Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29 Предвидување

Ligue 1 Ligue 1 · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Stade du Moustoir - Yves Allainmat, Lorient
AI предвидување Lorient или реми
38%
31%
31%
Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Lorient против Stade Brestois 29: Sportiko проценува дека Lorient има 38% шанса за победа, Stade Brestois 29 31%, а реми 31%. Последно ажурирано 2 Nov 2026, 21:37.

Premium анализи

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  • Домаќинот да постигне гол 72%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 73%
  • Над 1.5 голови 72%
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Match Report

Lorient and Stade Brestois played out a goalless first half in which the hosts looked the more threatening side on paper, earning eight corner kicks across the contest and generating an expected goals figure of 1.66. Despite that statistical dominance, Lorient failed to register a single shot on target throughout the entire match, leaving them vulnerable to the visitors' clinical edge.

Brest broke the deadlock on 69 minutes through Ludovic Ajorque, capitalising on one of their four shots on target to take control of the game. A missed penalty from Aiyegun Tosin in stoppage time summed up Lorient's evening, and Noah Edjouma rubbed salt into the wounds moments later with a second goal to seal a comfortable 2–0 win for the visitors. Our pre-match AI model had favoured a Lorient victory at 38%, a call that proved wide of the mark.

The result was a reminder of how little possession and territorial pressure count without cutting edge in front of goal. Brest's efficiency — two goals from 12 shots — stood in stark contrast to Lorient's wastefulness, and the scoreline ultimately flattered neither side's performance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 41'
Mama Baldé Yellow Card
HT 0–0
Souleymane Isaak Touré Yellow Card
58' ▮
Ibrahima Baldé ⇄ Aiyegun Tosin
66' ⇄
Souleymane Faye ⇄ Gabin Bernardeau
66' ⇄
⚽ 0–1 69'
Ludovic Ajorque
⇄ 76'
Kamory Doumbia ⇄ G. Versini
⇄ 76'
Mama Baldé ⇄ Noah Edjouma
Noah Cadiou ⇄ Noah Mbamba
79' ⇄
Jean-Victor Makengo ⇄ Théo Le Bris
79' ⇄
⇄ 82'
Pathé Mboup ⇄ Mamady Diambou
Dembo Sylla ⇄ Srđan Kuzmić
86' ⇄
Aiyegun Tosin Missed Penalty
90+1' ✗
⚽ 0–2 90+2'
Noah Edjouma assist: G. Versini
FT 0–2
Lorient

Match Stats

Stade Brestois 29
51% Ball Possession 49%
1.66 Expected Goals (xG) 0.87
15 Total Shots 12
0 Shots on Goal 4
9 Shots off Goal 3
6 Blocked Shots 5
11 Shots insidebox 6
4 Shots outsidebox 6
8 Corner Kicks 2
1 Offsides 0
11 Fouls 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 0
501 Total passes 479
438 Passes accurate 419
13 Free Kicks 10
Lorient
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
3 Montassar Talbi D 7.3 90' – – 1 44 (42%) 3
62 Arthur Avom Ebong M 7.1 90' – – – 71 (64%) 7
32 Nathaniel Adjei D 7.0 90' – – – 56 (54%) 1
95 Souleymane Isaak Touré D 7.0 90' – – 1 64 (62%) 2
8 Noah Cadiou M 6.6 79' – – 2 55 (49%) 1
43 Arsène Kouassi M 6.6 90' – – – 49 (44%) 1
17 Jean-Victor Makengo M 6.5 79' – – 5 38 (29%) 1
18 Ibrahima Baldé F 6.4 66' – – 2 13 (11%) –
30 Srđan Kuzmić D 6.3 4' – – – 1 –
11 Théo Le Bris M 6.2 11' – – – 8 (7%) –
33 Gabin Bernardeau M 6.2 24' – – – 10 (6%) –
15 Aiyegun Tosin F 6.1 24' – – 1 5 (5%) –
20 Dembo Sylla M 6.1 86' – – 1 38 (27%) 2
38 Yvon Mvogo G 6.0 90' – – – 23 (17%) –
19 Souleymane Faye M 6.0 66' – – 2 19 (16%) –
72 Noah Mbamba M 5.9 11' – – – 7 (5%) –
Stade Brestois 29
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
19 Ludovic Ajorque F 8.0 90' 1 – 3 9 (4%) –
29 Lucas Tousart D 7.9 90' – – – 87 (78%) –
9 Pathé Mboup M 7.6 82' – – 2 23 (21%) 1
4 Gautier Lloris D 7.4 90' – – – 58 (55%) –
11 Noah Edjouma F 7.3 14' 1 – 2 1 (1%) –
2 Bradley Locko D 7.3 90' – – – 47 (42%) –
13 Joris Chotard M 7.2 90' – – 2 51 (44%) 2
8 Hugo Magnetti M 7.2 90' – – 1 50 (48%) 1
70 Kenny Lala D 7.1 90' – – – 56 (47%) 1
1 Egil Selvik G 7.0 90' – – – 25 (17%) –
23 Kamory Doumbia M 6.8 76' – – 2 39 (35%) 2
6 Mamady Diambou M 6.8 8' – – – 4 (3%) –
10 G. Versini F 6.7 14' – 1 – 6 (5%) –
17 Mama Baldé M 6.4 76' – – – 23 (19%) 1
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Confidence Low (38%)

