Manchester City vs Brighton Предвидување

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 9
FT
Post on X
Etihad Stadium, Manchester
AI предвидување Тежок победник или реми за Manchester City
56%
23%
21%
Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Manchester City против Brighton: Sportiko проценува дека Manchester City има 56% шанса за победа, Brighton 21%, а реми 23%. Последно ажурирано 31 Oct 2026, 16:54.

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Match Report

Brighton claimed a famous victory at the Etihad Stadium, beating Manchester City 1–0 to register what will surely rank among their standout Premier League results. Yasin Ayari struck early, converting in the 11th minute to give the visitors a lead they would carry into the break and ultimately protect for the full 90.

City dominated the statistical landscape throughout, finishing with 62% possession, seven corners, and 20 total shots to Brighton's seven, but their xG of 1.98 ultimately counted for nothing as they failed to convert any of their five shots on target. Brighton's defensive resilience was tested repeatedly in the second half, with Pep Guardiola's side throwing on Enzo Fernández, Iliman Ndiaye, and Joško Gvardiol among others in search of an equaliser that never came.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Manchester City win as the most likely outcome at 56%, a call that Brighton emphatically disproved. The result leaves City with questions to answer about their cutting edge, while Fabian Hürzeler's side take three well-earned points from one of English football's toughest venues.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 11'
Yasin Ayari assist: Maxim De Cuyper
▮ 20'
Chema Andrés Yellow Card
HT 0–1
▮ 49'
Maxim De Cuyper Yellow Card
Ayyoub Bouaddi ⇄ Rayan Cherki
55' ⇄
⇄ 64'
Olivier Boscagli ⇄ Jaouen Hadjam
⇄ 64'
Chema Andrés ⇄ M. Wieffer
Enzo Fernández ⇄ Nico O'Reilly
64' ⇄
⇄ 72'
Maxim De Cuyper ⇄ Malick Yalcouyé
⇄ 72'
Charalampos Kostoulas ⇄ Jack Hinshelwood
Iliman Ndiaye ⇄ Allan
79' ⇄
Joško Gvardiol ⇄ Phil Foden
79' ⇄
▮ 81'
Pascal Groß Yellow Card
⇄ 84'
Diego Gómez ⇄ Georginio Rutter
FT 0–1
Manchester City

Match Stats

Brighton
62% Ball Possession 38%
1.98 Expected Goals (xG) 1.02
20 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Goal 3
8 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 1
18 Shots insidebox 6
2 Shots outsidebox 1
7 Corner Kicks 2
2 Offsides 2
9 Fouls 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
0 Red Cards 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
593 Total passes 360
500 Passes accurate 278
12 Free Kicks 9
Manchester City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
5 Elliot Anderson M 7.2 90' – – – 60 (52%) 4
45 Abdukodir Khusanov D 7.0 90' – – 1 92 (86%) 1
27 Matheus Nunes D 6.9 90' – – 1 30 (26%) 1
1 Gianluigi Donnarumma G 6.9 90' – – – 40 (33%) –
7 Iliman Ndiaye F 6.8 79' – – 4 36 (31%) 1
11 Jérémy Doku F 6.7 90' – – 2 28 (22%) 3
33 Nico O'Reilly D 6.6 26' – – 2 16 (13%) 2
24 Joško Gvardiol D 6.5 79' – – 1 68 (53%) 2
37 Allan F 6.5 11' – – 1 11 (9%) 1
10 Rayan Cherki M 6.4 35' – – 2 30 (25%) –
3 Rúben Dias D 6.4 90' – – – 98 (83%) 1
9 Erling Haaland F 6.3 90' – – 4 13 (7%) –
17 Enzo Fernández M 6.3 64' – – 2 32 (25%) –
47 Phil Foden M 6.3 11' – – – 3 (3%) –
32 Ayyoub Bouaddi M 6.1 55' – – – 23 (20%) –
Brighton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
1 B. Verbruggen G 8.7 90' – – – 44 (34%) –
26 Yasin Ayari M 8.0 90' 1 – 1 23 (16%) 2
5 Lewis Dunk D 7.6 90' – – – 51 (49%) –
44 Luka Vušković D 7.4 90' – – – 42 (36%) –
29 Maxim De Cuyper M 7.2 72' – 1 2 22 (14%) 2
35 Malick Yalcouyé M 7.1 18' – – – 4 (3%) 2
3 Jaouen Hadjam D 7.0 26' – – – 6 (4%) –
21 Olivier Boscagli D 6.9 64' – – – 28 (20%) –
27 M. Wieffer M 6.8 26' – – – 7 (6%) –
10 Georginio Rutter F 6.8 6' – – 1 4 (2%) –
13 Pascal Groß M 6.7 90' – – – 24 (21%) 1
20 Costinha D 6.7 90' – – – 24 (17%) 3
8 Jack Hinshelwood M 6.6 18' – – 1 3 (1%) –
14 Chema Andrés M 6.5 64' – – – 30 (23%) 5
19 Charalampos Kostoulas F 6.5 72' – – – 18 (13%) 1
25 Diego Gómez M 6.3 84' – – 2 29 (18%) 2
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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Нашата анализа
Тежок победник или реми за Manchester City
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Manchester City
LWLDL
Brighton
WWWDL
Last 3 meetings Manchester City · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Manchester City will face Brighton. City boasts a robust attacking record, averaging 2.4 goals per game this season, largely due to their high possession stats and incisive passing. Brighton has shown resilience, with a solid defensive structure, allowing only 1.2 goals per game. However, their away form has been inconsistent, which could be a disadvantage against a City side known for dominating at home. The match will be a test of Brighton’s ability to absorb pressure while exploiting counter-attacking opportunities.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
56%
10%
Draw
23%
45%
Away
21%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Manchester City
E. Haaland 9 gls
R. Cherki 4 gls
Brighton
C. Kostoulas 3 gls
Y. Ayari 3 gls
J. Hinshelwood 3 gls

