Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets Prognoza

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Ludogorets

Away

Typowanie AI Ludogorets lub remis

28%

29%

43%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Hapoel Tel Aviv na 28%, Ludogorets na 43%, a remisu na 29%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 23 Jul 2026, 20:28.

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1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Hapoel Tel Aviv secured a controlled 2–0 victory over Ludogorets in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round, booking their place in the next stage with a composed home performance.

The Israeli side took the lead just before half-time, scoring on 45 minutes to head into the break with a deserved advantage. Ludogorets struggled to impose themselves, and a yellow card in the 37th minute added early pressure to their evening. The second half saw both coaches turn to their benches, with a flurry of substitutions from the 63rd minute onwards as the Bulgarian champions searched for a way back into the tie.

Discipline remained an issue throughout, with further yellow cards shown in the 67th, 70th, and 83rd minutes, disrupting Ludogorets' rhythm. Hapoel put the result beyond doubt with a second goal on 88 minutes, sealing a clean sheet and a convincing win. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Ludogorets victory as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that proved well wide of the mark as the hosts dominated from start to finish.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 37'

Yellow Card

45' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 63'

65' ⇄

▮ 67'

Yellow Card

70' ▮

⇄ 76'

76' ⇄

▮ 83'

Yellow Card

⇄ 83'

88' ⚽ 2–0

88' ⇄

FT 2–0

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Ludogorets lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 13%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

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Hapoel Tel Aviv

WLWWD

Ludogorets

WWDDW

Last 1 meetings Hapoel Tel Aviv · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League matchup, Hapoel Tel Aviv faces Ludogorets. Hapoel Tel Aviv will look to capitalize on their organized defense, averaging 1.2 goals conceded per match in recent league play. Conversely, Ludogorets boasts a potent attack, scoring an average of 2.1 goals per match. The key battle will be in midfield, where possession will be crucial for both teams to establish control. With both sides showing contrasting styles, this match promises to be a tactical contest.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Ludogorets goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	7	8	8	4	2	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Hapoel Tel Aviv goals · most likely 1–1 (13.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

29%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

65% Away (No Draw) 36% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

25% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 27% Equal Goals 26% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

21%

1.5

79%

46%

2.5

54%

69%

3.5

31%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.3%	8.1%	4.5%	1.9%
1	5.5%	13.0%	9.6%	5.3%	2.2%
2	4.1%	6.8%	5.7%	3.1%	1.3%
3	1.6%	2.7%	2.2%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.5%	0.8%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Hapoel Tel Aviv	Draw	Ludogorets
Hapoel Tel Aviv	14.8%	4.3%	2.3%
Draw	9.9%	16.5%	15.5%
Ludogorets	1.8%	4.6%	30.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Ludogorets

0 Hapoel Tel Aviv Wins

1 Draws

0 Ludogorets Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Ludogorets	2 - 2	Hapoel Tel Aviv

Hapoel Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Hapoel Petah Tikva	W	3 - 0
14 Sep	A Maccabi Tel Aviv	L	4 - 1
07 Sep	H Hapoel Ramat Gan	W	4 - 0
03 Sep	H Beitar Jerusalem	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Hapoel Haifa	D	0 - 0

Ludogorets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
14 Sep	H Septemvri Sofia	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Lokomotiv Sofia	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Spartak Varna	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Slavia Sofia	D	1 - 1
15 Aug	H Botev Plovdiv	W	2 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Ludogorets

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Mikael Stahre

39 Bonmann

27 Nogueira

3 Nedyalkov

15 Kurtulus

17 Son

26 Kaloč

29 Bile

20 Camara

14 Stanić

7 Salido

12 Cruz

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
39	Hendrik Bonmann	G
17	Son	D
15	Edvin Kurtulus	D
3	Anton Nedyalkov	D
27	Vinicius Nogueira	D
26	Filip Kaloč	M
7	Alberto Salido	F
14	Petar Stanić	M
20	Aguibou Camara	M
29	Yves Erick Bile	F
12	Rwan Cruz	F

Substitutes

1	Sergio Padt	G
67	Aleksandar Panayotov	G
2	Joel Andersson	D
24	Olivier Verdon	D
42	Simeon Shishkov	D
55	Idan Nachmias	D
18	Ivajlo Chochev	M
25	Emerson Rodríguez	M
37	Bernard Tekpetey	M
40	Aleksandar Marinov	M
99	Stanislav Ivanov	M
9	Kwadwo Duah	F

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Elyaniv Barda

22 Tzur

16 Leidner

4 Chico

5 Mayembo

97 Coco

6 Kraev

98 Falcão

10 Silva

51 Altman

11 Torial

9 Boateng

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Assaf Tzur	G
97	Marcus Coco	D
5	Fernand Mayembo	D
4	Chico	D
16	Doron Leidner	D
98	Falcão	M
6	Andrian Kraev	M
11	Stav Torial	M
51	Omri Altman	F
10	Xande Silva	F
9	Emmanuel Boateng	F

Substitutes

13	Shon Ben Nesher	G
33	Yanal Bazdog	G
18	Tal Archel	D
20	Or Israelov	D
21	Shahar Piven	D
8	Yonatan Ferber	M
14	El Yam Kancepolsky	M
15	Roee Alkokin	M
17	Itay Shavit	M
23	Amit Lemkin	M
27	Mor Buskila	F
44	Daniel Dappa	F