Monza vs Napoli Предвидување

Serie A · Regular Season - 9

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Napoli

Away

U-Power Stadium, Monza

AI предвидување Тежок победник или реми за Napoli

20%

26%

54%

Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Monza против Napoli: Sportiko проценува дека Monza има 20% шанса за победа, Napoli 54%, а реми 26%. Последно ажурирано 28 Oct 2026, 21:38.

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1st Half Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Napoli claimed a comfortable 4–1 victory at Monza despite a competitive first half. Rasmus Højlund opened the scoring in the 10th minute, but Monza levelled through Gustavo Varela just before the break to ensure the teams went in level at 1–1. The home side had dominated possession throughout the opening period, though their xG figures suggested Napoli remained dangerous on the counter.

The second half belonged entirely to Napoli. Matteo Politano restored the visitors' lead just three minutes after the restart, and Rafa Marín extended it to 3–1 in the 62nd minute. Kevin De Bruyne added a fourth in the 67th minute to put the result beyond doubt, capping a dominant second-half display. Monza's early yellow card for Saba Goglichidze, who was later substituted at half-time, had disrupted their defensive shape from the outset.

Despite Monza's 64% possession advantage, Napoli proved ruthlessly efficient when it mattered. The pre-match AI model had rated a Napoli win as the most likely outcome at 54%, a call that proved well-founded as Antonio Conte's side moved to a convincing win in Matchday 9.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Saba Goglichidze Yellow Card

8' ▮

⚽ 0–1 10'

Rasmus Højlund assist: Giovanni Di Lorenzo

⇄ 17'

Stanislav Lobotka ⇄ Billy Gilmour

Yellow Card

25' ▮

Gustavo Varela assist: Jay Robinson

43' ⚽ 1–1

Saba Goglichidze ⇄ Andrea Carboni

45' ⇄

⇄ 45'

Amir Rrahmani ⇄ Luca Marianucci

HT 1–1

⚽ 1–2 48'

Matteo Politano

Manga Foe Ondoa Yellow Card

52' ▮

Cyril Ngonge ⇄ Andrea Colpani

60' ⇄

Manga Foe Ondoa ⇄ Ebenezer Akinsanmiro

60' ⇄

⚽ 1–3 62'

Rafa Marín assist: Matteo Politano

⇄ 63'

Frank Anguissa ⇄ Kevin De Bruyne

⇄ 63'

Matteo Politano ⇄ Antonio Vergara

⚽ 1–4 67'

Kevin De Bruyne assist: N. Lang

Jay Robinson ⇄ Exequiel Zeballos

69' ⇄

Lorenzo Lucchesi ⇄ Valentin Antov

74' ⇄

⇄ 81'

Rasmus Højlund ⇄ Lorenzo Lucca

L. Colombo Yellow Card

88' ▮

FT 1–4

Monza

Match Stats

Napoli

36% Ball Possession 64%

0.81 Expected Goals (xG) 1.43

12 Total Shots 16

5 Shots on Goal 7

4 Shots off Goal 5

3 Blocked Shots 4

3 Shots insidebox 12

9 Shots outsidebox 4

2 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 4

14 Fouls 6

3 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 4

330 Total passes 628

270 Passes accurate 553

6 Free Kicks 13

Monza

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
9 Gustavo Varela F	8.0	90'	1	–	6	18 (13%)	–
46 Jay Robinson M	6.9	69'	–	1	–	17 (13%)	2
8 Manga Foe Ondoa M	6.5	60'	–	–	3	21 (20%)	2
22 Exequiel Zeballos F	6.4	21'	–	–	–	4 (2%)	1
19 Samuele Birindelli D	6.3	90'	–	–	1	39 (34%)	–
28 Andrea Colpani M	6.1	30'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	–
3 Lorenzo Lucchesi D	6.0	74'	–	–	–	43 (37%)	–
21 L. Colombo M	6.0	90'	–	–	1	40 (34%)	3
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M	5.9	30'	–	–	–	9 (8%)	1
16 Cyril Ngonge M	5.9	60'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	3
1 Noel Törnqvist G	5.8	90'	–	–	–	31 (21%)	–
6 Valentin Antov D	5.8	16'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	1
44 Andrea Carboni D	5.7	44'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	2
7 Ricardo Mangas M	5.6	90'	–	–	–	17 (12%)	–
2 Saba Goglichidze D	5.6	46'	–	–	–	25 (24%)	1
24 Adam Bakoune M	5.5	90'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	1

