Brentford vs Crystal Palace Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 37

Post on X

Crystal Palace

Away

Gtech Community Stadium, Brentford, Middlesex

AI call Brentford or draw

40%

29%

32%

Home Win Draw Away Win

Brentford vs Crystal Palace prediction: Sportiko gives Brentford a 40% chance of winning, Crystal Palace 32% and the draw 29%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Brentford and Crystal Palace shared the spoils in a lively 2–2 draw at the Gtech Community Stadium. Palace made an early impact when a VAR-confirmed penalty was converted by Ismaïla Sarr in the sixth minute, giving the visitors a quick advantage. Brentford levelled before half-time through Dango Ouattara's 40th-minute strike, ensuring the teams went in level at the break.

Crystal Palace restored their lead shortly after the restart, with Adam Wharton finding the net on 52 minutes. Brentford pushed for an equaliser and were rewarded late on when Ouattara struck again in the 88th minute to earn his side a point. The expected goals figures were remarkably even at 1.72 to 1.71, reflecting how closely contested the encounter was throughout, despite Palace enjoying 58% of possession and earning nine corner kicks to Brentford's four.

A flurry of late yellow cards — shown to Chris Richards, Jefferson Lerma, Michael Kayode, and Dean Henderson — added tension to the closing stages. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Brentford win as the most likely outcome at 40%, a call that ultimately fell just short as neither side managed to claim all three points.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

🖵 4'

Ismaïla Sarr Penalty confirmed

⚽ 0–1 6'

Ismaïla Sarr Penalty

Dango Ouattara

40' ⚽ 1–1

HT 1–1

⇄ 46'

Yéremy Pino ⇄ Brennan Johnson

⚽ 1–2 52'

Adam Wharton assist: Daniel Muñoz

⇄ 61'

Jørgen Strand Larsen ⇄ Jean-Philippe Mateta

⇄ 61'

Maxence Lacroix ⇄ Chris Richards

Vitaly Janelt ⇄ Jordan Henderson

63' ⇄

Mathias Jensen ⇄ Kevin Schade

63' ⇄

⇄ 74'

Chadi Riad ⇄ Jefferson Lerma

Kristoffer Ajer ⇄ Sepp van den Berg

82' ⇄

▮ 83'

Chris Richards Yellow Card

Dango Ouattara assist: Sepp van den Berg

88' ⚽ 2–2

▮ 89'

Jefferson Lerma Yellow Card

Yehor Yarmolyuk ⇄ Josh Dasilva

89' ⇄

⇄ 90+3'

Ismaïla Sarr ⇄ Evann Guessand

Michael Kayode Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

▮ 90+5'

Dean Henderson Yellow Card

FT 2–2

Brentford

Match Stats

Crystal Palace

58% Ball Possession 42%

1.71 Expected Goals (xG) 1.72

14 Total Shots 16

3 Shots on Goal 5

8 Shots off Goal 5

3 Blocked Shots 6

11 Shots insidebox 10

3 Shots outsidebox 6

9 Corner Kicks 4

2 Offsides 1

7 Fouls 5

1 Yellow Cards 3

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 1

467 Total passes 344

372 Passes accurate 229

80% Passes % 67%

0.17 goals_prevented 0.17

Brentford

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
19 Dango Ouattara M	8.3	90'	2	–	5	15 (9%)	–
4 Sepp van den Berg D	8.0	8'	–	1	1	9 (9%)	1
24 Mikkel Damsgaard M	7.5	90'	–	–	1	49 (30%)	1
18 Yehor Yarmolyuk M	7.3	89'	–	–	–	72 (63%)	2
22 Nathan Collins D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	55 (47%)	–
6 Jordan Henderson M	7.0	27'	–	–	–	26 (22%)	–
27 Vitaly Janelt M	6.6	63'	–	–	–	31 (29%)	–
7 Kevin Schade M	6.5	27'	–	–	1	3 (1%)	–
33 Michael Kayode D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	38 (33%)	–
10 Josh Dasilva M	6.3	13'	–	–	1	3 (2%)	–
9 Igor Thiago F	6.2	90'	–	–	1	19 (10%)	–
20 Kristoffer Ajer D	6.2	82'	–	–	–	48 (42%)	1
23 Keane Lewis-Potter D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	34 (28%)	–
8 Mathias Jensen M	6.2	63'	–	–	–	30 (21%)	–
1 Caoimhin Kelleher G	5.6	90'	–	–	–	35 (26%)	–