At a glance

Нашата анализа
Lorient или реми
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Lorient
LDWWL
Stade Brestois 29
WLDWD
Last 3 meetings Lorient · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

Lorient faces Stade Brestois 29 in a Ligue 1 clash on October 31. Both teams have shown varying form this season, with Lorient currently sitting in the mid-table, while Brestois struggles in the relegation zone. Key to the match will be Lorient's attacking efficiency, averaging 1.4 goals per game, compared to Brestois' 0.9. Defensively, Lorient has conceded 1.6 goals per game, suggesting vulnerabilities that Brestois could exploit if they can capitalize on their chances. The outcome may hinge on Lorient's ability to control possession and create opportunities against a Brestois side that has been inconsistent in both attack and defense.

Live insights

90' Goal 85% sure

Stade Brestois 29 now leads 0-2 with 99.9% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 9.5%.

75' time check 80% sure

Min 75: Stade Brestois 29 leads 0-1. Win probability: 84.1%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 15.9%.

70' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 0-1. Stade Brestois 29 win: 80.6%. BTTS: 24.9%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 69.1%. Over 1.5 remaining: 35.9%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
38%
10%
Draw
31%
45%
Away
31%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lorient

No scorer data.

Stade Brestois 29
L. Ajorque 4 gls
K. Doumbia 4 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Lorient vs Stade Brestois 29

0 Lorient Wins
1 Draws
2 Stade Brestois 29 Wins
Date Home Score Away
07 Feb 2026 Stade Brestois 29 2 - 0 Lorient
19 Oct 2025 Lorient 3 - 3 Stade Brestois 29
31 Mar 2024 Lorient 0 - 1 Stade Brestois 29
Види ги сите 10 средби — Premium

Lorient — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Nov H Stade Brestois 29 L 0 - 2
25 Oct A Angers D 0 - 0
18 Oct H Monaco W 1 - 0
10 Oct H Paris FC W 1 - 0
19 Sep A Le Mans L 2 - 1

Stade Brestois 29 — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
02 Nov A Lorient W 0 - 2
23 Oct H Nice L 1 - 2
17 Oct A Lille D 1 - 1
10 Oct H Angers W 5 - 1
03 Oct H Monza D 2 - 2

Ligue 1 Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain
10 7 2 1 +12 23
2
Paris FC
10 6 2 2 +7 20
3
Lille
9 5 3 1 +6 18
4
Lyon
9 5 2 2 +8 17
5
Rennes
9 5 1 3 +1 16
6
Marseille
9 5 0 4 +7 15
7
Monaco
9 4 3 2 +2 15
8
Nice
9 4 2 3 +1 14
9
Lens
9 4 1 4 +3 13
10
Toulouse
10 3 4 3 +1 13
11
Stade Brestois 29
9 3 3 3 +4 12
12
Lorient
9 3 3 3 -1 12
13
Strasbourg
10 3 1 6 -4 10
14
Auxerre
10 3 1 6 -11 10
15
Angers
9 2 2 5 -8 8
16
Estac Troyes
10 2 2 6 -10 8
17
Le Mans
9 1 4 4 -7 7
18
Le Havre
9 0 2 7 -11 2

Lorient

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: A. Dujeux
38 Mvogo
95 Touré
3 Talbi
32 Adjei
43 Kouassi
8 Cadiou
62 Avom
20 Sylla
19 Faye
17 Makengo
18 Baldé

Starting XI

# Player Pos
38 Y. Mvogo G
32 N. Adjei D
3 M. Talbi D
95 S. Touré D
20 D. Sylla M
62 A. Avom M
8 N. Cadiou M
43 K. Kouassi M
17 J. Makengo M
19 S. Faye M
18 I. Baldé F

Substitutes

21 B. Kamara G
30 S. Kuzmić D
11 T. Le Bris M
72 N. Mbamba M
55 N. Obaretin D
10 I. Jensen F
2 A. Georgen D
33 G. Bernardeau M
15 A. Tosin F

Stade Brestois 29

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Arturo Ruiz
1 Selvik
2 Locko
4 Lloris
29 Tousart
70 Lala
8 Magnetti
13 Chotard
9 Mboup
23 Doumbia
17 Baldé
19 Ajorque

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 E. Selvik G
70 K. Lala D
29 L. Tousart D
4 G. Lloris D
2 B. Locko D
13 J. Chotard M
8 H. Magnetti M
17 Mama Baldé M
23 K. Doumbia M
9 P. Mboup M
19 L. Ajorque F

Substitutes

39 D. N´Guessan F
21 Ibrahim Yayiya Kante F
11 N. Edjouma F
6 M. Diambou M
18 J. Bourgault D
7 J. Nonge Boende M
30 M. Patouillet G
20 L. Zogbe D
10 G. Versini F

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