Lazio vs Monza Предвидување

Serie A · Regular Season - 6

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Monza

Away

Stadio Olimpico, Roma

AI предвидување Тежок победник или реми за Lazio

54%

26%

20%

Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Lazio против Monza: Sportiko проценува дека Lazio има 54% шанса за победа, Monza 20%, а реми 26%. Последно ажурирано 11 Oct 2026, 14:56.

Match Report

Lazio made a commanding start at the Stadio Olimpico, racing into a two-goal lead inside the opening 25 minutes. Nuno Tavares opened the scoring in the third minute before Gustav Isaksen doubled the advantage on 23 minutes, giving the hosts a comfortable cushion heading into the break. Monza's task was made significantly harder when Lorenzo Lucchesi was shown a red card on 35 minutes, leaving them to play the entire second half a man down.

The visitors showed some fight despite their numerical disadvantage. Saba Goglichidze pulled one back just seconds into the second half, briefly threatening to set up a nervy finish, and the xG figures — 1.91 for Monza against Lazio's 1.59 — reflected a more competitive contest than the scoreline suggested. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Lazio win as the most likely outcome at 54%, a call that ultimately proved correct.

Lazio restored their two-goal cushion when Andrea Pinamonti converted on 88 minutes to seal a 3–1 victory. The win was built on an early platform, defensive resilience after Goglichidze's reply, and the advantage of playing against ten men for the majority of the second half.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Nuno Tavares assist: Tijjani Noslin

3' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 13'

Andrea Carboni Yellow Card

Gustav Isaksen assist: Tijjani Noslin

23' ⚽ 2–0

▮ 35'

Lorenzo Lucchesi Red Card

⇄ 36'

Cyril Ngonge ⇄ Saba Goglichidze

⇄ 45'

Andrea Carboni ⇄ Y. Maye

⇄ 45'

Exequiel Zeballos ⇄ Dany Mota

⇄ 45'

Michael Folorunsho ⇄ Manga Foe Ondoa

Danilho Doekhi Yellow Card

45+2' ▮

HT 2–0

⚽ 2–1 46'

Saba Goglichidze assist: Dany Mota

Danilho Doekhi ⇄ Diogo Leite

53' ⇄

Oliver Provstgaard Yellow Card

55' ▮

Davide Frattesi ⇄ Fisayo Dele-Bashiru

60' ⇄

Oliver Provstgaard ⇄ Josip Šutalo

60' ⇄

Diogo Leite Yellow Card

68' ▮

⇄ 70'

Ricardo Mangas ⇄ Adam Bakoune

Nuno Tavares ⇄ Alfonso Pedraza

75' ⇄

Tijjani Noslin ⇄ Andrea Pinamonti

75' ⇄

▮ 79'

Yellow Card

Andrea Pinamonti assist: Alfonso Pedraza

88' ⚽ 3–1

FT 3–1

Lazio

Match Stats

Monza

66% Ball Possession 34%

1.59 Expected Goals (xG) 1.91

17 Total Shots 14

7 Shots on Goal 6

8 Shots off Goal 3

2 Blocked Shots 5

8 Shots insidebox 10

9 Shots outsidebox 4

7 Corner Kicks 6

0 Offsides 2

10 Fouls 9

3 Yellow Cards 1

0 Red Cards 1

5 Goalkeeper Saves 4

596 Total passes 299

516 Passes accurate 224

9 Free Kicks 10

Lazio

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
14 Tijjani Noslin F	8.1	75'	–	2	1	32 (31%)	–
35 Christos Mandas G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	37 (28%)	–
11 Gustav Isaksen F	7.6	90'	1	–	4	39 (35%)	–
17 Nuno Tavares D	7.4	75'	1	–	2	71 (57%)	1
9 Andrea Pinamonti F	7.4	15'	1	–	1	4 (3%)	–
15 Romano Floriani Mussolini D	7.2	90'	–	–	2	46 (40%)	3
21 Reda Belahyane M	7.2	90'	–	–	1	62 (59%)	2
37 Josip Šutalo D	6.9	30'	–	–	–	25 (24%)	–
23 Alfonso Pedraza D	6.9	15'	–	1	–	8 (6%)	–
16 Davide Frattesi M	6.7	60'	–	–	2	16 (11%)	2
5 Danilho Doekhi D	6.7	53'	–	–	–	29 (25%)	2
24 Kenneth Taylor M	6.6	90'	–	–	2	67 (58%)	–
2 Diogo Leite D	6.6	37'	–	–	–	31 (28%)	1
7 Fisayo Dele-Bashiru M	6.5	30'	–	–	–	11 (11%)	–
25 Oliver Provstgaard D	6.4	60'	–	–	–	59 (53%)	1
10 Mattia Zaccagni F	6.3	90'	–	–	2	58 (47%)	1

Monza

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
47 Dany Mota F	7.6	44'	–	1	5	11 (3%)	2
2 Saba Goglichidze D	7.2	54'	1	–	1	20 (19%)	1
5 Y. Maye D	6.6	44'	–	–	1	7 (7%)	1
19 Samuele Birindelli M	6.5	90'	–	–	4	37 (27%)	1
90 Michael Folorunsho M	6.4	46'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	–
14 Ebenezer Akinsanmiro M	6.3	90'	–	–	1	26 (20%)	2
60 Eddy Kouadio D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	32 (24%)	4
9 Gustavo Varela F	6.2	90'	–	–	1	15 (12%)	1
1 Noel Törnqvist G	6.0	90'	–	–	–	37 (20%)	–
16 Cyril Ngonge M	5.9	36'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	–
24 Adam Bakoune D	5.9	20'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
22 Exequiel Zeballos M	5.8	46'	–	–	1	7 (4%)	–
8 Manga Foe Ondoa M	5.8	44'	–	–	–	13 (11%)	–
7 Ricardo Mangas M	5.7	70'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	–
44 Andrea Carboni D	5.4	46'	–	–	–	23 (17%)	1
3 Lorenzo Lucchesi D	5.0	35'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	–

