FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb Prognoza

UEFA Champions League UEFA Champions League · 2nd Qualifying Round
FT
Post on X
Typowanie AI Trudna wygrana lub remis FC Thun
57%
23%
20%
Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej FC Thun na 57%, Dinamo Zagreb na 20%, a remisu na 23%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 22 Jul 2026, 00:04.

Match Report

FC Thun and Dinamo Zagreb played out a 1–1 draw in the first leg of their UEFA Champions League second qualifying round tie, with the Swiss side dominating large spells of the contest. Thun made the perfect start, taking the lead through a goal on 20 minutes and carrying that advantage into half-time, backed by 57% possession and a commanding 20 total shots across the 90 minutes.

Zagreb grew into the match in the second half, with both sides making a flurry of substitutions around the hour mark as the tempo increased. The visitors drew level on 86 minutes to deny Thun what would have been a valuable sole lead heading into the second leg. Five yellow cards were distributed across the evening, reflecting the competitive edge to the tie.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Thun win as the most likely outcome at 57%, a call that aligned with the home side's overall performance, even if Zagreb's late equaliser ultimately split the spoils. The tie remains finely poised ahead of the return fixture in Croatia.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 2'
Yellow Card
20' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
56' ⇄
56' ⇄
▮ 63'
Yellow Card
⇄ 66'
Yellow Card
67' ▮
Yellow Card
70' ▮
79' ⇄
79' ⇄
⇄ 80'
⇄ 80'
⚽ 1–1 86'
90' ⇄
Yellow Card
90+1' ▮
FT 1–1
FC Thun

Match Stats

Dinamo Zagreb
43% Ball Possession 57%
Expected Goals (xG)
16 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Goal 6
6 Shots off Goal 9
7 Blocked Shots 5
11 Shots insidebox 12
5 Shots outsidebox 8
9 Corner Kicks 5
3 Offsides 3
19 Fouls 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
3 Goalkeeper Saves 2
305 Total passes 411
222 Passes accurate 331
73% Passes % 81%
goals_prevented
FC Thun
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
47 Fabio Fehr D 9.2 90' – 1 1 16 (7%) 5
27 Michael Heule D 7.9 89' – – 1 27 (19%) 2
96 Brighton Labeau F 7.7 79' 1 – 1 27 (15%) 2
30 Nico Maier M 7.3 56' – – 1 17 (12%) 5
16 Justin Roth M 7.0 90' – – – 31 (25%) 3
13 Nassim Zoukit M 7.0 34' – – – 7 (5%) 2
78 Valmir Matoshi M 6.9 90' – – 2 40 (32%) 3
18 Christopher Ibayi F 6.7 11' – – – 5 (3%) –
1 Niklas Steffen G 6.6 90' – – – 29 (26%) –
19 Jan Bamert D 6.3 90' – – 1 27 (20%) 2
33 Marc Gutbub F 6.3 34' – – – 3 (1%) –
23 Marco Bürki D 6.2 90' – – – 57 (45%) –
70 Nils Reichmuth M 6.2 79' – – 1 14 (8%) –
5 Nicolas Bürgy D 6.2 11' – – – 1 (1%) –
9 Furkan Dursun F 5.9 56' – – 1 4 (3%) –
37 Lucien Dähler D — 1' – – – – –
Dinamo Zagreb
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
36 Sergi Domínguez D 8.0 90' – – – 36 (32%) 6
27 Josip Mišić M 7.7 90' – – 2 64 (52%) 3
26 Scott McKenna D 7.5 90' – – 3 46 (41%) 1
44 Ivan Filipović G 7.3 90' – – – 20 (13%) –
3 Bruno Goda D 7.3 90' – – – 48 (38%) 1
8 Miha Zajc M 7.3 90' 1 – 3 36 (33%) –
80 Lukas Kačavenda M 6.7 10' – – – 3 (3%) –
25 Moris Valinčić D 6.6 90' – – 1 58 (43%) 1
10 Gabriel Vidović M 6.6 80' – – 1 23 (21%) 5
99 Mislav Oršić M 6.6 80' – – 2 30 (21%) 2
30 Fran Topić F 6.6 10' – 1 1 5 (4%) –
9 Dion Drena Beljo F 6.5 90' – – 1 18 (12%) –
11 Arber Hoxha F 6.2 25' – – – 4 (4%) –
21 Mateo Lisica M 6.0 65' – – 1 20 (14%) 1
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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza
Trudna wygrana lub remis FC Thun
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FC Thun
WLLLD
Dinamo Zagreb
WDLWW
Last 1 meetings FC Thun · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Champions League match, FC Thun faces Dinamo Zagreb. FC Thun has shown resilience in their domestic league, but they will need to elevate their performance against a seasoned Dinamo Zagreb squad, which has a history of success in European competitions. Statistically, Zagreb boasts a strong away record, with a solid defensive unit that has conceded fewer than 1 goal per game in their last five UEFA matches. Thun will need to capitalize on any opportunities, as they may struggle to break down a well-organized Croatian defense. This matchup will be pivotal for both teams as they seek to establish momentum in the group stage.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

