Australia vs Türkiye Prognoza

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

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Türkiye

Away

BC Place, Vancouver, British Columbia

Typowanie AI Türkiye lub remis

27%

30%

43%

Wygrana gospodarzy Remis Wygrana gości

Prognoza Australia vs Türkiye: Sportiko szacuje szansę wygranej Australia na 27%, Türkiye na 43%, a remisu na 30%. Ostatnia aktualizacja: 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

Typy Premium

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Poniżej 3.5 gola 75%
2nd Half Over 0.5 74%

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Match Report

Australia secured a comfortable 2-0 victory over Türkiye in their World Cup group stage opener, dominating possession and creating significantly more chances throughout the match. Nestory Irankunda opened the scoring in the 27th minute to give the Socceroos a deserved lead at half-time, with Australia controlling 72% of possession and registering 30 shots compared to Türkiye's nine.

The second half saw both teams make multiple substitutions as they looked to change the dynamic. Irankunda was withdrawn in the 61st minute after his goal-scoring contribution, while Türkiye brought on fresh legs including Barış Alper Yılmaz and Orkun Kökçü. However, it was Australia who extended their advantage when Connor Metcalfe found the net in the 75th minute to seal the victory.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Türkiye win as most likely at 43%, but Australia's superior attacking output proved decisive. The Socceroos registered eight shots on target from their 30 attempts and edged the expected goals battle 1.30 to 0.81, reflecting their control of the contest from start to finish.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Nestory Irankunda assist: Paul Okon-Engstler

27' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Barış Alper Yılmaz ⇄ Kenan Yıldız

Nestory Irankunda ⇄ Nishan Velupillay

61' ⇄

⇄ 62'

Orkun Kökçü ⇄ Yunus Akgün

Mohamed Touré ⇄ Tete Yengi

74' ⇄

Jacob Italiano ⇄ Jason Geria

74' ⇄

Connor Metcalfe

75' ⚽ 2–0

⇄ 81'

İsmail Yüksek ⇄ Salih Özcan

⇄ 81'

Zeki Çelik ⇄ Mert Müldür

Jordan Bos ⇄ Aziz Behich

84' ⇄

Paul Okon-Engstler ⇄ Jackson Irvine

84' ⇄

⇄ 85'

Kerem Aktürkoğlu ⇄ Deniz Gül

▮ 86'

Yunus Akgün Yellow Card

FT 2–0

Australia

Match Stats

Türkiye

28% Ball Possession 72%

0.81 Expected Goals (xG) 1.30

9 Total Shots 30

4 Shots on Goal 8

4 Shots off Goal 10

1 Blocked Shots 12

6 Shots insidebox 14

3 Shots outsidebox 16

5 Corner Kicks 6

1 Offsides 2

12 Fouls 4

0 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

8 Goalkeeper Saves 2

266 Total passes 697

198 Passes accurate 628

74% Passes % 90%

-0.95 goals_prevented -0.95

Australia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
18 Patrick Beach G	8.7	95'	–	–	–	34 (14%)	–
8 Connor Metcalfe M	7.9	95'	1	–	1	14 (8%)	1
17 Nestory Irankunda M	7.5	61'	1	–	2	7 (5%)	–
3 Alessandro Circati D	7.3	95'	–	–	1	26 (21%)	2
24 Paul Okon-Engstler M	7.3	84'	–	1	–	32 (26%)	3
19 Harry Souttar D	7.2	95'	–	–	1	23 (14%)	2
21 Cameron Burgess D	7.0	95'	–	–	–	41 (38%)	2
13 Aiden O'Neill M	7.0	95'	–	–	–	32 (27%)	–
4 Jacob Italiano D	6.9	74'	–	–	1	16 (12%)	3
26 Tete Yengi F	6.7	21'	–	–	–	3 (1%)	2
5 Jordan Bos D	6.6	84'	–	–	1	26 (23%)	–
6 Jason Geria D	6.6	21'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
9 Mohamed Touré F	6.5	74'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
16 Aziz Behich D	6.5	11'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
23 Nishan Velupillay F	6.3	34'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
22 Jackson Irvine M	6.2	11'	–	–	–	1	–

Türkiye

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 İsmail Yüksek M	7.5	81'	–	–	1	56 (53%)	3
11 Kenan Yıldız F	7.3	50'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	1
10 Hakan Çalhanoğlu M	7.2	95'	–	–	3	104 (93%)	–
20 Ferdi Kadıoğlu D	6.7	95'	–	–	1	102 (92%)	–
8 Arda Güler M	6.7	95'	–	–	7	72 (67%)	1
3 Merih Demiral D	6.6	95'	–	–	1	62 (57%)	1
5 Salih Özcan M	6.6	14'	–	–	–	16 (16%)	–
6 Orkun Kökçü M	6.5	62'	–	–	1	36 (29%)	1
23 Uğurcan Çakır G	6.3	95'	–	–	–	21 (20%)	–
2 Zeki Çelik D	6.3	81'	–	–	1	33 (30%)	1
14 Abdülkerim Bardakcı D	6.3	95'	–	–	1	96 (90%)	2
18 Mert Müldür D	6.3	14'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
19 Yunus Akgün F	6.3	33'	–	–	–	20 (18%)	–
9 Deniz Gül F	6.3	10'	–	–	–	1	–
21 Barış Alper Yılmaz M	6.2	45'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	1
7 Kerem Aktürkoğlu F	5.7	85'	–	–	2	11 (6%)	1

