Sunderland vs Manchester United Prediction
Sunderland vs Manchester United prediction: Sportiko gives Sunderland a 21% chance of winning, Manchester United 56% and the draw 23%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
A goalless draw at the Stadium of Light saw Sunderland and Manchester United share the spoils in Matchday 36 of the Premier League, despite the visitors carrying the greater attacking threat throughout. Manchester United edged possession and created the clearer chances, registering four shots on target to Sunderland's one, with their expected goals figure of 1.25 nearly double that of the hosts.
The second half provided the match's main flashpoints, with Mason Mount and Joshua Zirkzee both collecting yellow cards in quick succession before Zirkzee was withdrawn at the 65-minute mark. Further changes followed, with Amad Diallo introduced for United and Sunderland bringing on Chemsdine Talbi and later Trai Hume, though neither side could find the breakthrough. A late booking for Matheus Cunha in stoppage time added a tense edge to the closing stages.
Despite the stalemate, United's statistical dominance — 15 total shots and seven corners conceded — reflected a performance that warranted more. Notably, our pre-match AI model had rated a Manchester United win as the most likely outcome at 56%, though on this occasion the result did not follow.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Sunderland
Match Stats
Sunderland
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34 Granit Xhaka M | 8.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 85 (71%) | 3 |
| 28 Enzo Le Fée M | 7.6 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 53 (46%) | 2 |
| 9 B. Brobbey F | 7.5 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 19 (15%) | – |
| 15 Omar Alderete D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (36%) | 2 |
| 22 R. Roefs G | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (24%) | – |
| 20 Nordi Mukiele D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (58%) | – |
| 6 L. Geertruida D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 53 (46%) | – |
| 17 Reinildo Mandava D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 35 (32%) | 2 |
| 27 Noah Sadiki M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 39 (34%) | – |
| 10 Nilson Angulo F | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 32 Trai Hume M | 6.6 | 89' | – | – | – | 32 (26%) | – |
| 7 Chemsdine Talbi M | 6.5 | 79' | – | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | 1 |
| 12 Eliezer Mayenda F | — | 1' | – | – | – | – | – |
Manchester United
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Senne Lammens G | 9.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (19%) | – |
| 3 Noussair Mazraoui D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 38 (33%) | 4 |
| 23 Luke Shaw D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 43 (35%) | 1 |
| 5 Harry Maguire D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | 2 |
| 6 Lisandro Martínez D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 81 (68%) | 2 |
| 8 Bruno Fernandes M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (42%) | – |
| 37 Kobbie Mainoo M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 66 (61%) | – |
| 7 Mason Mount M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 39 (33%) | 3 |
| 13 Patrick Dorgu D | 6.7 | 25' | – | – | – | 10 (9%) | – |
| 10 Matheus Cunha M | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 31 (23%) | 2 |
| 16 Amad Diallo M | 6.5 | 75' | – | – | 1 | 21 (19%) | – |
| 19 Bryan Mbeumo F | 6.5 | 15' | – | – | – | 2 (2%) | – |
| 11 Joshua Zirkzee F | 6.2 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 18 (11%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
B. Brobbey
3 gls
Bruno Fernandes
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Sunderland vs Manchester United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct 2025 | Manchester United | 2 - 0 | Sunderland |
| 09 Apr 2017 | Sunderland | 0 - 3 | Manchester United |
| 26 Dec 2016 | Manchester United | 3 - 1 | Sunderland |
Sunderland — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Manchester City | L | 5 - 3 |
| 16 Sep | H AZ Alkmaar | W | 1 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Arsenal | L | 0 - 2 |
| 08 Sep | H Hull City | W | 1 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | A Brentford | D | 1 - 1 |
Manchester United — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Fulham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 16 Sep | H Brighton | L | 2 - 3 |
| 13 Sep | H Manchester City | L | 0 - 1 |
| 10 Sep | H Sabah FA | W | 4 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | A Everton | D | 2 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Manchester United
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Michael Carrick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | S. Lammens | G |
| 3 | N. Mazraoui | D |
| 5 | H. Maguire | D |
| 6 | L. Martinez | D |
| 23 | L. Shaw | D |
| 7 | M. Mount | M |
| 37 | K. Mainoo | M |
| 16 | A. Diallo | M |
| 8 | B. Fernandes | M |
| 10 | M. Cunha | M |
| 11 | J. Zirkzee | F |
Substitutes
| 1 | A. Bayindir | G |
| 2 | D. Dalot | D |
| 13 | P. Dorgu | D |
| 12 | T. Malacia | D |
| 19 | B. Mbeumo | F |
| 15 | L. Yoro | D |
| 39 | T. Fletcher | M |
| 38 | J. Fletcher | M |
| 26 | A. Heaven | D |
Sunderland
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: R. Le Bris
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 22 | R. Roefs | G |
| 6 | L. Geertruida | D |
| 20 | N. Mukiele | D |
| 15 | O. Alderete | D |
| 17 | R. Mandava | D |
| 34 | G. Xhaka | M |
| 27 | N. Sadiki | M |
| 32 | T. Hume | M |
| 28 | E. Le Fee | M |
| 7 | C. Talbi | M |
| 9 | B. Brobbey | F |
Substitutes
| 31 | M. Ellborg | G |
| 3 | D. Cirkin | D |
| 10 | N. Angulo | F |
| 11 | C. Rigg | M |
| 19 | H. Diarra | M |
| 37 | J. T. Bi | F |
| 13 | L. O'Nien | M |
| 18 | W. Isidor | F |
| 12 | E. Mayenda | F |