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Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia Предвидување

UEFA Nations League UEFA Nations League · League B - 2
FT
Post on X
Slovenia

Slovenia

Home
2 : 0
HT 0 - 0
FYR Macedonia

FYR Macedonia

Away
Stadion Stožice, Ljubljana
AI предвидување Тежок победник или реми за Slovenia
58%
28%
14%
Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Slovenia против FYR Macedonia: Sportiko проценува дека Slovenia има 58% шанса за победа, FYR Macedonia 14%, а реми 28%. Последно ажурирано 29 Sep 2026, 20:38.

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  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 70%
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Match Report

Slovenia secured a comfortable 2–0 victory over FYR Macedonia in UEFA Nations League B Group 2, with both goals arriving in a productive second half. The opening 45 minutes passed without a breakthrough, but Slovenia quickly asserted control after the restart. Sandi Lovrić broke the deadlock on 55 minutes, capitalising on Slovenia's growing dominance just four minutes after Stojchevski had picked up a yellow card for Macedonia. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Slovenia win as the most likely outcome at 58%, a call that proved well-founded.

Macedonia struggled to respond, managing just one shot on target across the entire match compared to Slovenia's five, with the hosts also edging possession at 53%. A second yellow card for Atanasov in the 57th minute further disrupted Macedonia's rhythm, and a flurry of substitutions from both sides mid-game failed to shift the momentum. Aljoša Matko wrapped up the points with a goal on 82 minutes, adding the finishing touch to a disciplined Slovenian performance that was rarely threatened.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

HT 0–0
▮ 51'
Andrej Stojchevski Yellow Card
Sandi Lovrić assist: Tjaš Begić
55' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 57'
J. Atanasov Yellow Card
⇄ 61'
D. Mitrovski ⇄ H. Maleski
⇄ 61'
A. Elezi ⇄ Enis Bardhi
Tjaš Begić ⇄ Aljoša Matko
71' ⇄
Žan Vipotnik ⇄ Žan Celar
71' ⇄
Sandi Lovrić ⇄ Mark Zabukovnik
71' ⇄
⇄ 71'
Anes Meljichi ⇄ Visar Musliu
⇄ 71'
J. Atanasov ⇄ L. Stankovski
Aljoša Matko Yellow Card
78' ▮
⇄ 80'
Din Alomerovic ⇄ Bojan Miovski
Aljoša Matko assist: Danijel Šturm
82' ⚽ 2–0
Adam Gnezda Čerin ⇄ Timi Max Elšnik
85' ⇄
Vanja Drkušić ⇄ David Zec
85' ⇄
FT 2–0
Slovenia

Match Stats

FYR Macedonia
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Goal 1
5 Shots off Goal 2
6 Blocked Shots 6
13 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 3
6 Corner Kicks 3
1 Offsides 1
8 Fouls 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
0 Red Cards 0
1 Goalkeeper Saves 3
507 Total passes 461
430 Passes accurate 379
8 Free Kicks 8
Slovenia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Sandi Lovrić M 8.2 71' 1 – 3 51 (43%) 2
15 Danijel Šturm M 7.7 90' – 1 4 36 (28%) 1
2 Ž. Karničnik D 7.7 90' – – 1 58 (52%) 2
7 Tjaš Begić M 7.6 71' – 1 – 18 (14%) –
21 Vanja Drkušić D 7.5 85' – – 1 67 (61%) –
6 Jaka Bijol D 7.4 90' – – 1 50 (45%) –
23 David Brekalo D 7.3 90' – – – 47 (40%) 1
20 Aljoša Matko F 7.2 19' 1 – 1 3 (3%) 1
17 David Zec D 7.1 5' – – – 1 (1%) –
13 Erik Janža D 7.0 90' – – – 64 (50%) –
22 Adam Gnezda Čerin M 7.0 85' – – 1 75 (66%) 1
1 Jan Oblak G 6.9 90' – – – 16 (10%) –
10 Timi Max Elšnik M 6.8 5' – – – 3 (3%) –
4 Mark Zabukovnik M 6.8 19' – – – 6 (4%) –
18 Žan Vipotnik F 6.7 71' – – 4 10 (8%) 1
11 Žan Celar F 6.4 19' – – – 2 (2%) –
FYR Macedonia
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
13 Anes Meljichi D 6.8 71' – – – 33 (29%) 1
16 Matej Gaštarov M 6.7 90' – – 1 57 (50%) 3
14 Mario Mladenovski D 6.6 90' – – – 48 (41%) –
6 Visar Musliu D 6.6 19' – – 2 15 (15%) –
7 Eljif Elmas M 6.5 90' – – – 49 (43%) –
21 J. Atanasov M 6.5 71' – – 1 59 (53%) 1
10 Enis Bardhi M 6.4 29' – – 1 10 (9%) –
8 L. Stankovski M 6.4 19' – – 1 9 (6%) –
9 Bojan Miovski F 6.3 10' – – – – –
17 A. Omeragikj F 6.3 90' – – – 16 (9%) –
22 H. Maleski F 6.2 29' – – 1 5 (3%) –
23 Stole Dimitrievski G 6.1 90' – – – 46 (27%) –
20 D. Mitrovski M 6.1 61' – – – 17 (15%) –
3 Din Alomerovic D 6.0 80' – – – 42 (34%) 2
4 Andrej Stojchevski D 6.0 90' – – 1 37 (31%) 2
15 A. Elezi M 5.9 61' – – 1 18 (14%) –
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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Нашата анализа
Тежок победник или реми за Slovenia
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Slovenia
WDDDD
FYR Macedonia
LL

Live insights

84' Goal 85% sure

Slovenia now leads 2-0 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 14.6%.

