Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints Предвидување

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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The New Saints

Away

AI предвидување Flora Tallinn или реми

45%

28%

26%

Победа на домаќинот Нерешено Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Flora Tallinn против The New Saints: Sportiko проценува дека Flora Tallinn има 45% шанса за победа, The New Saints 26%, а реми 28%. Последно ажурирано 23 Jul 2026, 17:51.

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Match Report

Flora Tallinn secured a narrow 1–0 victory over The New Saints in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round, with the decisive moment arriving in the 31st minute when the Estonian side converted to take a lead they would not relinquish. The scoreline remained unchanged at half-time, giving Flora a platform to defend and manage the remainder of the contest.

The New Saints attempted to respond after the break, introducing R. Brobbel, J. Williams, and D. Corness in the 61st minute as part of a triple substitution aimed at changing the game's momentum. Flora made their own adjustments shortly after, but the Welsh side were unable to find an equaliser, with D. Williams picking up a yellow card deep into stoppage time as frustration set in.

Flora Tallinn's disciplined defensive display proved the difference, as they kept a clean sheet to advance with a one-goal advantage. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Flora win as the most likely outcome at 45%, a call that proved correct on the night.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

31' ⚽ 1–0

HT 1–0

⇄ 61'

R. Brobbel ⇄ B. Clark

⇄ 61'

J. Williams

⇄ 61'

D. Corness

64' ⇄

69' ⇄

73' ⇄

▮ 90+1'

D. Williams Yellow Card

FT 1–0

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Confidence Low (45%)

At a glance

Нашата анализа

Flora Tallinn или реми

Most likely score

1:0 · 15.9%

Both teams to score

39%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Flora Tallinn

WWDWW

The New Saints

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Last 1 meetings Flora Tallinn · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League match between Flora Tallinn and The New Saints, both teams will look to capitalize on their respective strengths. Flora Tallinn has a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.9 goals per match in the league season leading up to this fixture. Conversely, The New Saints have been prolific in attack, averaging 2.1 goals per game. Key players to watch include Flora’s top scorer, who has netted 15 goals this season, and The New Saints' creative midfielder, contributing significantly to their goal tally. The outcome may hinge on Flora's ability to contain The New Saints' offensive prowess while exploiting any defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

The New Saints goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	14	7	3	1
1	16	14	4	1
2	12	8	3	1
3	6	4	1
4	2	1
5	1

↑ Flora Tallinn goals · most likely 1–0 (15.9%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

45%

Draw

28%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

75% Home (No Draw) 25% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 5% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

94%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS No 39% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

23%

29%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.2%	7.2%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
1	15.9%	13.6%	4.2%	1.0%	0.2%
2	12.1%	8.3%	2.9%	0.7%	0.1%
3	5.5%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.9%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

73%

1.5

27%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

38%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Flora Tallinn	Draw	The New Saints
Flora Tallinn	30.8%	2.9%	0.5%
Draw	20.3%	21.7%	6.4%
The New Saints	2.1%	4.3%	11.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

69%

0.5

31%

95%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Flora Tallinn vs The New Saints

0 Flora Tallinn Wins

0 Draws

1 The New Saints Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	The New Saints	1 - 0	Flora Tallinn

Flora Tallinn — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Vaprus	W	3 - 2
12 Sep	A Nõmme United	W	2 - 3
08 Sep	A Trans Narva	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Kalju Nomme	W	2 - 1
02 Sep	H Tammeka	W	3 - 2

The New Saints — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Llandudno	W	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Flint Town United	W	5 - 0
11 Sep	A Airbus UK	W	0 - 2
05 Sep	H Barry Town	W	1 - 0
31 Aug	A Caernarfon Town	W	2 - 3

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

The New Saints

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Craig Harrison

1 Shepperd

10 Redmond

6 Bodenham

16 Simeu

22 Davies

4 Corness

14 Williams

21 Smith

20 Hughes

17 Williams

8 Brobbel

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Nathan Shepperd	G
22	Danny Davies	D
16	Dynel Simeu	D
6	Jack Bodenham	D
10	Daniel Redmond	M
21	Leo Smith	M
14	Daniel Williams	D
4	Dominic Corness	M
8	Ryan Brobbel	M
17	Jordan Williams	F
20	Rhys Hughes	M

Substitutes

15	Eoin Farrell	M
18	Rory Holden	M
19	Ben Clark	M
30	Jack Edwards	G
2	Jacob Owen	D
12	Harvey Godsmark-Ford	D
23	Zach Nolan	D
31	Ben Woollam	D
34	Joshua Lock	M
37	Isaac Jefferies	M
7	Daniel Barton	F
26	Louis Phillips	F

Flora Tallinn

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Konstantin Vasiliev

33 Grünvald

26 Tovstik

3 Kollo

23 Kolobov

7 Kuraksin

14 Varjund

32 Kreida

18 Valdmets

29 Alamaa

11 Sappinen

20 Zenjov

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
33	Evert Grünvald	G
7	Danil Kuraksin	M
23	Mihhail Kolobov	D
3	Airon Kollo	D
26	Sander Tovstik	D
18	Remo Valdmets	M
32	Vladislav Kreida	M
14	Tony Varjund	M
20	Sergei Zenjov	M
11	Rauno Sappinen	F
29	Sander Alamaa	M

Substitutes

17	Taaniel Usta	F
9	Rauno Alliku	M
67	Ilja Antonov	M
22	Andero Tatrik	G
99	Kaur Kivila	G
6	Robert Veering	D
24	Oscar Pihela	D
53	Ronald Sammul	D
8	Tristan Toomas Teeväli	M
51	Marten Kukkonen	M
89	Maksim Kalimullin	M