Marseille vs Metz Предвидување

Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 29

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Metz

Away

AI предвидување Marseille да победи или реми

76%

19%

Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Marseille против Metz: Sportiko проценува дека Marseille има 76% шанса за победа, Metz 5%, а реми 19%. Последно ажурирано 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Marseille secured a comfortable 3–1 home victory over Metz in Ligue 1 matchday 29, with Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang opening the scoring early on in the 13th minute to give the hosts a deserved half-time lead. The expected goals figures — 3.55 to 0.48 at full time — underlined Marseille's dominance throughout, with the home side registering 18 shots to Metz's six. The pre-match AI model had rated a Marseille win at 76%, and the result duly confirmed that assessment.

The second half began in devastating fashion for the visitors, as Igor Paixão and Georgiy Tsitaishvili struck in the 48th and 49th minutes respectively to effectively kill the contest within a minute of the restart. Metz were unable to cope with Marseille's intensity in those opening exchanges after the break, and the yellow card shown to Facundo Medina just before half-time had done little to settle the away side's discipline.

Hamed Junior Traorè added a fourth — officially credited as Marseille's third — in stoppage time to complete the scoring, while Metz grabbed a consolation somewhere in between to make it 3–1 on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang assist: Mason Greenwood

13' ⚽ 1–0

Facundo Medina Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

HT 1–0

Igor Paixão assist: Mason Greenwood

48' ⚽ 2–0

⚽ 2–1 49'

Georgiy Tsitaishvili assist: Gauthier Hein

▮ 56'

Maxime Colin Yellow Card

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang ⇄ Arthur Vermeeren

72' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Jessy Deminguet ⇄ Nathan Mbala

Q. Timber ⇄ Tochukwu Nnadi

82' ⇄

Mason Greenwood ⇄ Hamed Junior Traorè

82' ⇄

⇄ 82'

Maxime Colin ⇄ Fodé Ballo-Touré

▮ 84'

Koffi Kouao Yellow Card

⇄ 87'

⇄ Lucas Michal

Hamed Junior Traorè assist: Amine Gouiri

90' ⚽ 3–1

Igor Paixão ⇄ Himad Abdelli

90+1' ⇄

FT 3–1

Marseille

Match Stats

Metz

54% Ball Possession 46%

3.55 Expected Goals (xG) 0.48

18 Total Shots 6

9 Shots on Goal 2

9 Shots off Goal 3

0 Blocked Shots 1

12 Shots insidebox 4

6 Shots outsidebox 2

7 Corner Kicks 4

3 Offsides 0

12 Fouls 8

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 6

488 Total passes 426

421 Passes accurate 356

86% Passes % 84%

1.19 goals_prevented 1.19

Marseille

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 Mason Greenwood F	8.2	82'	–	2	5	38 (32%)	–
14 Igor Paixão M	8.0	89'	1	–	2	37 (33%)	–
9 Amine Gouiri F	7.6	90'	–	1	2	30 (25%)	–
20 Hamed Junior Traorè M	7.3	8'	1	–	2	3 (3%)	–
17 Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang F	7.3	72'	1	–	4	19 (16%)	–
5 Leonardo Balerdi D	7.3	90'	–	–	1	67 (59%)	1
28 Benjamin Pavard D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	60 (54%)	4
32 Facundo Medina D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	66 (56%)	1
23 Pierre-Emile Højbjerg M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	73 (64%)	1
18 Arthur Vermeeren M	7.0	18'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	1
27 Q. Timber M	6.7	82'	–	–	1	29 (23%)	2
6 Tochukwu Nnadi M	6.6	8'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	1
22 Tim Weah M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	2
1 Gerónimo Rulli G	6.2	90'	–	–	–	21 (20%)	–
8 Himad Abdelli M	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Metz

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
61 Pape Sy G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	26 (16%)	–
7 Georgiy Tsitaishvili M	7.3	90'	1	–	1	23 (17%)	1
70 Bouna Sarr M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	25 (22%)	1
12 Alpha Touré M	6.9	87'	–	–	–	57 (50%)	1
38 Sadibou Sané D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	43 (35%)	2
20 Jessy Deminguet M	6.7	81'	–	–	1	25 (24%)	2
2 Maxime Colin D	6.3	82'	–	–	–	39 (37%)	1
30 Habib Diallo F	6.3	90'	–	–	–	18 (14%)	–
10 Gauthier Hein M	6.2	90'	–	1	2	57 (51%)	1
34 Nathan Mbala F	6.2	9'	–	–	1	3	–
97 Fodé Ballo-Touré D	6.2	8'	–	–	–	5 (3%)	–
39 Koffi Kouao D	5.9	90'	–	–	–	34 (30%)	2
5 Jean-Philippe Gbamin D	5.3	90'	–	–	–	70 (56%)	1
19 Lucas Michal F	—	3'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Нашата анализа

Marseille да победи или реми

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Marseille

LLLLL

Metz

DLWDD

Last 3 meetings Marseille · 1W 2D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Ligue 1 clash on April 12, 2026, Marseille will host Metz at the Stade Vélodrome. Marseille, traditionally strong at home, boasts a solid record with a high win percentage against lower-ranked teams. Metz, struggling near the relegation zone, has faced difficulties on the road, securing only two wins in their last ten away fixtures. Key for Marseille will be their attacking prowess, with top scorer likely to exploit Metz's leaky defense, which has conceded an average of 2 goals per match this season. This match presents Marseille an opportunity to solidify their position in the top half of the table while Metz seeks crucial points to avoid relegation.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Metz goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	4	1
1	22	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	13	4	1
4	6	2
5	2	1

↑ Marseille goals · most likely 1–0 (21.7%)

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Players in form

Marseille

A. Gouiri 4 gls

Metz

No scorer data.

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Head to Head: Marseille vs Metz

1 Marseille Wins

2 Draws

0 Metz Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Oct 2025	Metz	0 - 3	Marseille
09 Feb 2024	Marseille	1 - 1	Metz
18 Aug 2023	Metz	2 - 2	Marseille

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Marseille — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Paris Saint Germain	L	1 - 2
17 Sep	A Beşiktaş	L	4 - 1
11 Sep	A Rennes	L	1 - 0
06 Sep	H Paris FC	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Monaco	L	2 - 0

Metz — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Saint Etienne	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A RED Star FC 93	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H Rodez	W	4 - 1
29 Aug	A Annecy	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Laval	D	1 - 1

Ligue 1 Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Monaco	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
2	Lyon	5	3	2	0	10	2	+8	11
3	Paris FC	5	3	2	0	8	3	+5	11
4	Lille	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
5	Rennes	5	3	1	1	8	9	-1	10
6	Paris Saint Germain	5	2	2	1	8	7	+1	8
7	Angers	5	2	1	2	6	5	+1	7
8	Strasbourg	5	2	1	2	10	10	0	7
9	Le Mans	5	1	3	1	9	9	0	6
10	Auxerre	5	2	0	3	7	12	-5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	1	2	2	7	8	-1	5
12	Lorient	5	1	2	2	5	6	-1	5
13	Toulouse	5	1	2	2	7	9	-2	5
14	Nice	5	1	2	2	3	6	-3	5
15	Lens	5	1	1	3	9	9	0	4
16	Estac Troyes	5	1	1	3	4	11	-7	4
17	Marseille	5	1	0	4	7	8	-1	3
18	Le Havre	5	0	2	3	4	7	-3	2