Napoli

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Matteo Politano F	8.7	63'	1	1	2	18 (10%)	–
16 Rafa Marín D	7.9	90'	1	–	1	75 (70%)	4
70 N. Lang F	7.7	90'	–	1	1	51 (45%)	2
19 Rasmus Højlund F	7.7	81'	1	–	3	10 (7%)	–
11 Kevin De Bruyne M	7.5	27'	1	–	1	47 (42%)	1
32 Vanja Milinković-Savić G	7.4	90'	–	–	–	54 (43%)	–
22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D	7.3	90'	–	1	–	60 (55%)	–
17 Mathías Olivera D	6.8	90'	–	–	1	66 (64%)	3
35 Luca Marianucci D	6.8	44'	–	–	–	37 (33%)	1
8 Scott McTominay M	6.7	90'	–	–	5	58 (54%)	–
6 Billy Gilmour M	6.7	73'	–	–	–	76 (68%)	3
20 Lorenzo Lucca F	6.6	9'	–	–	1	2 (2%)	–
99 Frank Anguissa M	6.5	63'	–	–	1	22 (21%)	–
13 Amir Rrahmani D	6.4	46'	–	–	–	36 (29%)	2
68 Stanislav Lobotka M	6.3	17'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
26 Antonio Vergara M	6.2	27'	–	–	–	9 (5%)	1

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

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Тежок победник или реми за Napoli

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Monza

LLLWL

Napoli

DLLWD

Last 3 meetings Monza · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash, Monza will face Napoli, a team known for its attacking prowess. Napoli has averaged 2.1 goals per match this season, showcasing their offensive strength with key players contributing significantly. Monza, while competitive, struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match. The match will be crucial for Monza to tighten their defense while exploiting any gaps in Napoli's backline. Given Napoli's superior form and goal-scoring ability, they will likely look to dominate possession and create scoring opportunities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

20%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

54%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Monza

Gustavo Varela 9 gls

Napoli

K. De Bruyne 4 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Monza vs Napoli

0 Monza Wins

0 Draws

3 Napoli Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
19 Apr 2025	Monza	0 - 1	Napoli
29 Sep 2024	Napoli	2 - 0	Monza
07 Apr 2024	Monza	2 - 4	Napoli

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Monza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Oct	A Bologna	L	2 - 1
28 Oct	H Napoli	L	1 - 4
23 Oct	A Torino	L	3 - 2
19 Oct	H Cagliari	W	4 - 0
11 Oct	A Lazio	L	3 - 1

Napoli — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
08 Nov	H Lazio	D	1 - 1
04 Nov	A FC Porto	L	4 - 1
01 Nov	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
28 Oct	A Monza	W	1 - 4
24 Oct	H AS Roma	D	3 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	24	8	+16	28
2	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	31	10	+21	27
3	Inter	10	8	1	1	26	13	+13	25
4	Como	10	7	2	1	18	8	+10	23
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21	12	+9	21
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	24	15	+9	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	13	10	+3	17
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	16	14	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	10	15	-5	16
10	Napoli	10	4	2	4	17	13	+4	14
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	15	17	-2	14
12	Genoa	10	4	1	5	10	14	-4	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	16	20	-4	11
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	12	22	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	15	23	-8	8
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	9	17	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	16	29	-13	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	17	24	-7	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	8	21	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	12	25	-13	5

Napoli

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: M. Allegri

32 Milinković-Savić

17 Olivera

16 Marín

13 Rrahmani

22 Lorenzo

8 McTominay

68 Lobotka

99 Anguissa

70 Lang

19 Højlund

21 Politano

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
32	V. Milinković-Savić	G
22	G. Di Lorenzo	D
13	Amir Rrahmani	D
16	Rafa Marín	D
17	M. Olivera	D
99	A. Zambo Anguissa	M
68	S. Lobotka	M
8	S. McTominay	M
21	M. Politano	F
19	R. Højlund	F
70	N. Lang	F

Substitutes

1	A. Meret	G
35	Luca Marianucci	D
20	L. Lucca	F
23	Giovane	F
6	B. Gilmour	M
11	K. De Bruyne	M
14	N. Contini	G
31	S. Beukema	D
26	A. Vergara	M

Monza

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: I. Juric

1 Törnqvist

3 Lucchesi

2 Goglichidze

19 Birindelli

7 Mangas

21 Colombo

8 Ondoa

24 Bakoune

46 Robinson

16 Ngonge

9 Varela

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	N. Törnqvist	G
19	S. Birindelli	D
2	S. Goglichidze	D
3	L. Lucchesi	D
24	A. Bakoune	M
8	M. Ondoa	M
21	L. Colombo	M
7	Ricardo Mangas	M
16	C. Ngonge	M
46	Jay Robinson	M
9	Gustavo Varela	F

Substitutes

27	I. Touré	M
14	E. Akinsanmiro	M
22	E. Zeballos	F
20	D. Thiam	G
6	V. Antov	D
44	A. Carboni	D
26	P. Ciurria	F
28	A. Colpani	M
10	P. Cutrone	F
11	O. Forson	F
60	E. Kouadio	D
47	Dany Mota	F
80	M. Mout	M
43	A. Strajnar	G