Liverpool vs Brentford Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 38

Post on X

Brentford

Away

Anfield, Liverpool

AI call Difficult Liverpool win or draw

54%

25%

21%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Liverpool vs Brentford prediction: Sportiko gives Liverpool a 54% chance of winning, Brentford 21% and the draw 25%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Liverpool were held to a frustrating 1–1 draw by Brentford at Anfield on the final day of the Premier League season, despite dominating possession and creating far more chances throughout the contest. The first half ended goalless before the hosts finally broke the deadlock through Curtis Jones on 58 minutes, only for Brentford to level almost immediately when Kevin Schade equalised in the 64th minute to silence the home crowd.

Liverpool's statistical superiority was considerable — 60% possession, 14 corner kicks, 24 total shots, and an expected goals figure of 3.04 compared to Brentford's 1.56 — yet they could not find a winner despite a flurry of late substitutions including Mohamed Salah and Andy Robertson. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Liverpool win as the most likely outcome at 54%, and while the performance reflected that favouritism, the result ultimately did not. A tense finale saw five yellow cards distributed across both sides in the closing minutes, with Ibrahima Konaté receiving his booking before being substituted off, adding to a fractious end to proceedings.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

▮ 0'

Jordan Henderson Yellow Card

HT 0–0

Curtis Jones assist: Mohamed Salah

58' ⚽ 1–0

⇄ 60'

Jordan Henderson ⇄ Aaron Hickey

⚽ 1–1 64'

Kevin Schade

Rio Ngumoha ⇄ Florian Wirtz

73' ⇄

Mohamed Salah ⇄ Jeremie Frimpong

74' ⇄

Ibrahima Konaté Yellow Card

79' ▮

Andy Robertson ⇄ Miloš Kerkez

83' ⇄

R. Gravenberch ⇄ Trey Nyoni

83' ⇄

⇄ 83'

Mathias Jensen ⇄ Mikkel Damsgaard

Ibrahima Konaté ⇄ Joe Gomez

89' ⇄

⇄ 89'

Keane Lewis-Potter ⇄ Reiss Nelson

Alexis Mac Allister Yellow Card

90+2' ▮

▮ 90+3'

Vitaly Janelt Yellow Card

▮ 90+5'

Nathan Collins Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Liverpool

Match Stats

Brentford

60% Ball Possession 40%

3.04 Expected Goals (xG) 1.56

24 Total Shots 11

8 Shots on Goal 2

8 Shots off Goal 6

8 Blocked Shots 3

17 Shots insidebox 9

7 Shots outsidebox 2

14 Corner Kicks 2

1 Offsides 0

9 Fouls 9

2 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 7

508 Total passes 333

438 Passes accurate 262

86% Passes % 79%

1.68 goals_prevented 1.68

Liverpool

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
11 Mohamed Salah M	8.2	74'	–	1	3	38 (32%)	1
4 V. van Dijk D	7.9	90'	–	–	1	63 (54%)	–
17 Curtis Jones D	7.9	90'	1	–	1	64 (58%)	1
8 Dominik Szoboszlai M	7.3	90'	–	–	2	60 (55%)	3
1 Alisson G	6.9	90'	–	–	–	30 (19%)	–
5 Ibrahima Konaté D	6.9	89'	–	–	2	60 (54%)	1
10 Alexis Mac Allister M	6.7	90'	–	–	2	39 (33%)	3
2 Joe Gomez D	6.7	12'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
42 Trey Nyoni M	6.7	18'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	1
26 Andy Robertson D	6.6	83'	–	–	–	44 (36%)	–
38 R. Gravenberch M	6.6	83'	–	–	2	33 (28%)	3
30 Jeremie Frimpong D	6.6	16'	–	–	–	14 (13%)	–
6 Miloš Kerkez D	6.6	18'	–	–	–	4 (4%)	–
7 Florian Wirtz M	6.3	17'	–	–	2	13 (12%)	1
18 C. Gakpo F	6.3	90'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	–
73 Rio Ngumoha M	6.3	73'	–	–	1	16 (15%)	1

Brentford

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Caoimhin Kelleher G	8.0	90'	–	–	–	37 (19%)	–
33 Michael Kayode D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	16 (13%)	3
23 Keane Lewis-Potter D	7.3	89'	–	–	–	30 (21%)	2
22 Nathan Collins D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	48 (37%)	3
24 Mikkel Damsgaard M	7.2	18'	–	–	–	14 (12%)	–
27 Vitaly Janelt M	7.2	90'	–	–	–	38 (37%)	3
8 Mathias Jensen M	7.0	83'	–	–	1	30 (26%)	1
7 Kevin Schade M	6.9	90'	1	–	3	15 (10%)	1
6 Jordan Henderson M	6.7	60'	–	–	–	35 (30%)	1
2 Aaron Hickey D	6.6	30'	–	–	–	9 (9%)	1
4 Sepp van den Berg D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	29 (26%)	3
9 Igor Thiago F	6.5	90'	–	–	1	15 (11%)	2
11 Reiss Nelson F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
19 Dango Ouattara M	5.9	90'	–	–	3	14 (9%)	1

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Our lean

Difficult Liverpool win or draw

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Liverpool

LWWDL

Brentford

DDLWL

Last 3 meetings Liverpool · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on May 24, 2026, Liverpool hosts Brentford at Anfield. Liverpool, known for their attacking prowess, boasts a formidable home record, having secured 73% of their points at home this season. They are expected to dominate possession, likely exceeding their average of 60% in home matches. Brentford, while solid defensively with a low xGA (expected goals against), may struggle against Liverpool's relentless pressing and pace. Historical data shows Liverpool has won 75% of their past encounters at home against Brentford, which suggests a strong advantage for the hosts. Overall, Liverpool's offensive capabilities could prove too much for Brentford, making them favorites in this matchup.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Brentford goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	7	3	1
1	13	12	5	2
2	10	10	4	1
3	6	5	2	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Liverpool goals · most likely 1–0 (12.9%)

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Head to Head: Liverpool vs Brentford

2 Liverpool Wins

0 Draws

1 Brentford Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Oct 2025	Brentford	3 - 2	Liverpool
18 Jan 2025	Brentford	0 - 2	Liverpool
25 Aug 2024	Liverpool	2 - 0	Brentford

See all 9 meetings — Premium

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
02 Aug	H Leeds	L	2 - 4
29 Jul	H Wrexham	W	1 - 0
25 Jul	H Sunderland	W	4 - 2
24 May	H Brentford	D	1 - 1
15 May	A Aston Villa	L	4 - 2

Brentford — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 May	A Liverpool	D	1 - 1
17 May	H Crystal Palace	D	2 - 2
09 May	A Manchester City	L	3 - 0
02 May	H West Ham	W	3 - 0
27 Apr	A Manchester United	L	2 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0