Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas Prediction

Liga MX Liga MX · Clausura - 12
FT
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AI call Guadalajara Chivas to win or draw
12%
19%
70%
Home Win Draw Away Win

Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas prediction: Sportiko gives Monterrey a 12% chance of winning, Guadalajara Chivas 70% and the draw 19%. Last updated 13 Jul 2026, 16:01.

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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Our lean
Guadalajara Chivas to win or draw
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Monterrey
WDLDL
Guadalajara Chivas
DWWDW
Last 1 meetings Monterrey · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Liga MX clash, Monterrey hosts Guadalajara Chivas, set to kick off on March 22, 2026. Monterrey has shown strong home form, winning 70% of their matches at Estadio BBVA this season, while boasting a potent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game. Conversely, Chivas struggles on the road with only a 30% win rate away from home and a defense that has conceded 1.5 goals per match. Key players to watch include Monterrey's prolific scorer and Chivas' defensive stalwart, as the match could hinge on their performances. Overall, Monterrey enters as the favorite, leveraging their home advantage and offensive prowess.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
12%
10%
Draw
19%
45%
Away
70%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Monterrey
G. Berterame 13 gls
Sergio Canales 13 gls
Guadalajara Chivas
A. González 24 gls

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Head to Head: Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas

0 Monterrey Wins
0 Draws
1 Guadalajara Chivas Wins
Date Home Score Away
08 Nov 2025 Guadalajara Chivas 4 - 2 Monterrey

Monterrey — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep H Cruz Azul W 1 - 0
13 Sep H Tigres UANL D 0 - 0
07 Sep A Toluca L 2 - 0
03 Sep A Club America D 2 - 2
31 Aug H Atletico San Luis L 1 - 3

Guadalajara Chivas — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
20 Sep A Club America D 2 - 2
14 Sep H U.N.A.M. - Pumas W 3 - 0
05 Sep A Atletico San Luis W 0 - 3
29 Aug A CF Pachuca D 1 - 1
22 Aug H Club Tijuana W 5 - 2

Liga MX Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
17 10 6 1 +17 36
2
Guadalajara Chivas
17 11 3 3 +16 36
3
Cruz Azul
17 9 6 2 +13 33
4
CF Pachuca
17 9 4 4 +6 31
5
Toluca
17 8 6 3 +12 30
6
Atlas
17 7 5 5 -2 26
7
Tigres UANL
17 7 4 6 +10 25
8
Club America
17 7 4 6 +3 25
9
Club Tijuana
17 5 8 4 +2 23
10
Leon
17 7 1 9 -10 22
11
Club Queretaro
17 4 8 5 -4 20
12
FC Juarez
17 5 4 8 -6 19
13
Monterrey
17 5 3 9 -2 18
14
Atletico San Luis
17 5 3 9 -3 18
15
Necaxa
17 5 3 9 -6 18
16
Mazatlán
17 4 3 10 -15 15
17
Puebla
17 3 4 10 -13 13
18
Santos Laguna
17 3 3 11 -18 12

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.

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