Chelsea vs Hull City Prognoza

Premier League · Regular Season - 4

Post on X

Hull City

Away

Stamford Bridge, London

Typowanie AI Chelsea – wygrana lub remis

75%

17%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Chelsea vs Hull City: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Chelsea na 75%, Hull City na 9%, a remisu na 17%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 12 Sep 2026, 15:58.

Typy Premium

Premium

Under 4.5 76%
Gospodarz strzeli 2+ 74%
1st Half Over 0.5 73%

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Match Report

Chelsea were held to a 2–2 draw by Hull City in a Premier League encounter that saw the visitors take a surprise lead at Stamford Bridge. Morgan Rogers opened the scoring as early as the seventh minute, and Mohamed Belloumi doubled Hull's advantage with two goals either side of the half-hour mark, leaving Chelsea with a mountain to climb at the break.

The hosts responded after the interval, with João Pedro pulling one back on 66 minutes to set up a tense finish. Chelsea's pressure told as they eventually levelled, though they were unable to find a winner despite dominating possession at 68% and generating 11 corners throughout the match. Hull, despite their relative lack of the ball, registered 13 total shots and showed considerable resilience to hold on for a point.

The result was a frustrating one for Chelsea, who had been backed as strong favourites — our pre-match AI model rated a home win at 75% — and will feel they should have converted their territorial dominance into all three points. A lively card count, with six yellows distributed across both sides, underlined the competitive nature of the contest.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Morgan Rogers assist: João Pedro

7' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 17'

Oli McBurnie Yellow Card

⚽ 1–1 28'

Mohamed Belloumi assist: Ryan Giles

⚽ 1–2 34'

Mohamed Belloumi assist: Oli McBurnie

J. Hato ⇄ Josep Chavarría

45' ⇄

HT 1–2

▮ 50'

John Egan Yellow Card

▮ 52'

Matt Crooks Yellow Card

⇄ 59'

Nobel Mendy ⇄ Lucas Herrington

⇄ 60'

Mohamed Belloumi ⇄ Mohamed-Ali Cho

⇄ 60'

Elliot Stroud ⇄ Sorba Thomas

João Pedro assist: Cole Palmer

66' ⚽ 2–2

⇄ 69'

Matt Crooks ⇄ Tim Iroegbunam

Roméo Lavia ⇄ Valentín Barco

70' ⇄

Malo Gusto ⇄ Danny Welbeck

78' ⇄

Valentín Barco Yellow Card

80' ▮

⇄ 82'

Oli McBurnie ⇄ Robinio Vaz

⇄ 82'

Lewie Coyle ⇄ Brooke Norton-Cuffy

Pedro Neto ⇄ Estêvão

86' ⇄

Wesley Fofana ⇄ Maxence Lacroix

86' ⇄

▮ 88'

Tim Iroegbunam Yellow Card

▮ 90+6'

Brooke Norton-Cuffy Yellow Card

FT 2–2

Chelsea

Match Stats

Hull City

68% Ball Possession 32%

11 Total Shots 13

7 Shots on Goal 5

3 Shots off Goal 4

1 Blocked Shots 4

6 Shots insidebox 9

5 Shots outsidebox 4

11 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 1

7 Fouls 12

1 Yellow Cards 5

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 5

552 Total passes 258

479 Passes accurate 179

12 Free Kicks 7

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Confidence High (75%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Chelsea – wygrana lub remis

Most likely score

2:0 · 11.2%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

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Chelsea

LDWLW

Hull City

LDLDW

Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 3W 0D 0L

Match summary

Chelsea will face Hull City in a Premier League match on September 12, 2026. Chelsea enters the match with a strong home record and a solid attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game this season. Hull City, while competitive, has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The key battle will be Chelsea's ability to break down Hull's defense, which has shown vulnerability against high-pressing teams. Expect Chelsea to dominate possession, while Hull will aim for quick counter-attacks to exploit any gaps.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

75%

45%

Draw

17%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hull City goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	4	2	1
1	7	8	3	1
2	11	9	4	1
3	10	9	4	1
4	7	6	2	1
5	4	3	1

↑ Chelsea goals · most likely 2–0 (11.2%)

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Players in form

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

Hull City

M. Belloumi 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

13%

1.5

87%

33%

2.5

67%

56%

3.5

44%

76%

4.5

24%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

75%

Draw

17%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

54% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

75% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

96%

13%

1.5

87%

33%

2.5

67%

56%

3.5

44%

76%

4.5

24%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

20%

23%

20%

14%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.9%	1.6%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
1	7.3%	7.8%	2.9%	0.8%	0.2%
2	11.2%	9.4%	3.9%	1.1%	0.2%
3	10.1%	8.5%	3.6%	1.0%	0.2%
4	6.9%	5.8%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

27%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chelsea	Draw	Hull City
Chelsea	48.2%	2.4%	0.7%
Draw	24.7%	9.6%	3.5%
Hull City	3.8%	2.9%	4.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

26%

1.5

74%

52%

2.5

48%

75%

3.5

25%

Home Exact Goals

19%

26%

23%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

50%

1.5

50%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

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Head to Head: Chelsea vs Hull City

3 Chelsea Wins

0 Draws

0 Hull City Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Jan 2017	Chelsea	2 - 0	Hull City
01 Oct 2016	Hull City	0 - 2	Chelsea
22 Mar 2015	Hull City	2 - 3	Chelsea

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Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Hull City — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Newcastle	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Chelsea	D	2 - 2
08 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Aston Villa	D	0 - 0
29 Aug	A Coventry	W	0 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2