Leeds vs Tottenham Предвидување

Premier League · Regular Season - 10

Post on X

Tottenham

Away

Elland Road, Leeds, West Yorkshire

AI предвидување Tottenham или реми

35%

29%

36%

Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Leeds против Tottenham: Sportiko проценува дека Leeds има 35% шанса за победа, Tottenham 36%, а реми 29%. Последно ажурирано 7 Nov 2026, 14:28.

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Гостите да постигнат гол 74%
Домаќинот да постигне гол 73%
1st Half Draw or Away 75%
Под 3.5 голови 72%

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Match Report

Leeds claimed a narrow but significant 1–0 victory over Tottenham at Elland Road, with the only goal arriving late in the second half. The first half was a tense, goalless affair disrupted by early bookings for Micky van de Ven and Sean Longstaff, while both sides made tactical substitutions around the break. Tottenham dominated possession and created the clearer opportunities throughout, finishing with 16 total shots to Leeds' five and an expected goals figure of 2.04 compared to just 0.36 for the hosts.

Despite that statistical dominance, it was Leeds who broke the deadlock when Noah Okafor struck in the 79th minute, only to receive a yellow card just moments later. Tottenham's afternoon was further complicated by Pedro Porro's dismissal — picking up his second booking shortly after the hour mark — which disrupted their shape during the crucial final stages.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Tottenham win as the most likely outcome at 36%, a call the final scoreline emphatically overturned. Leeds held firm to secure all three points in a result that defied the underlying numbers entirely.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 15'

M. van de Ven Yellow Card

Sean Longstaff Yellow Card

22' ▮

⇄ 43'

Mathys Tel ⇄ Dominic Solanke

Gabriel Gudmundsson ⇄ Melvin Bard

45' ⇄

HT 0–0

▮ 51'

Pedro Porro Yellow Card

▮ 51'

Yellow Card

⇄ 65'

Pedro Porro ⇄ Conor Gallagher

⇄ 65'

Omar Marmoush ⇄ D. Kulusevski

⇄ 65'

Mateus Fernandes ⇄ Rodrigo Bentancur

Ao Tanaka ⇄ Harry Wilson

77' ⇄

Lukas Nmecha ⇄ Noah Okafor

77' ⇄

Noah Okafor

79' ⚽ 1–0

Noah Okafor Yellow Card

80' ▮

⇄ 83'

Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani ⇄ Luca Williams-Barnett

▮ 88'

Sandro Tonali Yellow Card

Jayden Bogle ⇄ Joe Rodon

90+3' ⇄

Sean Longstaff ⇄ Ilia Gruev

90+3' ⇄

FT 1–0

Leeds

Match Stats

Tottenham

39% Ball Possession 61%

2.04 Expected Goals (xG) 0.36

16 Total Shots 5

4 Shots on Goal 3

8 Shots off Goal 2

4 Blocked Shots 0

11 Shots insidebox 3

5 Shots outsidebox 2

6 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 1

11 Fouls 15

2 Yellow Cards 3

0 Red Cards 0

3 Goalkeeper Saves 2

306 Total passes 506

243 Passes accurate 418

15 Free Kicks 10

Leeds

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Noah Okafor F	8.0	13'	1	–	1	3 (3%)	–
5 Tarik Muharemović D	7.6	90'	–	–	–	51 (41%)	1
1 James Trafford G	7.6	90'	–	–	–	28 (16%)	–
30 Nico Elvedi D	7.5	90'	–	–	1	27 (25%)	2
24 James Justin D	7.5	90'	–	–	–	30 (26%)	–
2 Jayden Bogle M	7.2	93'	–	–	3	16 (13%)	1
3 Gabriel Gudmundsson M	7.1	46'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	4
4 Ethan Ampadu M	7.0	90'	–	–	3	35 (32%)	3
9 Dominic Calvert-Lewin F	7.0	90'	–	–	3	18 (11%)	–
22 Ao Tanaka M	6.8	77'	–	–	2	27 (23%)	5
14 Lukas Nmecha M	6.6	77'	–	–	2	10 (7%)	1
26 Melvin Bard D	6.5	44'	–	–	–	20 (12%)	3
10 Harry Wilson F	6.5	13'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
8 Sean Longstaff M	6.4	93'	–	–	1	24 (21%)	2

