Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Round of 16

Post on X

Sparta Praha

Home

0 : 4

HT 0 - 1

1st leg 1-2 · Aggregate 1-6

AZ Alkmaar

Away

AI call Sparta Praha or draw

44%

25%

30%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar prediction: Sportiko gives Sparta Praha a 44% chance of winning, AZ Alkmaar 30% and the draw 25%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (56%)

At a glance

Our lean

Sparta Praha or draw

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Sparta Praha

WWWWL

AZ Alkmaar

WLDWW

Last 1 meetings Sparta Praha · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League match, Sparta Praha hosts AZ Alkmaar, both teams looking to assert their dominance in Group play. Sparta Praha, known for their strong home advantage, has a solid record at Letná Stadium, having won 70% of their home fixtures this season. Meanwhile, AZ Alkmaar has shown resilience in away matches, holding a 60% win rate on the road. Key players to watch include Sparta's top scorer, who has netted 10 goals this season, and AZ's creative midfielder, contributing significantly to their attacking plays. The match is poised to be tightly contested, with both teams vying for crucial points to advance in the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

44%

10%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

30%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AZ Alkmaar goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7	8	5	2	1
1	10	12	7	3	1
2	8	9	6	2	1
3	4	5	3	1
4	1	2	1
5		1

↑ Sparta Praha goals · most likely 1–1 (12.1%)

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Players in form

Sparta Praha

No scorer data.

AZ Alkmaar

T. Parrott 10 gls

S. Mijnans 7 gls

I. Jensen 5 gls

I. Sadiq 4 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Sparta Praha vs AZ Alkmaar

0 Sparta Praha Wins

0 Draws

1 AZ Alkmaar Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Mar 2026	AZ Alkmaar	2 - 1	Sparta Praha

Sparta Praha — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Sigma Olomouc	W	0 - 3
16 Sep	A Ararat-Armenia	W	1 - 4
12 Sep	H FK Jablonec	W	2 - 0
09 Sep	A Viktoria Žižkov	W	0 - 5
06 Sep	A Hradec Králové	L	2 - 1

AZ Alkmaar — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Telstar	W	1 - 0
16 Sep	A Sunderland	L	1 - 0
11 Sep	H Willem II	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	A Heerenveen	W	2 - 3
29 Aug	H GO Ahead Eagles	W	5 - 2

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	5	1	0	11	5	+6	16
2	Raków Częstochowa	6	4	2	0	9	2	+7	14
3	AEK Athens FC	6	4	1	1	14	7	+7	13
4	Sparta Praha	6	4	1	1	10	3	+7	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13	7	+6	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	4	1	1	10	5	+5	13
7	FSV Mainz 05	6	4	1	1	7	3	+4	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	3	3	0	7	1	+6	12
9	Lausanne	6	3	2	1	6	3	+3	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	11	6	+5	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	12	8	+4	10
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10	6	+4	10
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	8	7	+1	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	1	2	7	7	0	10
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	8	5	+3	9
16	HNK Rijeka	6	2	3	1	5	2	+3	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	5	4	+1	9
18	Omonia Nicosia	6	2	2	2	5	4	+1	8
19	FC Noah	6	2	2	2	6	7	-1	8
20	Drita	6	2	2	2	4	8	-4	8
21	KuPS	6	1	4	1	6	5	+1	7
22	Shkendija	6	2	1	3	4	5	-1	7
23	Zrinjski	6	2	1	3	8	10	-2	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7
25	Universitatea Craiova	6	2	1	3	6	8	-2	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC	6	2	1	3	7	15	-8	7
27	Dynamo Kyiv	6	2	0	4	9	9	0	6
28	Legia Warszawa	6	2	0	4	8	8	0	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6
30	Breidablik	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	1	1	4	7	13	-6	4
32	BK Hacken	6	0	3	3	5	8	-3	3
33	Hamrun Spartans	6	1	0	5	4	11	-7	3
34	Shelbourne	6	0	2	4	0	7	-7	2
35	Aberdeen	6	0	2	4	3	14	-11	2
36	Rapid Vienna	6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.