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Nasza analiza

Türkiye lub remis

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.2%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

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Australia

DDLWL

Türkiye

WLLLW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 14, 2026, Australia will host Türkiye. Australia has shown strong defensive capabilities, allowing only 0.8 goals per game in the qualifiers, while their attack averages 1.5 goals per match. Conversely, Türkiye has been more aggressive, scoring an average of 2.2 goals per game, but their defense has been less stable, conceding 1.6 goals on average. The match will likely hinge on Australia’s ability to contain Türkiye's offensive threats while capitalizing on set-piece opportunities, where they have traditionally excelled. Expect a tightly contested encounter, with a focus on tactical discipline from both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Türkiye goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	10	8	4	1
1	7	14	9	4	2
2	5	7	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Australia goals · most likely 1–1 (14.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

30%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

26%

1.5

74%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

43%

Draw

30%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

61% Away (No Draw) 39% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Away Scores More 30% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

26%

1.5

74%

54%

2.5

46%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	9.8%	8.2%	3.9%	1.4%
1	7.1%	14.2%	9.0%	4.3%	1.6%
2	4.8%	6.9%	5.0%	2.4%	0.9%
3	1.8%	2.5%	1.8%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Australia	Draw	Türkiye
Australia	15.6%	4.3%	2.1%
Draw	11.0%	18.8%	15.9%
Türkiye	1.6%	4.4%	26.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

58%

1.5

42%

83%

2.5

17%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

24%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

52%

0.5

48%

86%

1.5

14%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

Premium

Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Australia vs Türkiye

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Australia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Jul	H Egypt	D	1 - 1
26 Jun	A Paraguay	D	0 - 0
19 Jun	A USA	L	2 - 0
14 Jun	H Türkiye	W	2 - 0
31 May	A Mexico	L	1 - 0

Türkiye — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
26 Jun	H USA	W	3 - 2
20 Jun	H Paraguay	L	0 - 1
14 Jun	A Australia	L	2 - 0
06 Jul	A Netherlands	L	2 - 1
02 Jul	A Austria	W	1 - 2

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Türkiye

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: V. Montella

23 Çakır

20 Kadıoğlu

14 Bardakcı

3 Demiral

2 Çelik

10 Çalhanoğlu

16 Yüksek

21 Yılmaz

6 Kökçü

8 Güler

7 Aktürkoğlu

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Uğurcan Çakır	G
2	Zeki Çelik	D
3	Merih Demiral	D
14	Abdülkerim Bardakcı	D
20	Ferdi Kadıoğlu	D
16	İsmail Yüksek	M
10	Hakan Çalhanoğlu	M
8	Arda Güler	M
6	Orkun Kökçü	M
21	Barış Alper Yılmaz	M
7	Kerem Aktürkoğlu	F

Substitutes

11	Kenan Yıldız	F
19	Yunus Akgün	F
1	Mert Günok	G
12	Altay Bayındır	G
4	Çağlar Söyüncü	D
13	Eren Elmalı	D
15	Ozan Kabak	D
18	Mert Müldür	D
25	Samet Akaydın	D
22	Kaan Ayhan	D
5	Salih Özcan	M
17	İrfan Can Kahveci	M
24	Oğuz Aydın	F
26	Can Uzun	M
9	Deniz Gül	F

Australia

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: Tony Popovic

18 Beach

5 Bos

21 Burgess

19 Souttar

3 Circati

4 Italiano

17 Irankunda

24 Okon-Engstler

13 O'Neill

8 Metcalfe

9 Touré

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
18	Patrick Beach	G
4	Jacob Italiano	D
3	Alessandro Circati	D
19	Harry Souttar	D
21	Cameron Burgess	D
5	Jordan Bos	D
8	Connor Metcalfe	M
13	Aiden O'Neill	M
24	Paul Okon-Engstler	M
17	Nestory Irankunda	M
9	Mohamed Touré	F

Substitutes

23	Nishan Velupillay	F
1	Mathew Ryan	G
12	Paul Izzo	G
2	Miloš Degenek	D
6	Jason Geria	D
16	Aziz Behich	D
25	Lucas Herrington	D
15	Kai Trewin	D
14	Cameron Devlin	M
22	Jackson Irvine	M
7	Mathew Leckie	F
10	Ajdin Hrustić	M
11	Awer Mabil	M
20	Cristian Volpato	M
26	Tete Yengi	F