Tottenham

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 J. van Hecke D	7.6	90'	–	–	1	70 (62%)	–
30 Rodrigo Bentancur M	7.2	25'	–	–	1	31 (30%)	3
14 Archie Gray M	7.1	90'	–	–	1	28 (27%)	1
8 Conor Gallagher M	6.8	25'	–	–	1	24 (19%)	2
3 Andy Robertson D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	59 (46%)	–
37 M. van de Ven D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	66 (63%)	–
68 Luca Williams-Barnett M	6.6	7'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
18 Mateus Fernandes M	6.5	65'	–	–	–	51 (45%)	1
21 D. Kulusevski M	6.5	25'	–	–	–	9 (6%)	3
31 Antonín Kinský G	6.4	90'	–	–	–	40 (23%)	–
20 Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani F	6.3	83'	–	–	1	25 (23%)	1
11 Mathys Tel F	6.3	43'	–	–	–	11 (10%)	–
22 Omar Marmoush F	6.2	65'	–	–	2	7 (6%)	1
19 Dominic Solanke F	6.1	47'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	–
16 Sandro Tonali M	5.8	90'	–	–	–	37 (26%)	1
23 Pedro Porro D	5.6	65'	–	–	–	40 (26%)	2

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Типови по твој избор

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Confidence Low (36%)

At a glance

Нашата анализа

Tottenham или реми

Most likely score

Both teams to score

Over 2.5 goals

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Leeds

WLDDL

Tottenham

LWWWD

Last 3 meetings Leeds · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League match, Leeds will face Tottenham. Leeds has shown resilience at home, with a solid defense that averages 1.2 goals conceded per match this season. Conversely, Tottenham boasts a potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals scored per game. The key battle will likely be between Leeds' defensive solidity and Tottenham's offensive firepower, making it essential for Leeds to maintain discipline at the back. Both teams will be eager to secure points, adding to the match's competitive edge.

Live insights

83' time check 80% sure

Min 83: Leeds leads 1-0. Win probability: 91%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 9%.

81' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 1-0! Leeds win probability: 88.9%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 23.4%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Still level at 0-0. Draw looking likely at 69.5%. Late goal chance: 33.8%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 0-0. Second half goals expected - Over 0.5 remaining: 72.4%. Over 1.5 remaining: 40.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

35%

10%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

36%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 3 gls

Tottenham

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Head to Head: Leeds vs Tottenham

0 Leeds Wins

1 Draws

2 Tottenham Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
11 May 2026	Tottenham	1 - 1	Leeds
04 Oct 2025	Leeds	1 - 2	Tottenham
28 May 2023	Leeds	1 - 4	Tottenham

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Leeds — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	H Tottenham	W	1 - 0
31 Oct	A Bournemouth	L	2 - 0
25 Oct	A Sunderland	D	0 - 0
18 Oct	H Manchester United	D	1 - 1
10 Oct	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1

Tottenham — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Nov	A Leeds	L	1 - 0
31 Oct	H Crystal Palace	W	2 - 0
24 Oct	A Chelsea	W	0 - 2
19 Oct	H Coventry	W	3 - 1
10 Oct	A Manchester United	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	10	9	0	1	15	5	+10	27
2	Manchester City	10	7	0	3	21	13	+8	21
3	Brighton	9	6	1	2	24	7	+17	19
4	Chelsea	9	5	1	3	19	15	+4	16
5	Everton	10	4	4	2	12	10	+2	16
6	Liverpool	9	4	3	2	11	9	+2	15
7	Brentford	9	3	5	1	16	9	+7	14
8	Leeds	10	3	5	2	10	8	+2	14
9	Bournemouth	9	3	3	3	14	13	+1	12
10	Tottenham	10	3	3	4	10	11	-1	12
11	Newcastle	10	3	3	4	13	16	-3	12
12	Aston Villa	9	3	3	3	10	13	-3	12
13	Hull City	10	2	5	3	11	11	0	11
14	Ipswich	9	3	2	4	14	18	-4	11
15	Fulham	10	2	4	4	10	12	-2	10
16	Nottingham Forest	10	2	3	5	9	13	-4	9
17	Coventry	10	3	0	7	10	19	-9	9
18	Manchester United	9	1	4	4	10	15	-5	7
19	Crystal Palace	9	2	1	6	9	21	-12	7
20	Sunderland	9	1	2	6	7	17	-10	5