HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos Prognoza

UEFA Europa League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Pafos

Away

Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis HNK Hajduk Split

57%

24%

19%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej HNK Hajduk Split na 57%, Pafos na 19%, a remisu na 24%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 23 Jul 2026, 20:54.

Typy Premium

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 76%
1st Half Over 0.5 74%
Home 2H Over 0.5 71%

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Match Report

HNK Hajduk Split secured a comfortable 2–0 victory over Pafos in the UEFA Europa League second qualifying round, with all the decisive action coming after the break. The first half was a tight, goalless affair, with only an early yellow card in the fourth minute to note before the teams headed in level at half-time.

Hajduk took control in the second half, breaking the deadlock in the 56th minute before doubling their advantage just eight minutes later. The two goals arrived in a frantic spell that also saw a yellow card shown in the 64th minute, and both sides made a flurry of substitutions as the hour mark approached, with Hajduk introducing Ivan Šunjić among their changes. Late bookings in the 87th and 88th minutes added some edge to the closing stages, but the result was never seriously in doubt.

The win moves Hajduk Split through to the next round of European qualifying. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Hajduk win as the most likely outcome at 57%, a call that proved correct on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Yellow Card

4' ▮

HT 0–0

▮ 55'

Yellow Card

56' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 63'

▮ 64'

Yellow Card

64' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 74'

Ivan Šunjić

77' ⇄

83' ⇄

Yellow Card

87' ▮

Yellow Card

88' ▮

90+2' ⇄

FT 2–0

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Trudna wygrana lub remis HNK Hajduk Split

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.9%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

55%

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HNK Hajduk Split

LWWWW

Pafos

LWDWW

Last 1 meetings HNK Hajduk Split · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa League match between HNK Hajduk Split and Pafos, both teams will look to secure vital points. Hajduk Split has a strong home record in European competitions, which could play a crucial role in their performance. Pafos, while competitive in their domestic league, may struggle against a more experienced side in European fixtures. Key players to watch include Hajduk's attacking threats and Pafos' defensive organization. This match will be pivotal for both teams as they aim to advance in the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Pafos goals →

	0	1	2
0	6	2	1
1	12	8	2
2	16	8	2
3	13	7	2
4	8	4	1
5	4	2	1

↑ HNK Hajduk Split goals · most likely 2–0 (15.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

24%

Away Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

69%

3.5

31%

86%

4.5

14%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

24%

Away Win

19%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

55% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

77% Home Scores More 17% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

21%

1.5

79%

45%

2.5

55%

69%

3.5

31%

86%

4.5

14%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

17%

10%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.4%	2.0%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
1	12.3%	7.9%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
2	15.9%	8.4%	2.2%	0.4%	0.1%
3	12.8%	6.8%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
4	7.7%	4.1%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

33%

25%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	HNK Hajduk Split	Draw	Pafos
HNK Hajduk Split	57.9%	2.5%	0.4%
Draw	19.6%	10.8%	2.7%
Pafos	1.6%	1.8%	2.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

81%

3.5

19%

Home Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

59%

31%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

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Away +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: HNK Hajduk Split vs Pafos

0 HNK Hajduk Split Wins

0 Draws

1 Pafos Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Pafos	2 - 0	HNK Hajduk Split

HNK Hajduk Split — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A HNK Rijeka	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H NK Slaven Belupo	W	1 - 0
08 Sep	A Vardarac	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Rudes	W	0 - 4
31 Aug	H NK Lokomotiva Zagreb	W	2 - 0

Pafos — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H AEL	L	0 - 2
13 Sep	A AEK Larnaca	W	0 - 1
07 Sep	H Olympiakos	D	0 - 0
03 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	A Karmiotissa	W	0 - 3

UEFA Europa League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Juventus	1	1	0	0	5	0	+5	3
2	Crystal Palace	1	1	0	0	4	0	+4	3
3	Sparta Praha	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
4	Beşiktaş	1	1	0	0	4	1	+3	3
5	Union St. Gilloise	1	1	0	0	3	0	+3	3
6	Ferencvarosi TC	1	1	0	0	3	1	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
8	Bayer Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
9	OFI	1	1	0	0	2	0	+2	3
10	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
11	Lyon	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
12	Torreense	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
13	Olympiakos Piraeus	1	1	0	0	2	1	+1	3
14	Red Bull Salzburg	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
15	Sunderland	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
16	Omonia Nicosia	1	1	0	0	1	0	+1	3
17	Sturm Graz	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
18	Rennes	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
19	Dinamo Zagreb	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
20	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	1
21	Jagiellonia	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
22	Real Sociedad	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
23	Anderlecht	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
24	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0
25	Celta Vigo	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
26	AZ Alkmaar	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
27	Levski Sofia	1	0	0	1	0	1	-1	0
28	Celtic	1	0	0	1	1	3	-2	0
29	1899 Hoffenheim	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
30	AC Milan	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
31	Celje	1	0	0	1	0	2	-2	0
32	Marseille	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
33	Ararat-Armenia	1	0	0	1	1	4	-3	0
34	Plzen	1	0	0	1	0	3	-3	0
35	Lech Poznan	1	0	0	1	0	4	-4	0
36	NEC Nijmegen	1	0	0	1	0	5	-5	0

Pafos

Formation: 3-4-3 Coach: Albert Celades

99 Majecki

13 Mmaee

4 Luiz

5 Goldar

14 Ioannou

26 Šunjić

88 Pêpê

11 Jajá

20 Biel

18 Lelê

30 Dragomir

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
99	Radosław Majecki	G
5	David Goldar	D
4	David Luiz	D
13	Samy Mmaee	D
11	Jajá	M
88	Pêpê	M
26	Ivan Šunjić	M
14	Nikolas Ioannou	D
30	Vlad Dragomir	M
18	Lelê	F
20	Biel	F

Substitutes

7	Bruno	D
50	Alexandre Brito	M
71	Michalis Papastylianou	G
82	Petros Petrou	G
61	Melinos Kais	D
72	Kosmas Ioannou	D
6	Gonçalo Rodrigues	M
8	Domingos Quina	M
12	Ken Sema	M
42	Georgios Michael	M
80	Christos Efzona	M
47	Murad Mammadov	F

HNK Hajduk Split

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Gonzalo Garcia

33 Silić

32 Hrgović

5 Hoorenbeeck

15 Marešić

22 Acapandié

4 Pajaziti

21 Pukštas

17 Melnjak

9 Almeida

28 Brajković

11 Šego

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Toni Silić	G
22	Mathieu Acapandié	D
15	Dario Marešić	D
5	Alec Van Hoorenbeeck	D
32	Šimun Hrgović	D
21	Rokas Pukštas	M
4	Adrion Pajaziti	M
28	Roko Brajković	M
9	Dalisson de Almeida	M
17	Dario Melnjak	D
11	Michele Šego	F

Substitutes

1	Ivica Ivušić	G
44	Dante Stipica	G
14	Ron Raçi	D
36	Marino Skelin	D
38	Luka Hodak	D
7	Abdoulie Sanyang Bamba	M
16	Anđelo Šutalo	M
19	Etnik Brruti	M
20	Alberto del Moral	M
26	Adam Huram	M
37	Noa Skoko	M
10	Marko Livaja	F