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Head to Head: Manchester City vs Brighton

0 Manchester City Wins
2 Draws
1 Brighton Wins
Date Home Score Away
28 Oct 2026 Manchester City 2 - 2 Brighton
07 Jan 2026 Manchester City 1 - 1 Brighton
31 Aug 2025 Brighton 2 - 1 Manchester City
Види ги сите 10 средби — Premium

Manchester City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Nottingham Forest L 3 - 1
04 Nov A RB Leipzig W 2 - 3
31 Oct H Brighton L 0 - 1
28 Oct H Brighton D 2 - 2
24 Oct A Aston Villa L 2 - 1

Brighton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
08 Nov H Brentford W 1 - 0
05 Nov A Getafe W 0 - 1
31 Oct A Manchester City W 0 - 1
28 Oct A Manchester City D 2 - 2
25 Oct A Liverpool L 2 - 0

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 +17 19
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 +4 16
5
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
6
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 +2 15
7
Brentford
9 3 5 1 +7 14
8
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
9
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 +1 12
10
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
12
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 -4 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 -12 7
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 -10 5

Manchester City

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: E. Maresca
1 Donnarumma
24 Gvardiol
3 Dias
45 Khusanov
27 Nunes
17 Fernández
5 Anderson
32 Bouaddi
11 Doku
9 Haaland
7 Ndiaye

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 G. Donnarumma G
27 Matheus Nunes D
45 A. Khusanov D
3 Rúben Dias D
24 J. Gvardiol D
32 A. Bouaddi M
5 E. Anderson M
17 E. Fernández M
7 I. Ndiaye F
9 E. Haaland F
11 J. Doku F

Substitutes

8 M. Kovačić M
10 R. Cherki M
47 P. Foden M
37 Allan F
28 G. Rulli G
6 M. Guéhi D
22 Vitor Nunes D
33 N. O'Reilly D
82 R. Lewis D

Brighton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: F. Hürzeler
1 Verbruggen
21 Boscagli
5 Dunk
44 Vušković
20 Costinha
14 Baixauli
13 Groß
29 Cuyper
26 Ayari
25 Gómez
19 Kostoulas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 B. Verbruggen G
20 Costinha D
44 L. Vušković D
5 L. Dunk D
21 O. Boscagli D
13 P. Groß M
14 José María Andrés Baixauli M
25 D. Gómez M
26 Y. Ayari M
29 M. De Cuyper M
19 C. Kostoulas F

Substitutes

3 J. Hadjam D
27 M. Wieffer M
30 M. Svoboda D
8 J. Hinshelwood M
10 G. Rutter F
11 Y. Minteh F
33 M. O'Riley M
23 J. Steele G
35 M. Yalcouyé M

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