FC Thun
B. Labeau 2 gls
Dinamo Zagreb
D. Beljo 2 gls

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Head to Head: FC Thun vs Dinamo Zagreb

0 FC Thun Wins
0 Draws
1 Dinamo Zagreb Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Jul 2026 Dinamo Zagreb 3 - 2 FC Thun

FC Thun — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A FC Vaduz W 1 - 2
16 Sep H Servette FC L 2 - 4
12 Sep H Grasshoppers L 0 - 1
06 Sep A FC Sion L 3 - 2
02 Sep H Lausanne D 0 - 0

Dinamo Zagreb — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H NK Lokomotiva Zagreb W 3 - 2
16 Sep A Hapoel Beer Sheva D 0 - 0
12 Sep A NK Osijek L 4 - 2
09 Sep A Bedem Ivankovo W 0 - 4
05 Sep H HNK Gorica W 1 - 0

UEFA Champions League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
1 1 0 0 +5 3
2
Bayern München
1 1 0 0 +5 3
3
Barcelona
1 1 0 0 +4 3
4
Manchester United
1 1 0 0 +4 3
5
Como
1 1 0 0 +3 3
6
VfB Stuttgart
1 1 0 0 +2 3
7
Sporting CP
1 1 0 0 +2 3
8
Manchester City
1 1 0 0 +2 3
9
Aston Villa
1 1 0 0 +1 3
10
Lens
1 1 0 0 +1 3
11
Real Betis
1 1 0 0 +1 3
12
Borussia Dortmund
1 1 0 0 +1 3
13
Liverpool
1 1 0 0 +1 3
14
Real Madrid
1 1 0 0 +1 3
15
Arsenal
1 1 0 0 +1 3
16
AEK Athens FC
1 1 0 0 +1 3
17
AS Roma
1 0 1 0 0 1
18
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 0 1 0 0 1
19
PSV Eindhoven
1 0 1 0 0 1
20
Fenerbahçe
1 0 1 0 0 1
21
Villarreal
1 0 0 1 -1 0
22
Lille
1 0 0 1 -1 0
23
Slavia Praha
1 0 0 1 -1 0
24
Club Brugge KV
1 0 0 1 -1 0
25
Inter
1 0 0 1 -1 0
26
Atletico Madrid
1 0 0 1 -1 0
27
Napoli
1 0 0 1 -1 0
28
Lask Linz
1 0 0 1 -1 0
29
Viking
1 0 0 1 -2 0
30
Galatasaray
1 0 0 1 -2 0
31
FC Porto
1 0 0 1 -2 0
32
RB Leipzig
1 0 0 1 -3 0
33
Feyenoord
1 0 0 1 -4 0
34
Sabah FA
1 0 0 1 -4 0
35
Slovan Bratislava
1 0 0 1 -5 0
36
Bodo/Glimt
1 0 0 1 -5 0

Dinamo Zagreb

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Mario Kovacevic
44 Filipović
3 Goda
26 McKenna
36 Domínguez
25 Valinčić
8 Zajc
27 Mišić
99 Oršić
10 Vidović
21 Lisica
9 Beljo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
44 Ivan Filipović G
25 Moris Valinčić D
36 Sergi Domínguez D
26 Scott McKenna D
3 Bruno Goda D
27 Josip Mišić M
8 Miha Zajc M
21 Mateo Lisica M
10 Gabriel Vidović M
99 Mislav Oršić M
9 Dion Drena Beljo F

Substitutes

11 Arber Hoxha F
80 Lukas Kačavenda M
30 Fran Topić F
1 Danijel Zagorac G
33 Ivan Nevistić G
6 Stjepan Radeljić D
13 Paul Bismarck Tabinas D
15 Niko Galešić D
22 Matteo Pérez Vinlöf D
41 Sven Šunta M
71 Monsef Bakrar F

FC Thun

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Luca Privitelli Gian
1 Steffen
27 Heule
23 Bürki
19 Bamert
47 Fehr
30 Maier
78 Matoshi
16 Roth
70 Reichmuth
96 Labeau
9 Dursun

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 Niklas Steffen G
47 Fabio Fehr D
19 Jan Bamert D
23 Marco Bürki D
27 Michael Heule D
70 Nils Reichmuth M
16 Justin Roth M
78 Valmir Matoshi M
30 Nico Maier M
9 Furkan Dursun F
96 Brighton Labeau F

Substitutes

13 Nassim Zoukit M
33 Marc Gutbub F
5 Nicolas Bürgy D
18 Christopher Ibayi F
37 Lucien Dähler D
25 Tim Spycher G
54 Louis Passavant D
17 Ashvin Balaruban D
21 Dorian Derbaci M
52 Adam Ilic M
11 Layton Stewart F
80 Simon Lengen F

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