Crystal Palace vs Everton Prediction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 36
FT
Post on X
Selhurst Park, London
AI call Difficult Everton win or draw
24%
26%
50%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Crystal Palace vs Everton prediction: Sportiko gives Crystal Palace a 24% chance of winning, Everton 50% and the draw 26%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 05:46.

Match Report

Crystal Palace and Everton played out a pulsating 2–2 draw at Selhurst Park, though the result ultimately favoured neither side after a match full of momentum swings. Everton made a bright start when James Tarkowski headed them in front in the sixth minute, only for Crystal Palace to level through Ismaïla Sarr just before the half-hour mark, sending the sides into the break level at 1–1.

Everton retook the lead almost immediately after the restart, with Beto converting in the 47th minute to give the visitors the advantage. Palace pushed back and were rewarded when Jean-Philippe Mateta equalised in the 77th minute, ensuring the spoils were shared. Everton dominated possession at 59% and registered 21 total shots to Palace's 13, with their expected goals figure of 2.56 comfortably outstripping the hosts' 1.59, suggesting they were the stronger side across the 90 minutes — a finding consistent with our AI model's pre-match assessment, which rated an Everton win as the most likely outcome at 50%. Crystal Palace's ten corner kicks, however, reflected their determination to find a winner late on.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

0–1 6'
James Tarkowski
30'
James Garner Yellow Card
Ismaïla Sarr
34' 1–1
45'
Vitaliy Mykolenko Yellow Card
HT 1–1
1–2 47'
Beto assist: James Tarkowski
Jørgen Strand Larsen ⇄ Jean-Philippe Mateta
65'
70'
Beto ⇄ Thierno Barry
Jean-Philippe Mateta
77' 2–2
Brennan Johnson ⇄ Jefferson Lerma
80'
80'
Merlin Röhl ⇄ Tyrique George
90+4'
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall ⇄ Carlos Alcaraz
FT 2–2
Crystal Palace

Match Stats

Everton
59% Ball Possession 41%
2.56 Expected Goals (xG) 1.59
21 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Goal 6
8 Shots off Goal 3
5 Blocked Shots 4
15 Shots insidebox 10
6 Shots outsidebox 3
5 Corner Kicks 10
1 Offsides 2
5 Fouls 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
Red Cards
5 Goalkeeper Saves 6
467 Total passes 315
387 Passes accurate 232
83% Passes % 74%
1.41 goals_prevented 1.41
Crystal Palace
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
2 Daniel Muñoz M 8.0 90' 35 (31%) 6
18 Daichi Kamada M 7.7 90' 1 49 (43%) 2
7 Ismaïla Sarr F 7.5 90' 1 3 17 (12%)
20 Adam Wharton M 7.5 90' 2 63 (52%) 6
26 Chris Richards D 7.3 90' 2 65 (57%) 1
14 Jean-Philippe Mateta F 7.3 25' 1 2 3 (1%)
5 Maxence Lacroix D 6.9 90' 1 60 (54%) 1
8 Jefferson Lerma M 6.9 10' 13 (12%) 1
3 Tyrick Mitchell M 6.9 90' 2 41 (32%) 2
11 Brennan Johnson F 6.9 80' 22 (16%) 1
23 Jaydee Canvot D 6.7 90' 2 67 (62%)
1 Dean Henderson G 6.5 90' 17 (7%) 1
22 Jørgen Strand Larsen F 6.3 65' 1 15 (8%)
Everton
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 James Tarkowski D 8.3 90' 1 1 1 31 (21%) 3
1 Jordan Pickford G 8.2 90' 42 (16%)
9 Beto F 7.3 70' 1 2 4 (4%)
42 Tim Iroegbunam M 7.0 90' 1 33 (26%) 3
37 James Garner M 6.9 90' 1 45 (37%) 2
11 Thierno Barry F 6.9 20' 7 (5%)
19 Tyrique George F 6.9 10' 1 (1%)
5 Michael Keane D 6.7 90' 1 24 (15%) 2
16 Vitaliy Mykolenko D 6.5 90' 29 (25%)
15 Jake O'Brien D 6.3 90' 23 (16%) 1
22 Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall M 6.3 89' 1 27 (22%) 1
34 Merlin Röhl M 6.3 80' 23 (22%) 1
10 Iliman Ndiaye M 6.2 90' 2 26 (22%) 1
24 Carlos Alcaraz M 1'
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Confidence Medium (61%)

At a glance

Our lean
Difficult Everton win or draw
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Crystal Palace
DWLWW
Everton
WWDDD
Last 3 meetings Crystal Palace · 0W 0D 3L

Match summary

Crystal Palace hosts Everton in a crucial Premier League clash on May 9, 2026. Crystal Palace has shown solid home form, with a 60% win rate at Selhurst Park this season, while Everton struggles with consistency, having secured only 25% of their away matches. Defensively, Palace has been robust, conceding an average of just 1 goal per game at home, compared to Everton's leaky away defense, which averages 2 goals conceded. Key players to watch include Palace's Wilfried Zaha, who has contributed significantly to their attack, and Everton's Dominic Calvert-Lewin, looking to find form. This match could be pivotal for both teams as they aim to secure vital points for their respective league standings.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Head to Head: Crystal Palace vs Everton

0 Crystal Palace Wins
0 Draws
3 Everton Wins
Date Home Score Away
22 Aug 2026 Everton 2 - 0 Crystal Palace
05 Oct 2025 Everton 2 - 1 Crystal Palace
15 Feb 2025 Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Everton
See all 10 meetings — Premium

Crystal Palace — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Leeds D 0 - 0
17 Sep H Lech Poznan W 4 - 0
12 Sep H Ipswich L 2 - 3
08 Sep H Middlesbrough W 3 - 0
05 Sep A Fulham W 2 - 3

Everton — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Ipswich W 1 - 0
16 Sep H Wolves W 1 - 0
12 Sep A Tottenham D 0 - 0
06 Sep H Manchester United D 2 - 2
29 Aug A Bournemouth D 1 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Everton

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Leighton Baines
1 Pickford
16 Mykolenko
5 Keane
6 Tarkowski
15 O'Brien
37 Garner
42 Iroegbunam
10 Ndiaye
22 Dewsbury-Hall
34 Rohl
9 Beto

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 J. Pickford G
15 J. O'Brien D
6 J. Tarkowski D
5 M. Keane D
16 V. Mykolenko D
42 T. Iroegbunam M
37 J. Garner M
34 M. Rohl M
22 K. Dewsbury-Hall M
10 I. Ndiaye M
9 Beto F

Substitutes

12 M. Travers G
2 N. Patterson D
24 C. Alcaraz M
20 T. Dibling M
19 T. George F
11 T. Barry F
45 H. Armstrong M
23 S. Coleman D
7 D. McNeil F

Crystal Palace

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: O. Glasner
1 Henderson
23 Canvot
5 Lacroix
26 Richards
3 Mitchell
18 Kamada
20 Wharton
2 Munoz
11 Johnson
7 Sarr
22 Larsen

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 D. Henderson G
26 C. Richards D
5 M. Lacroix D
23 J. Canvot D
2 D. Munoz M
20 A. Wharton M
18 D. Kamada M
3 T. Mitchell M
7 I. Sarr F
11 B. Johnson F
22 J. S. Larsen F

Substitutes

44 W. Benitez G
17 N. Clyne D
19 W. Hughes M
8 J. Lerma M
14 J. Mateta F
10 Y. Pino M
55 J. Devenny M
34 C. Riad D
59 R. Cardines M

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