AC Oulu vs Gnistan Prognoza

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 16

Post on X

Gnistan

Away

Raatin stadion, Oulu

Typowanie AI AC Oulu lub remis

45%

30%

25%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza AC Oulu vs Gnistan: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej AC Oulu na 45%, Gnistan na 25%, a remisu na 30%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Typy Premium

Premium

Gospodarz strzeli gola 76%
2nd Half Over 0.5 72%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

27' ▮

⚽ 0–1 31'

HT 0–1

Yellow Card

53' ▮

Red Card

53' ▮

⇄ L. Ghezali

61' ⇄

J. Paananen Yellow Card

66' ▮

⚽ 0–2 71'

⇄ 71'

74' ⇄

⇄ 81'

▮ 83'

Yellow Card

⇄ N. Jokelainen

84' ⇄

J. Paananen ⇄ M. Ojala

84' ⇄

▮ 90+1'

Yellow Card

FT 0–2

Premium

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

AC Oulu lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

43%

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AC Oulu

LLLDW

Gnistan

DWDDW

Last 1 meetings AC Oulu · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga clash, AC Oulu faces Gnistan. AC Oulu has shown inconsistent form, with a recent record of 2 wins, 2 losses, and 1 draw in their last five matches. Conversely, Gnistan has been more stable, securing 3 wins and 2 losses during the same period. Key players to watch include Oulu’s top scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, and Gnistan's solid defense, which has conceded only 12 goals. The match could hinge on Oulu's ability to break down Gnistan’s organized defense while capitalizing on set pieces.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

45%

10%

Draw

30%

45%

Away

25%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Gnistan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	7	4	1
1	11	14	6	2	1
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	2	2	1
5

↑ AC Oulu goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

AC Oulu

J. Körkkö 2 gls

E. Kallio 2 gls

Gnistan

A. Akinyemi 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

30%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Draw or Away

Premium

Winner

65% Home (No Draw) 35% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Home Win by 2+ 9% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

45% Home Scores More 30% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

29%

1.5

71%

57%

2.5

43%

78%

3.5

22%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.7%	7.3%	4.4%	1.5%	0.4%
1	11.2%	14.3%	6.3%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.1%	9.0%	4.5%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.3%	4.3%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.5%	1.5%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	AC Oulu	Draw	Gnistan
AC Oulu	27.4%	4.2%	1.3%
Draw	16.9%	19.6%	10.1%
Gnistan	2.1%	4.3%	14.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

59%

1.5

41%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

24%

34%

24%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

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Head to Head: AC Oulu vs Gnistan

0 AC Oulu Wins

0 Draws

1 Gnistan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Sep 2026	AC Oulu	1 - 2	Gnistan

AC Oulu — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Inter Turku	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	H Gnistan	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A VPS	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H SJK	D	0 - 0
22 Aug	A FF Jaro	W	0 - 1

Gnistan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A AC Oulu	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H KuPS	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	H Turku PS	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A HJK Helsinki	W	2 - 3

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

AC Oulu

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Mikko Isokangas

13 Santos

22 Kaukua

66 Pirinen

3 Lietsa

29 Silander

6 Paananen

7 Karjalainen

21 Mendolin

27 Kallio

32 Koné

20 Jatta

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
13	Miguel Santos	G
29	Santeri Silander	D
3	Alex Lietsa	D
66	Juha Pirinen	D
22	Tuomas Kaukua	D
21	Iiro Mendolin	M
7	Rasmus Karjalainen	M
6	Julius Paananen	M
20	Kalifa Jatta	F
32	Abdoulaye Koné	F
27	Elias Kallio	F

Substitutes

11	Lamine Ghezali	M
19	Joel Omotayo	M
8	Matias Ojala	M
14	Niklas Jokelainen	M
12	Johannes Pentti	G
2	Sami Sipola	D
16	Otto Kemppainen	D
46	Macar Ajoung	D
18	Adramane Cassama	M

Gnistan

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Jussi Leppalahti

1 Craninx

67 Obileye

24 Gnanou

4 Costa

27 Hannula

12 Arko-Mensah

15 Europaeus

31 Jouhi

23 Ylätupa

10 Latonen

17 Akinyemi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Alexandro Craninx	G
27	Otto Hannula	D
4	Marcelo Costa	D
24	Rachide Gnanou	D
67	Ayo Obileye	D
23	Saku Ylätupa	M
31	Adam Jouhi	M
15	Gabriel Europaeus	M
12	Edmund Arko-Mensah	M
17	Adeleke Akinyemi	F
10	Joakim Latonen	F

Substitutes

7	Artur Atarah	M
14	Sergei Eremenko	M
11	Danny Pérez	F
13	Oskar Lyberopoulos	G
40	Juhani Ojala	D
2	Benjamin Dahlström	D