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Нашата анализа

Тежок победник или реми за Lazio

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Lazio

WWWWW

Monza

LLLWL

Last 3 meetings Lazio · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

Lazio will face Monza in what promises to be an intriguing Serie A matchup. Lazio has shown strong form at home, boasting a solid defensive record, allowing an average of 0.9 goals per game this season. Monza, on the other hand, has struggled away, conceding 1.5 goals per match on the road. Key players to watch include Lazio's top striker, who has been pivotal in their goal-scoring efforts, and Monza's playmaker, who will need to orchestrate the attack effectively. The outcome may hinge on Lazio's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities while containing Monza's counterattacking threats.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

54%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

20%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Lazio

T. Noslin 4 gls

G. Isaksen 4 gls

Monza

Gustavo Varela 9 gls

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Head to Head: Lazio vs Monza

2 Lazio Wins

1 Draws

0 Monza Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 Feb 2025	Lazio	5 - 1	Monza
10 Nov 2024	Monza	0 - 1	Lazio
04 May 2024	Monza	2 - 2	Lazio

Види ги сите 6 средби — Premium

Lazio — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
01 Nov	H Cagliari	W	2 - 1
27 Oct	A Sassuolo	W	2 - 6
24 Oct	H Parma	W	2 - 1
18 Oct	A Juventus	W	0 - 3
11 Oct	H Monza	W	3 - 1

Monza — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
31 Oct	A Bologna	L	2 - 1
28 Oct	H Napoli	L	1 - 4
23 Oct	A Torino	L	3 - 2
19 Oct	H Cagliari	W	4 - 0
11 Oct	A Lazio	L	3 - 1

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lazio	10	9	1	0	24	8	+16	28
2	AS Roma	11	8	3	0	31	10	+21	27
3	Inter	10	8	1	1	26	13	+13	25
4	Como	10	7	2	1	18	8	+10	23
5	AC Milan	10	6	3	1	21	12	+9	21
6	Frosinone	11	6	2	3	24	15	+9	20
7	Juventus	10	5	2	3	13	10	+3	17
8	Bologna	11	5	2	4	16	14	+2	17
9	Cagliari	11	5	1	5	10	15	-5	16
10	Napoli	10	4	2	4	17	13	+4	14
11	Torino	11	4	2	5	15	17	-2	14
12	Genoa	10	4	1	5	10	14	-4	13
13	Atalanta	10	3	2	5	16	20	-4	11
14	Lecce	11	3	1	7	12	22	-10	10
15	Fiorentina	10	2	2	6	15	23	-8	8
16	Parma	11	2	2	7	9	17	-8	8
17	Sassuolo	11	2	2	7	16	29	-13	8
18	Monza	10	2	1	7	17	24	-7	7
19	Venezia	11	2	0	9	8	21	-13	6
20	Udinese	11	1	2	8	12	25	-13	5

Lazio

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: G. Gattuso

35 Mandas

17 Tavares

25 Provstgaard

5 Doekhi

15 Mussolini

24 Taylor

21 Belahyane

16 Frattesi

10 Zaccagni

14 Noslin

11 Isaksen

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
35	C. Mandas	G
15	R. Floriani Mussolini	D
5	D. Doekhi	D
25	O. Provstgaard	D
17	Nuno Tavares	D
16	D. Frattesi	M
21	R. Belahyane	M
24	K. Taylor	M
11	G. Isaksen	F
14	T. Noslin	F
10	M. Zaccagni	F

Substitutes

37	J. Šutalo	D
63	F. Serra	F
47	D. Renzetti	G
28	A. Przyborek	M
9	A. Pinamonti	F
23	Pedraza	D
40	E. Motta	G
2	Diogo Leite	D
29	M. Lazzari	M
71	V. Farcomeni	M
7	F. Dele-Bashiru	M
32	D. Cataldi	M

Monza

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: I. Juric

1 Törnqvist

44 Carboni

3 Lucchesi

60 Kouadio

7 Mangas

14 Akinsanmiro

90 Folorunsho

19 Birindelli

22 Zeballos

16 Ngonge

9 Varela

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	N. Törnqvist	G
60	E. Kouadio	D
3	L. Lucchesi	D
44	A. Carboni	D
19	S. Birindelli	M
90	M. Folorunsho	M
14	E. Akinsanmiro	M
7	Ricardo Mangas	M
16	C. Ngonge	M
22	E. Zeballos	M
9	Gustavo Varela	F

Substitutes

21	L. Colombo	M
20	D. Thiam	G
28	A. Colpani	M
10	P. Cutrone	F
2	S. Goglichidze	D
5	Y. Maye	D
47	Dany Mota	F
80	M. Mout	M
8	M. Ondoa	M
46	Jay Robinson	F
43	A. Strajnar	G
24	A. Bakoune	D
6	V. Antov	D