelled
HT 0–0
J. Gelhardt assist: Sorba Thomas
48' ⚽ 1–0
⚽ 1–1 55'
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall assist: Ainsley Maitland-Niles
Ryan Giles ⇄ Elliot Stroud
64' ⇄
J. Gelhardt ⇄ Mohamed Belloumi
64' ⇄
Matt Crooks ⇄ Tim Iroegbunam
65' ⇄
⇄ 66'
Brennan Johnson ⇄ Tyrique George
⚽ 1–2 68'
Thierno Barry assist: Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
Mohamed Belloumi assist: Elliot Stroud
74' ⚽ 2–2
Regan Slater ⇄ Hidemasa Morita
75' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Harrison Armstrong ⇄ Hayden Hackney
⇄ 78'
Ainsley Maitland-Niles ⇄ Jake O'Brien
Sorba Thomas ⇄ Robinio Vaz
86' ⇄
⇄ 86'
Jack Grealish ⇄ Tyler Dibling
⇄ 86'
Thierno Barry ⇄ Carlos Alcaraz
FT 2–2
Hull City

Match Stats

Everton
36% Ball Possession 64%
1.42 Expected Goals (xG) 1.73
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Goal 7
2 Shots off Goal 5
2 Blocked Shots 3
9 Shots insidebox 11
0 Shots outsidebox 4
7 Corner Kicks 6
1 Offsides 4
15 Fouls 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
307 Total passes 585
223 Passes accurate 509
4 Free Kicks 15
Hull City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
10 Mohamed Belloumi F 8.2 26' 1 – 2 7 (5%) –
11 J. Gelhardt M 8.0 64' 1 – 4 17 (11%) 3
7 Sorba Thomas M 7.7 86' – 1 1 30 (25%) 1
19 Konstantinos Tzolakis G 6.7 90' – – – 42 (20%) –
2 Lewie Coyle D 6.6 90' – – – 20 (16%) 1
47 Robinio Vaz F 6.5 4' – – – 2 (1%) –
27 Regan Slater M 6.4 75' – – – 30 (25%) 4
25 Matt Crooks M 6.3 65' – – – 20 (14%) 2
9 Oli McBurnie F 6.3 90' – – – 17 (12%) 1
6 Semi Ajayi D 6.2 90' – – – 23 (14%) 2
3 Ryan Giles D 6.2 64' – – – 19 (18%) –
32 Nobel Mendy D 6.1 90' – – 1 29 (21%) –
5 Hidemasa Morita M 6.1 15' – – – 5 (3%) –
42 Tim Iroegbunam M 6.0 25' – – – 11 (9%) –
15 John Egan D 5.9 90' – – 1 19 (17%) –
21 Elliot Stroud M 5.8 26' – 1 – 15 (12%) –
Everton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall M 9.0 90' 1 1 1 55 (48%) 2
11 Thierno Barry F 7.5 86' 1 – 5 16 (13%) –
37 James Garner M 7.2 90' – – 1 86 (81%) 5
6 James Tarkowski D 7.1 90' – – – 75 (67%) 2
5 Michael Keane D 7.1 90' – – 1 68 (63%) 3
2 Ainsley Maitland-Niles D 6.9 78' – 1 – 31 (25%) 1
10 Jack Grealish M 6.8 86' – – 2 42 (36%) 1
4 Jarrad Branthwaite D 6.6 90' – – 1 64 (59%) 1
20 Tyler Dibling F 6.6 4' – – – 5 (3%) –
19 Tyrique George F 6.4 24' – – – 18 (16%) –
22 Brennan Johnson M 6.3 66' – – 1 13 (10%) –
45 Harrison Armstrong M 6.3 78' – – 2 38 (30%) 1
15 Jake O'Brien D 6.2 12' – – – 11 (8%) –
24 Carlos Alcaraz M 6.2 4' – – 1 3 (2%) –
1 Jordan Pickford G 6.1 90' – – – 36 (28%) –
30 Hayden Hackney M 6.0 12' – – – 18 (15%) –
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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Everton lub remis
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Hull City
LDDLD
Everton
WWWLL
Last 3 meetings Hull City · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Hull City faces Everton. Hull City has shown a mixed form, struggling defensively with an average of 1.5 goals conceded per match this season. Conversely, Everton has been more solid at the back, allowing just 1.1 goals per game. The key battle will likely be in midfield, where Hull needs to disrupt Everton's build-up play to create scoring opportunities. Both teams will be looking for crucial points, making this a potentially tightly contested fixture.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
26%
10%
Draw
30%
45%
Away
45%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Hull City
M. Belloumi 3 gls
Everton
T. Barry 6 gls
K. Dewsbury-Hall 3 gls

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Head to Head: Hull City vs Everton

1 Hull City Wins
1 Draws
1 Everton Wins
Date Home Score Away
18 Mar 2017 Everton 4 - 0 Hull City
30 Dec 2016 Hull City 2 - 2 Everton
01 Jan 2015 Hull City 2 - 0 Everton
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Hull City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Arsenal L 1 - 0
31 Oct H Ipswich D 2 - 2
25 Oct H Brentford D 1 - 1
17 Oct A Fulham L 1 - 0
11 Oct H Everton D 2 - 2

Everton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov H Coventry W 3 - 1
02 Nov A Newcastle W 0 - 1
29 Oct H Newcastle W 3 - 1
24 Oct A Arsenal L 2 - 0
17 Oct H Chelsea L 0 - 2

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 +17 19
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 +4 16
5
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
6
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 +2 15
7
Brentford
9 3 5 1 +7 14
8
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
9
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 +1 12
10
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
12
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 -4 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 -12 7
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 -10 5

Everton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: D. Moyes
1 Pickford
4 Branthwaite
5 Keane
6 Tarkowski
2 Maitland-Niles
45 Armstrong
37 Garner
10 Grealish
8 Dewsbury-Hall
22 Johnson
11 Barry

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Pickford G
2 A. Maitland-Niles D
6 J. Tarkowski D
5 M. Keane D
4 J. Branthwaite D
37 J. Garner M
45 H. Armstrong M
22 B. Johnson M
8 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
10 J. Grealish M
11 T. Barry F

Substitutes

58 B. Graham F
19 Tyrique George F
30 H. Hackney M
34 M. Röhl M
24 C. Alcaraz M
23 C. Nørgaard M
20 T. Dibling F
15 J. O'Brien D
12 M. Travers G

Hull City

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: S. Jakirović
19 Tzolakis
3 Giles
32 Mendy
15 Egan
6 Ajayi
2 Coyle
7 Thomas
27 Slater
25 Crooks
11 Gelhardt
9 McBurnie

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 K. Tzolakis G
2 L. Coyle D
6 S. Ajayi D
15 J. Egan D
32 N. Mendy D
3 R. Giles D
11 J. Gelhardt M
25 M. Crooks M
27 R. Slater M
7 S. Thomas M
9 O. McBurnie F

Substitutes

47 R. Vaz F
42 T. Iroegbunam M
21 E. Stroud M
18 B. Norton-Cuffy D
5 H. Morita M
10 M. Belloumi F
22 L. Herrington D
17 P. McNair D
12 D. Phillips G

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