Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau Prognoza

Challenge League · Regular Season - 1

Post on X

FC Aarau

Away

Stade de la Fontenette, Carouge

Typowanie AI FC Aarau lub remis

31%

25%

43%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Étoile Carouge na 31%, FC Aarau na 43%, a remisu na 25%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 24 Jul 2026, 20:06.

Typy Premium

Premium

Gość strzela 75%
1st Half Home or Draw 73%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

30' ▮

HT 0–0

Yellow Card

46' ▮

52' ⚽ 1–0

Yellow Card

59' ▮

Yellow Card

60' ▮

⇄ 63'

67' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 72'

73' ⇄

Own Goal

78' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 85'

87' ⇄

90+1' ⇄

FT 3–0

Premium

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

FC Aarau lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

60%

Over 2.5 goals

56%

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Étoile Carouge

LLDLW

FC Aarau

LDWDW

Last 1 meetings Étoile Carouge · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Challenge League match, Étoile Carouge will face FC Aarau. Étoile Carouge has shown a strong attacking form, averaging 1.8 goals per match this season, while FC Aarau's defense has conceded an average of 1.5 goals per game. Both teams have been inconsistent, but Carouge's home attack could pose challenges for Aarau's defensive line. The outcome may hinge on how well Aarau's defense can handle Carouge's forward threats. Overall, expect a competitive match with potential for goals on both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Aarau goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	6	5	2	1
1	7	13	8	4	1
2	6	9	6	3	1
3	3	4	3	1	1
4	1	2	1	1
5		1

↑ Étoile Carouge goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

31%

Draw

25%

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

43%

Home Win

31%

Draw

25%

Double Chance

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

54% Home (No Draw) 46% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

39% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

20%

1.5

80%

44%

2.5

56%

67%

3.5

33%

83%

4.5

17%

93%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS Yes 40% BTTS No

Exact Goals

13%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	6.0%	5.3%	2.5%	0.9%
1	6.7%	13.0%	8.1%	3.8%	1.3%
2	6.3%	8.8%	6.2%	2.9%	1.0%
3	3.2%	4.5%	3.2%	1.5%	0.5%
4	1.2%	1.7%	1.2%	0.6%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

22%

29%

28%

14%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Étoile Carouge	Draw	FC Aarau
Étoile Carouge	23.7%	4.7%	2.2%
Draw	14.0%	16.5%	12.3%
FC Aarau	2.4%	4.6%	19.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

22%

33%

25%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

59%

1.5

41%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

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Head to Head: Étoile Carouge vs FC Aarau

0 Étoile Carouge Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Aarau Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
06 Mar 2026	Étoile Carouge	0 - 3	FC Aarau

Étoile Carouge — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A SC Kriens	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	H FC Winterthur	L	0 - 1
04 Sep	H FC WIL 1900	D	1 - 1
01 Sep	A Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	L	3 - 0
28 Aug	H Rapperswil	W	2 - 1

FC Aarau — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A FC Winterthur	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	H SC Kriens	D	2 - 2
04 Sep	H Rapperswil	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A FC WIL 1900	D	2 - 2
28 Aug	H Neuchatel Xamax FC	W	2 - 1

Challenge League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	6	3	0	17	3	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	5	3	1	19	8	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	4	4	1	14	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	4	2	3	16	11	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	3	3	3	14	16	-2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	4	0	5	12	17	-5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	3	1	5	15	16	-1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	2	3	4	8	12	-4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	2	3	4	15	21	-6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	0	2	7	6	23	-17	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.