Elche vs Valencia Предвидување
Прогноза за Elche против Valencia: Sportiko проценува дека Elche има 21% шанса за победа, Valencia 54%, а реми 25%. Последно ажурирано 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
Elche claimed all three points against Valencia in a tight La Liga encounter that remained goalless at the break, with the home side ultimately proving more clinical despite spending less time on the ball.
The decisive moment arrived in the 73rd minute when Lucas Cepeda converted to give Elche a lead they would not relinquish. The goal came amid a flurry of substitutions from both sides, with managers on each bench making multiple changes in the second half in search of an advantage. Valencia, who had entered the game as favourites — our pre-match AI model gave them a 54% chance of winning — struggled to translate their 57% possession into meaningful chances.
The underlying numbers told a stark story: Elche generated 2.54 expected goals from 22 total shots and eight on target, while Valencia managed just 0.59 xG from eight attempts with only two troubling the goalkeeper. Nine corners for the home side further illustrated their dominance in dangerous areas. The result moves Elche to a hard-fought victory in matchday 31.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Elche
Match Stats
Elche
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Matías Dituro G | 8.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (28%) | – |
| 24 Lucas Cepeda F | 8.2 | 18' | 1 | – | 2 | 5 (4%) | 1 |
| 14 Aleix Febas M | 8.0 | 90' | – | 1 | – | 54 (49%) | 8 |
| 22 David Affengruber D | 7.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 73 (64%) | 2 |
| 21 Léo Pétrot D | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 56 (52%) | 2 |
| 12 Gonzalo Villar M | 7.3 | 72' | – | – | – | 43 (40%) | 4 |
| 11 Germán Valera M | 7.0 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 26 (25%) | – |
| 15 Tete Morente M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 25 (20%) | 1 |
| 20 Álvaro Rodriguez F | 6.9 | 26' | – | – | – | 6 (3%) | 1 |
| 10 Rafa Mir F | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 15 (10%) | 1 |
| 3 Adrià Pedrosa D | 6.9 | 18' | – | – | – | 3 (1%) | – |
| 16 Martim Neto F | 6.9 | 72' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | 2 |
| 18 John Donald D | 6.6 | 26' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 9 André Silva F | 6.5 | 64' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | 1 |
| 42 Buba Sangare D | 6.3 | 64' | – | – | – | 50 (40%) | 1 |
| 23 Víctor Chust D | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
Valencia
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Luis Rioja M | 8.7 | 60' | – | – | – | 14 (11%) | 5 |
| 1 Stole Dimitrievski G | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (22%) | 1 |
| 5 César Tárrega D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 26 (24%) | 1 |
| 17 Largie Ramazani M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 18 (15%) | 2 |
| 18 Pepelu M | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 14 (12%) | – |
| 21 Jesús Vázquez D | 6.9 | 15' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 14 José Luis Gayà D | 6.7 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 15 (15%) | 2 |
| 2 Guido Rodríguez M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 46 (44%) | 1 |
| 7 Arnaut Danjuma F | 6.7 | 9' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 16 Diego López F | 6.7 | 30' | – | – | 2 | 9 (9%) | – |
| 23 Filip Ugrinić M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 33 (26%) | 1 |
| 15 Lucas Beltrán F | 6.5 | 81' | – | – | 2 | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 12 Thierry Correia D | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (27%) | 1 |
| 9 Hugo Duro F | 6.3 | 29' | – | – | 2 | 8 (5%) | – |
| 6 Umar Sadiq F | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 8 (6%) | 2 |
| 24 Eray Cömert D | 6.2 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 33 (31%) | – |
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Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Elche vs Valencia
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Valencia | 1 - 1 | Elche |
| 23 Apr 2023 | Elche | 0 - 2 | Valencia |
| 15 Oct 2022 | Valencia | 2 - 2 | Elche |
Elche — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Espanyol | W | 1 - 3 |
| 15 Sep | H Real Madrid | L | 2 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | A Athletic Club | D | 1 - 1 |
| 07 Sep | H Real Sociedad | L | 2 - 3 |
| 28 Aug | A Racing Santander | L | 3 - 2 |
Valencia — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Real Sociedad | L | 2 - 3 |
| 15 Sep | A Alaves | W | 0 - 1 |
| 11 Sep | A Sevilla | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Barcelona | L | 0 - 5 |
| 30 Aug | A Deportivo La Coruna | L | 3 - 1 |
La Liga Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 7 | +24 | 21 |
| 2 |
Atletico Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 7 | +9 | 16 |
| 3 |
Real Betis
|
7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +2 | 16 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 8 | +10 | 15 |
| 5 |
Sevilla
|
7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |
Alaves
|
7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +5 | 11 |
| 7 |
Deportivo La Coruna
|
7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 10 |
| 8 |
Real Sociedad
|
7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 10 |
| 9 |
Villarreal
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 12 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |
Athletic Club
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |
Getafe
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 |
Rayo Vallecano
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 8 |
| 13 |
Osasuna
|
7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 8 |
| 14 |
Celta Vigo
|
7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +2 | 7 |
| 15 |
Espanyol
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 16 |
Racing Santander
|
7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | -10 | 7 |
| 17 |
Levante
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 5 |
| 18 |
Elche
|
7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 17 | -6 | 5 |
| 19 |
Valencia
|
7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 4 |
| 20 |
Malaga
|
7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 12 | -9 | 3 |
Valencia
Formation: 4-4-2
Coach: Carlos Corberan
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Dimitrievski | G |
| 12 | T. Rendall | D |
| 5 | C. Tarrega | D |
| 24 | E. Comert | D |
| 14 | J. Gaya | D |
| 11 | L. Rioja | M |
| 23 | F. Ugrinic | M |
| 2 | G. Rodriguez | M |
| 17 | L. Ramazani | M |
| 15 | L. Beltran | F |
| 6 | U. Sadiq | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | C. Rivero | G |
| 20 | Renzo Saravia | D |
| 22 | B. Santamaria | M |
| 7 | A. Danjuma | F |
| 19 | D. Raba | F |
| 16 | D. Lopez | F |
| 8 | J. Guerra | M |
| 18 | Pepelu | M |
| 9 | H. Duro | F |
| 10 | A. Almeida | M |
| 21 | J. Vazquez | D |
| 26 | Rubo | D |
Elche
Formation: 3-4-1-2
Coach: Eder Sarabia
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Dituro | G |
| 42 | Buba Sangare | D |
| 22 | D. Affengruber | D |
| 21 | L. Petrot | D |
| 15 | Tete Morente | M |
| 14 | A. Febas | M |
| 12 | G. Villar | M |
| 11 | G. Valera | M |
| 16 | M. Neto | F |
| 10 | R. Mir | F |
| 9 | Andre Silva | F |
Substitutes
| 13 | I. Pena | G |
| 45 | A. Iturbe | G |
| 17 | Josan | M |
| 23 | V. Chust | D |
| 18 | J. Donald | D |
| 5 | F. Redondo Solari | M |
| 20 | A. Rodriguez | F |
| 3 | A. Pedrosa | D |
| 24 | L. Cepeda | F |
| 31 | D. Delgado | D |