Crystal Palace

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Adam Wharton M	8.2	90'	1	–	3	42 (33%)	2
3 Tyrick Mitchell M	7.5	90'	–	–	–	38 (25%)	4
2 Daniel Muñoz M	7.2	90'	–	1	2	28 (24%)	3
10 Yéremy Pino F	6.9	45'	–	–	–	19 (13%)	1
5 Maxence Lacroix D	6.9	61'	–	–	–	22 (18%)	1
7 Ismaïla Sarr F	6.9	89'	1	–	2	19 (13%)	–
8 Jefferson Lerma M	6.9	16'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
18 Daichi Kamada M	6.9	90'	–	–	–	38 (30%)	4
23 Jaydee Canvot D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	25 (20%)	2
29 Evann Guessand F	6.6	9'	–	–	–	2 (2%)	–
14 Jean-Philippe Mateta F	6.5	29'	–	–	–	4	–
1 Dean Henderson G	6.3	90'	–	–	–	40 (9%)	–
11 Brennan Johnson F	6.3	45'	–	–	–	12 (7%)	1
26 Chris Richards D	6.2	29'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–
34 Chadi Riad D	5.9	74'	–	–	1	27 (17%)	–
22 Jørgen Strand Larsen F	5.9	61'	–	–	2	19 (11%)	–

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Confidence Medium (58%)

At a glance

Our lean

Brentford or draw

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Brentford

DDLWL

Crystal Palace

LLDDL

Last 3 meetings Brentford · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash on May 17, 2026, Brentford hosts Crystal Palace in what promises to be a competitive encounter. Brentford has shown solid home form, with a 60% win rate at the Gtech Community Stadium this season, bolstered by a potent attack averaging 1.8 goals per game. Conversely, Crystal Palace has struggled away, recording only 25% of their points on the road, highlighting their reliance on home advantage. Key players to watch include Brentford’s Ivan Toney, who leads in goals scored, and Palace’s Eberechi Eze, a playmaker capable of turning games. Both teams will be keen to secure points as they look to solidify their mid-table standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Crystal Palace goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	11	6	2	1
1	13	13	7	2	1
2	8	8	4	1
3	3	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Brentford goals · most likely 1–1 (13.3%)

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Head to Head: Brentford vs Crystal Palace

2 Brentford Wins

0 Draws

1 Crystal Palace Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
01 Nov 2025	Crystal Palace	2 - 0	Brentford
26 Jan 2025	Crystal Palace	1 - 2	Brentford
18 Aug 2024	Brentford	2 - 1	Crystal Palace

See all 9 meetings — Premium

Brentford — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 May	A Liverpool	D	1 - 1
17 May	H Crystal Palace	D	2 - 2
09 May	A Manchester City	L	3 - 0
02 May	H West Ham	W	3 - 0
27 Apr	A Manchester United	L	2 - 1

Crystal Palace — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
25 Jul	A Bromley	L	3 - 0
24 May	H Arsenal	L	1 - 2
17 May	A Brentford	D	2 - 2
10 May	H Everton	D	2 - 2
03 May	A Bournemouth	L	3 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Aston Villa	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Bournemouth	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	Brentford	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	Chelsea	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	Coventry	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crystal Palace	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Everton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Fulham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Hull City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Ipswich	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Leeds	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	Liverpool	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Manchester City	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Manchester United	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	Newcastle	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Nottingham Forest	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	Sunderland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Tottenham	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0