Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme Prognoza

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Kalju Nomme

Away

Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis Shelbourne

59%

26%

14%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Shelbourne na 59%, Kalju Nomme na 14%, a remisu na 26%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 23 Jul 2026, 20:39.

Typy Premium

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Gospodarz strzeli gola 76%
Ponad 1,5 gola 75%
1st Half Home or Draw 74%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Match Report

Shelbourne produced a commanding home performance to defeat Kalju Nomme 5–2 in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round, booking their place in the next stage with considerable authority. The Dublin side were sharp from the off, with Rodrigo Freitas opening the scoring inside three minutes before Sean Moore and Ali Coote added further goals to put Shelbourne firmly in control by the half-hour mark. Kalju pulled one back to make it 3–1 at the break, but the tie was never seriously in doubt.

Sean Moore grabbed his second of the night shortly after the interval, extending the lead to 4–1 and effectively ending the contest as a competitive affair. Kalju managed a second goal in the closing stages, but Shelbourne responded with a fifth to round off a convincing victory. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Shelbourne win as the most likely outcome at 59%, a call that proved correct.

The result is a significant moment for the League of Ireland club, who demonstrated real quality across the pitch and will now look ahead to the next qualifying round with confidence.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Rodrigo Freitas assist: Sean Moore

3' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 7'

Yellow Card

Sean Moore assist: Evan Caffrey

21' ⚽ 2–0

Ali Coote assist: Rodrigo Freitas

25' ⚽ 3–0

⇄ 30'

⚽ 3–1 40'

HT 3–1

Sean Moore assist: Daniel Kelly

47' ⚽ 4–1

⇄ 58'

⇄ 59'

Ali Coote

66' ⇄

Sean Moore ⇄ Will Jarvis

75' ⇄

⇄ 78'

Rodrigo Freitas

81' ⇄

⇄ Jonathan Lunney

81' ⇄

Kameron Ledwidge ⇄ Sam Bone

81' ⇄

89' ⚽ 5–1

⚽ 5–2 90+1'

FT 5–2

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Confidence Medium (59%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Trudna wygrana lub remis Shelbourne

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.1%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

48%

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Shelbourne

WLLDD

Kalju Nomme

WWLLL

Last 1 meetings Shelbourne · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Shelbourne will face Kalju Nomme. Shelbourne has shown a solid performance in recent domestic matches, boasting a strong defensive record with an average of 0.8 goals conceded per game this season. Conversely, Kalju Nomme has struggled with consistency, particularly in away fixtures, often conceding over 1.5 goals per match. Both teams will aim to control possession, but Shelbourne's home form and defensive solidity could provide them with the edge needed to secure a crucial victory in this knockout round. Expect a tactical battle with potential for few clear chances.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Kalju Nomme goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9	7	5	2	1
1	9	14	7	3	1
2	8	9	5	2	1
3	4	4	3	1
4	1	2	1
5

↑ Shelbourne goals · most likely 1–1 (14.1%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

14%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

59%

Draw

26%

Away Win

14%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

58% Home (No Draw) 42% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

20% Home Win by 2+ 13% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 30% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

52%

2.5

48%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	7.1%	5.1%	2.0%	0.6%
1	9.0%	14.1%	7.4%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	8.9%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.6%	4.3%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.3%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Shelbourne	Draw	Kalju Nomme
Shelbourne	25.3%	4.1%	1.3%
Draw	14.6%	18.3%	9.9%
Kalju Nomme	2.3%	5.0%	19.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

57%

0.5

43%

89%

1.5

11%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Shelbourne vs Kalju Nomme

0 Shelbourne Wins

0 Draws

1 Kalju Nomme Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Kalju Nomme	2 - 1	Shelbourne

Shelbourne — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Dundalk	W	2 - 3
14 Sep	H Drogheda United	L	1 - 2
11 Sep	H Derry City	L	0 - 1
04 Sep	A Shamrock Rovers	D	0 - 0
28 Aug	A Galway United	D	1 - 1

Kalju Nomme — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Tammeka	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Trans Narva	W	2 - 0
08 Sep	H Nõmme United	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A Flora Tallinn	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H FC Levadia Tallinn	L	2 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Kalju Nomme

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Nikita Andreev

1 Perk

22 Nikolajev

46 Vukušić

50 Podholjuzin

78 Mashchenko

59 Vastsuk

8 Musolitin

20 Tambedou

26 Siht

17 Esono

10 Ivanov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Henri Perk	G
78	Danyl Mashchenko	D
50	Maksim Podholjuzin	D
46	Roko Vukušić	D
22	Aleksandr Nikolajev	D
26	Rommi Siht	M
20	Modou Tambedou	D
8	Alexander Musolitin	M
59	Bogdan Vastsuk	M
10	Nikita Ivanov	M
17	Enrique Esono	M

Substitutes

21	Tiago Baptista	M
4	Alex Boronilštšikov	D
11	Mihhail Orlov	F
88	Daniil Sotsugov	D
69	Maksim Pavlov	G
5	Uku Korre	D
7	Daniil Tarassenkov	D
9	Godwin Chinemeren	F
30	Ibrahim Jabir	F
52	Idalécio	F

Shelbourne

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Joey O'Brien

19 Beach

18 Norris

4 Ledwidge

29 Barrett

25 Mbeng

14 Coote

21 Henry-Francis

27 Caffrey

22 Moore

17 Kelly

20 Freitas

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
19	Eddie Beach	G
25	Milan Mbeng	D
29	Paddy Barrett	D
4	Kameron Ledwidge	D
18	James Norris	D
22	Sean Moore	F
27	Evan Caffrey	M
21	Jack Henry-Francis	M
14	Ali Coote	M
20	Rodrigo Freitas	F
17	Daniel Kelly	M

Substitutes

23	Kerr McInroy	M
36	Will Jarvis	F
15	Sam Bone	D
6	Jonathan Lunney	M
44	Daniel Ring	F
13	Murray Johnson	G
2	Sean Gannon	D
55	James Roche	D
60	Killian Ryan	M
56	Joey Ikala Wuna	F