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Slovenia leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.9%. Comeback chance: 0.1%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Slovenia leads 1-0. Win probability: 92.3%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 7.7%.

57' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Slovenia win: 87.8%. BTTS: 22.1%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 67.2%. Over 1.5 remaining: 33%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
58%
45%
Draw
28%
45%
Away
14%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Slovenia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
29 Sep H FYR Macedonia W 2 - 0
26 Sep H Scotland D 0 - 0
01 Jul A Portugal D 0 - 0
25 Jun A England D 0 - 0
20 Jun H Serbia D 1 - 1

FYR Macedonia — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
29 Sep A Slovenia L 2 - 0
26 Sep H Switzerland L 0 - 3

UEFA Nations League Standings

League A - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
France
2 2 0 0 +2 6
2
Belgium
2 1 0 1 +1 3
3
Italy
2 1 0 1 +1 3
4
Türkiye
2 0 0 2 -4 0

League A - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Greece
3 2 1 0 +2 7
2
Netherlands
3 1 2 0 +1 5
3
Germany
3 1 1 1 +1 4
4
Serbia
3 0 0 3 -4 0

League A - Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Spain
2 2 0 0 +4 6
2
England
2 1 0 1 +1 3
3
Croatia
2 1 0 1 -2 3
4
Czechia
2 0 0 2 -3 0

League A - Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Portugal
3 3 0 0 +4 9
2
Denmark
3 1 0 2 -1 3
3
Norway
3 1 0 2 -1 3
4
Wales
3 1 0 2 -2 3

League B - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Switzerland
2 2 0 0 +6 6
2
Slovenia
2 1 1 0 +2 4
3
Scotland
2 0 1 1 -3 1
4
FYR Macedonia
2 0 0 2 -5 0

League B - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Ukraine
2 1 1 0 +1 4
2
Northern Ireland
2 1 1 0 +1 4
3
Hungary
2 0 1 1 -1 1
4
Georgia
2 0 1 1 -1 1

League B - Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Austria
3 2 1 0 +4 7
2
Kosovo
3 1 1 1 -1 4
3
Rep. Of Ireland
3 1 1 1 +2 4
4
Israel
3 0 1 2 -5 1

League B - Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Sweden
2 2 0 0 +3 6
2
Bosnia & Herzegovina
2 1 1 0 +2 4
3
Poland
2 0 1 1 -2 1
4
Romania
2 0 0 2 -3 0

League C - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Albania
2 2 0 0 +5 6
2
Finland
2 1 1 0 +7 4
3
Belarus
2 0 1 1 -2 1
4
San Marino
2 0 0 2 -10 0

League C - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Montenegro
2 2 0 0 +2 6
2
Armenia
2 1 0 1 +1 3
3
Cyprus
2 0 1 1 -1 1
4
Latvia
2 0 1 1 -2 1

League C - Group C

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Slovakia
2 2 0 0 +3 6
2
Faroe Islands
2 0 2 0 0 2
3
Kazakhstan
2 0 1 1 -1 1
4
Moldova
2 0 1 1 -2 1

League C - Group D

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Iceland
2 1 1 0 +3 4
2
Luxembourg
2 1 0 1 -2 3
3
Estonia
2 0 2 0 0 2
4
Bulgaria
2 0 1 1 -1 1

League D - Group A

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Malta
2 1 1 0 +1 4
2
Gibraltar
2 0 2 0 0 2
3
Andorra
2 0 1 1 -1 1

League D - Group B

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Lithuania
2 1 1 0 +2 4
2
Azerbaijan
2 0 2 0 0 2
3
Liechtenstein
2 0 1 1 -2 1

Slovenia

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: B. Cesar
1 Oblak
13 Janža
21 Drkušić
6 Bijol
23 Brekalo
2 Karničnik
15 Šturm
22 Čerin
8 Lovrić
7 Begić
18 Vipotnik

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Oblak G
2 Ž. Karničnik D
23 D. Brekalo D
6 J. Bijol D
21 V. Drkušić D
13 E. Janža D
7 T. Begić M
8 S. Lovrić M
22 A. Čerin M
15 D. Šturm M
18 Z. Vipotnik F

Substitutes

11 Ž. Celar F
17 D. Zec D
4 M. Zabukovnik M
12 M. Vidovšek G
14 T. Svetlin M
9 A. Šporar F
20 A. Matko F
3 J. Balkovec D
10 T. Elšnik M
19 T. Horvat M
5 S. Kuzmić D
16 Žan-Luk Leban G

FYR Macedonia

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: G. Sedloski
23 Dimitrievski
3 Alomeroviс
13 Meljichi
14 Mladenovski
4 Stojchevski
21 Atanasov
16 Gashtarov
7 Elmas
15 Elezi
20 Mitrovski
17 Omeragikj

Starting XI

# Player Pos
23 S. Dimitrievski G
4 A. Stojchevski D
14 M. Mladenovski D
13 Anes Meljichi D
3 S. Alomeroviс D
16 M. Gashtarov M
21 J. Atanasov M
20 D. Mitrovski M
15 A. Elezi M
7 E. Elmas M
17 A. Omeragikj F

Substitutes

1 D. Taleski G
10 E. Bardhi M
12 D. Shishkovski G
11 E. Rastoder F
6 V. Musliu D
9 B. Miovski F
22 H. Maleski F
19 L. Doriev F
18 G. Dzhekov D
2 Bojan Ilievski D
5 G. Zajkov D
8 L. Stankovski M

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