FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München Предвидување

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 29

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Bayern München

Away

Millerntor-Stadion, Hamburg

AI предвидување Bayern München да победи

13%

80%

Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за FC St. Pauli против Bayern München: Sportiko проценува дека FC St. Pauli има 7% шанса за победа, Bayern München 80%, а реми 13%. Последно ажурирано 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Bayern München made light work of FC St. Pauli at the Millerntor, running out convincing 5–0 winners in Bundesliga Matchday 29. Jamal Musiala broke the deadlock as early as the ninth minute, and although Bayern led by just a single goal at the break, their dominance was reflected in an expected goals figure of 3.84 to St. Pauli's 0.49, with the hosts controlling 77% of possession throughout.

The match effectively ended as a contest within a frantic three-minute spell after the restart. Leon Goretzka and Michael Olise both struck in the 53rd and 55th minutes respectively, turning a tight scoreline into a rout. Both goals came moments after yellow cards were shown to Olise and St. Pauli's Joel Chima Fujita, adding further drama to an eventful second-half opening. Nicolas Jackson added a fourth on 65 minutes before a fifth arrived late on, with a Goretzka effort subsequently ruled out by VAR in stoppage time.

The result was no surprise to those following the data closely — our pre-match AI model had rated a Bayern win as the most likely outcome at 80%, a call that proved entirely justified.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 9'

Jamal Musiala assist: Konrad Laimer

▮ 19'

Konrad Laimer Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Joel Chima Fujita Yellow Card

52' ▮

▮ 52'

Michael Olise Yellow Card

⚽ 0–2 53'

Leon Goretzka

⚽ 0–3 55'

Michael Olise assist: Leon Goretzka

⇄ 58'

Konrad Laimer ⇄ Josip Stanišić

⇄ 59'

Michael Olise ⇄ Luis Díaz

⇄ 59'

Joshua Kimmich ⇄ Alphonso Davies

⚽ 0–4 65'

Nicolas Jackson assist: Jamal Musiala

Joel Chima Fujita ⇄ Connor Metcalfe

66' ⇄

⇄ 67'

Hiroki Itō ⇄ Jonathan Tah

Andreas Hountondji ⇄ Martijn Kaars

77' ⇄

Lars Ritzka ⇄ Louis Oppie

77' ⇄

⇄ 84'

Jamal Musiala ⇄ Bara Sapoko Ndiaye

⚽ 0–5 88'

Mathias Pereira Lage ⇄ Taichi Hara

89' ⇄

🖵 90+6'

Leon Goretzka Goal cancelled

FT 0–5

FC St. Pauli

Match Stats

Bayern München

23% Ball Possession 77%

0.49 Expected Goals (xG) 3.84

6 Total Shots 20

3 Shots on Goal 8

2 Shots off Goal 5

1 Blocked Shots 7

4 Shots insidebox 16

2 Shots outsidebox 4

3 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 3

9 Fouls 7

1 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

272 Total passes 946

200 Passes accurate 873

74% Passes % 92%

0.27 goals_prevented 0.27

FC St. Pauli

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Mathias Rasmussen M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	29 (20%)	5
28 Mathias Pereira Lage F	6.7	88'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	2
5 Hauke Wahl D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	30 (29%)	2
19 Martijn Kaars F	6.5	13'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
27 Andreas Hountondji F	6.5	77'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	–
24 Connor Metcalfe M	6.3	24'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
11 Arkadiusz Pyrka M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	17 (11%)	3
18 Taichi Hara F	6.3	8'	–	–	–	–	–
10 Danel Sinani F	6.2	90'	–	–	–	25 (16%)	–
23 Louis Oppie D	6.2	13'	–	–	–	7 (4%)	–
21 Lars Ritzka M	6.2	77'	–	–	–	24 (15%)	4
16 Joel Chima Fujita M	6.0	66'	–	–	1	18 (16%)	1
3 Karol Mets D	5.7	90'	–	–	–	40 (32%)	2
22 Nikola Vasilj G	5.2	90'	–	–	–	33 (20%)	–
15 Tomoya Ando D	5.2	90'	–	–	1	26 (20%)	1

Bayern München

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Joshua Kimmich M	8.9	59'	–	–	–	103 (100%)	–
3 Kim Min-jae D	8.3	90'	–	–	–	127 (123%)	1
4 Jonathan Tah D	8.3	23'	–	–	–	52 (52%)	–
8 Leon Goretzka M	8.3	90'	1	1	1	101 (91%)	2
17 Michael Olise M	7.9	59'	1	–	2	34 (26%)	–
20 Tom Bischof D	7.6	90'	–	–	1	104 (97%)	4
19 Alphonso Davies D	7.3	31'	–	–	–	45 (44%)	–
1 Manuel Neuer G	7.2	90'	–	–	–	38 (35%)	–
11 Nicolas Jackson F	7.2	90'	1	1	4	30 (24%)	1
27 Konrad Laimer D	7.2	58'	–	1	1	44 (39%)	1
21 Hiroki Itō D	7.2	67'	–	–	–	71 (65%)	–
22 Raphaël Guerreiro M	7.2	90'	1	–	2	76 (65%)	1
10 Jamal Musiala M	7.0	84'	1	1	2	36 (29%)	–
39 Bara Sapoko Ndiaye F	7.0	12'	–	–	–	17 (17%)	1
44 Josip Stanišić D	6.9	32'	–	–	–	38 (37%)	–
14 Luis Díaz F	6.0	31'	–	–	–	30 (29%)	1

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

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Bayern München да победи

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FC St. Pauli

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Bayern München

WWWDW

Last 3 meetings FC St. Pauli · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

FC St. Pauli will host Bayern München in what promises to be a challenging match for the home side. Historically, Bayern has dominated this fixture, winning 80% of their encounters in recent years. FC St. Pauli currently sits mid-table, struggling with consistency, while Bayern is likely to be competing for the title, showcasing their depth and attacking prowess. Key players to watch include Bayern’s prolific striker, who has consistently found the net, and St. Pauli's defensive unit, which will need to be at its best to contain the visitors. Expect a high-tempo match with Bayern looking to assert their dominance early on.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bayern München goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	3	10	13	12	8	5
1	2	6	9	8	6	3
2	1	2	3	3	2	1
3			1	1
4
5

↑ FC St. Pauli goals · most likely 0–2 (13.3%)

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Players in form

FC St. Pauli

No scorer data.

Bayern München

M. Olise 4 gls

H. Kane 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: FC St. Pauli vs Bayern München

0 FC St. Pauli Wins

0 Draws

3 Bayern München Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
29 Nov 2025	Bayern München	3 - 1	FC St. Pauli
29 Mar 2025	Bayern München	3 - 2	FC St. Pauli
09 Nov 2024	FC St. Pauli	0 - 1	Bayern München

Види ги сите 5 средби — Premium

FC St. Pauli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Energie Cottbus	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	H VfL Wolfsburg	W	1 - 0
04 Sep	A Arminia Bielefeld	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	H 1. FC Kaiserslautern	L	1 - 2
23 Aug	A Rot-Weiß Essen	L	2 - 0

Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	7 - 0
13 Sep	A SV Elversberg	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A VfL Osnabrück	W	1 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0