FSV Mainz 05 vs Sigma Olomouc Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · Round of 16

Post on X

FSV Mainz 05

Home

2 : 0

HT 0 - 0

1st leg 0-0 · Aggregate 2-0

Sigma Olomouc

Away

AI call Difficult FSV Mainz 05 win or draw

61%

28%

11%

Home Win Draw Away Win

FSV Mainz 05 vs Sigma Olomouc prediction: Sportiko gives FSV Mainz 05 a 61% chance of winning, Sigma Olomouc 11% and the draw 28%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:15.

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult FSV Mainz 05 win or draw

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FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW

Sigma Olomouc

LWDWL

Last 1 meetings FSV Mainz 05 · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

FSV Mainz 05 will host Sigma Olomouc in the UEFA Europa Conference League, with both teams seeking to assert their dominance in the group stage. Mainz, competing in Bundesliga, has shown a solid home record, winning 60% of their matches this season. Sigma Olomouc, a Czech side, typically struggles in away fixtures, evidenced by a win rate of just 33% on the road in their domestic league. The match will likely hinge on Mainz's ability to capitalize on home advantage and Olomouc's defensive resilience. Key players to watch include Mainz's top scorer, who has netted 8 goals this season, against Olomouc's goalkeeper, known for crucial saves in tight matches. Overall, Mainz appears favored to secure a victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

61%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

11%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Sigma Olomouc goals →

	0	1	2
0	17	7	1
1	23	10	2
2	16	7	1
3	7	3	1
4	2	1
5	1

↑ FSV Mainz 05 goals · most likely 1–0 (23.0%)

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Head to Head: FSV Mainz 05 vs Sigma Olomouc

0 FSV Mainz 05 Wins

1 Draws

0 Sigma Olomouc Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Mar 2026	Sigma Olomouc	0 - 0	FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	H Eintracht Frankfurt	L	1 - 3
06 Sep	A Hamburger SV	W	0 - 5
29 Aug	H SC Paderborn 07	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Krieschow	W	0 - 9

Sigma Olomouc — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Sparta Praha	L	0 - 3
13 Sep	A Plzen	W	2 - 3
09 Sep	A Prostějov	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Bohemians 1905	W	3 - 0
29 Aug	A Baník Ostrava	L	1 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Strasbourg	6	5	1	0	11	5	+6	16
2	Raków Częstochowa	6	4	2	0	9	2	+7	14
3	AEK Athens FC	6	4	1	1	14	7	+7	13
4	Sparta Praha	6	4	1	1	10	3	+7	13
5	Rayo Vallecano	6	4	1	1	13	7	+6	13
6	Shakhtar Donetsk	6	4	1	1	10	5	+5	13
7	FSV Mainz 05	6	4	1	1	7	3	+4	13
8	AEK Larnaca	6	3	3	0	7	1	+6	12
9	Lausanne	6	3	2	1	6	3	+3	11
10	Crystal Palace	6	3	1	2	11	6	+5	10
11	Lech Poznan	6	3	1	2	12	8	+4	10
12	Samsunspor	6	3	1	2	10	6	+4	10
13	Celje	6	3	1	2	8	7	+1	10
14	AZ Alkmaar	6	3	1	2	7	7	0	10
15	Fiorentina	6	3	0	3	8	5	+3	9
16	HNK Rijeka	6	2	3	1	5	2	+3	9
17	Jagiellonia	6	2	3	1	5	4	+1	9
18	Omonia Nicosia	6	2	2	2	5	4	+1	8
19	FC Noah	6	2	2	2	6	7	-1	8
20	Drita	6	2	2	2	4	8	-4	8
21	KuPS	6	1	4	1	6	5	+1	7
22	Shkendija	6	2	1	3	4	5	-1	7
23	Zrinjski	6	2	1	3	8	10	-2	7
24	Sigma Olomouc	6	2	1	3	7	9	-2	7
25	Universitatea Craiova	6	2	1	3	6	8	-2	7
26	Lincoln Red Imps FC	6	2	1	3	7	15	-8	7
27	Dynamo Kyiv	6	2	0	4	9	9	0	6
28	Legia Warszawa	6	2	0	4	8	8	0	6
29	Slovan Bratislava	6	2	0	4	5	9	-4	6
30	Breidablik	6	1	2	3	6	11	-5	5
31	Shamrock Rovers	6	1	1	4	7	13	-6	4
32	BK Hacken	6	0	3	3	5	8	-3	3
33	Hamrun Spartans	6	1	0	5	4	11	-7	3
34	Shelbourne	6	0	2	4	0	7	-7	2
35	Aberdeen	6	0	2	4	3	14	-11	2
36	Rapid Vienna	6	0	1	5	3	14	-11	1

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.