West Ham vs Wolves Prediction
West Ham vs Wolves prediction: Sportiko gives West Ham a 43% chance of winning, Wolves 29% and the draw 28%. Last updated 26 Jul 2026, 05:46.
Match Report
West Ham secured a commanding 4–0 victory over Wolves at the London Stadium in matchday 32 of the Premier League, though the statistics told a curious story. Wolves actually outperformed their hosts in several key areas, registering 18 total shots to West Ham's 14 and posting a significantly higher expected goals figure of 2.35 compared to West Ham's 0.59, yet it was the home side who converted when it mattered most.
The match was settled by a single goal at the break, scored just before half-time in the 42nd minute, with Wolves having picked up two yellow cards in the opening period alongside Bellegarde's early booking. West Ham then put the game beyond doubt with three goals in a devastating spell between the 66th and 68th minutes, before adding a fourth in the 83rd minute to complete the rout. Bellegarde departed for Wolves in the 61st minute, one of several substitutions made by both sides in the second half.
Our pre-match AI model had rated a West Ham win as the most likely outcome at 43%, a call that proved correct despite the underlying numbers favouring Wolves throughout.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
West Ham
Match Stats
West Ham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Konstantinos Mavropanos D | 9.6 | 90' | 2 | – | 2 | 36 (28%) | 3 |
| 11 Valentín Castellanos F | 8.9 | 82' | 2 | – | 5 | 15 (8%) | 1 |
| 2 Kyle Walker-Peters D | 7.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 36 (33%) | 4 |
| 1 Mads Hermansen G | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 31 (19%) | – |
| 4 Axel Disasi D | 7.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 40 (36%) | 3 |
| 20 Jarrod Bowen M | 7.3 | 90' | – | 2 | 2 | 17 (15%) | 2 |
| 28 Tomáš Souček M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 30 (24%) | 1 |
| 18 Mateus Fernandes M | 7.2 | 85' | – | – | – | 47 (42%) | 1 |
| 12 El Hadji Malick Diouf D | 7.0 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 46 (36%) | 1 |
| 19 Pablo Felipe F | 6.9 | 78' | – | 1 | 1 | 18 (14%) | 5 |
| 32 Freddie Potts M | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 27 Soungoutou Magassa M | 6.6 | 10' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
| 7 C. Summerville M | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 2 | 19 (15%) | 2 |
| 17 Adama Traoré F | 6.3 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 4 (4%) | – |
| 9 Callum Wilson F | 6.3 | 8' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
Wolves
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37 Ladislav Krejčí D | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 82 (74%) | 3 |
| 47 Angel Gomes F | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | 2 | 19 (16%) | – |
| 11 Hwang Hee-chan F | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | 1 | 10 (8%) | – |
| 74 Tom Edozie F | 6.7 | 10' | – | – | 1 | 4 (3%) | – |
| 27 Jean-Ricner Bellegarde M | 6.6 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 14 Tolu Arokodare F | 6.5 | 19' | – | – | – | 5 (3%) | – |
| 38 Jackson Tchatchoua M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 34 (26%) | 2 |
| 7 André M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 55 (54%) | 4 |
| 4 Santiago Bueno D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 58 (52%) | – |
| 1 José Sá G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | – |
| 3 Hugo Bueno M | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (34%) | 2 |
| 36 Mateus Mané F | 6.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 10 (6%) | – |
| 8 João Gomes M | 6.0 | 85' | – | – | – | 47 (41%) | 3 |
| 9 Adam Armstrong F | 6.0 | 71' | – | – | 2 | 7 (5%) | – |
| 15 Yerson Mosquera D | 5.9 | 71' | – | – | 1 | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 21 Rodrigo Gomes D | 5.2 | 29' | – | – | – | 13 (8%) | 1 |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: West Ham vs Wolves
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep 2026 | West Ham | 4 - 2 | Wolves |
| 03 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 3 - 0 | West Ham |
| 01 Apr 2025 | Wolves | 1 - 0 | West Ham |
West Ham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Millwall | D | 2 - 2 |
| 15 Sep | H Fulham | L | 2 - 3 |
| 11 Sep | H Wrexham | W | 6 - 0 |
| 08 Sep | A Bolton | W | 2 - 3 |
| 05 Sep | H Derby | W | 3 - 0 |
Wolves — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H West Brom | W | 1 - 0 |
| 16 Sep | A Everton | L | 1 - 0 |
| 13 Sep | A Sheffield Utd | W | 0 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | A Birmingham | D | 2 - 2 |
| 01 Sep | A West Ham | L | 4 - 2 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Wolves
Formation: 3-5-1-1
Coach: Rob Edwards
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | J. Sa | G |
| 15 | Y. Mosquera | D |
| 4 | S. Bueno | D |
| 37 | L. Krejci | D |
| 38 | J. Tchatchoua | M |
| 27 | J. Bellegarde | M |
| 7 | Andre | M |
| 8 | Joao Gomes | M |
| 3 | H. Bueno | M |
| 47 | A. Gomes | F |
| 9 | A. Armstrong | F |
Substitutes
| 25 | D. Bentley | G |
| 11 | Hwang Hee-Chan | F |
| 6 | D. M. Wolfe | D |
| 14 | T. Arokodare | F |
| 21 | R. Gomes | D |
| 36 | M. Mane | F |
| 24 | Toti | D |
| 74 | T. Edozie | - |
| 17 | Pedro Lima | D |
West Ham
Formation: 4-4-1-1
Coach: Nuno Espirito Santo
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Hermansen | G |
| 2 | K. Walker-Peters | D |
| 15 | K. Mavropanos | D |
| 4 | A. Disasi | D |
| 12 | M. Diouf | D |
| 20 | J. Bowen | M |
| 18 | M. Fernandes | M |
| 28 | T. Soucek | M |
| 7 | C. Summerville | M |
| 19 | Pablo | F |
| 11 | T. Castellanos | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | A. Areola | G |
| 17 | A. Traore | F |
| 29 | A. Wan-Bissaka | D |
| 27 | S. Magassa | M |
| 9 | C. Wilson | F |
| 25 | J. Todibo | D |
| 32 | F. Potts | M |
| 30 | O. Scarles | D |
| 55 | M. Kante | M |